高斯扩散漂移假设的序贯检验

Q Mathematics Statistical Methodology Pub Date : 2016-12-01 DOI:10.1016/j.stamet.2016.07.002
David Stibůrek
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在对漂移参数θ的统计推断过程中,Xt=θa(t)+∫0tb(s)dWs,其中a(t)和b(t)是已知的确定性函数,有大量已知的选择方法。例如,我们可以根据该过程在离散时间的观测值与其正态性之间的差异来作出这种推断。虽然这些方法非常简单,但事实证明,使用顺序方法更合适。对于漂移参数θ的假设检验,采用对观测过程进行标准化,并根据观测过程在预定区间内的第一次退出时间到某一给定时间的顺序方法更为合适。这些方法可以推广到随机部分为对称Itô积分或连续对称鞅的情况。
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Sequential testing of hypotheses about drift for Gaussian diffusions

In statistical inference on the drift parameter θ in the process Xt=θa(t)+0tb(s)dWs, where a(t) and b(t) are known, deterministic functions, there is known a large number of options how to do it. We may, for example, base this inference on the differences between the observed values of the process at discrete times and their normality. Although such methods are very simple, it turns out that it is more appropriate to use sequential methods. For the hypotheses testing about the drift parameter θ, it is more proper to standardize the observed process and to use sequential methods based on the first exit time of the observed process of a pre-specified interval until some given time. These methods can be generalized to the case of random part being a symmetric Itô integral or continuous symmetric martingale.

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来源期刊
Statistical Methodology
Statistical Methodology STATISTICS & PROBABILITY-
CiteScore
0.59
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期刊介绍: Statistical Methodology aims to publish articles of high quality reflecting the varied facets of contemporary statistical theory as well as of significant applications. In addition to helping to stimulate research, the journal intends to bring about interactions among statisticians and scientists in other disciplines broadly interested in statistical methodology. The journal focuses on traditional areas such as statistical inference, multivariate analysis, design of experiments, sampling theory, regression analysis, re-sampling methods, time series, nonparametric statistics, etc., and also gives special emphasis to established as well as emerging applied areas.
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