澳洲原住民与非原住民男性性犯罪的静态99r规范与跨文化效度。

IF 1.8 3区 心理学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Sexual Abuse: A Journal of Research and Treatment Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2023-11-29 DOI:10.1177/10790632231219233
Mark V A Howard, Chee Seng Chong, Kristy Murphy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究以澳大利亚新南威尔士州(NSW)的811名原住民和3257名非原住民男性(N = 4068)为样本,检验了Static-99R规范数据和跨文化有效性。原住民男性在Static-99R上的得分明显高于非原住民男性(M = 4.39 vs. 2.61),并且更有可能出现在高风险类别中。静态99r对总样本具有良好的判别性能(AUC = 0.76;95% CI =[.73-.80]),对常规样本的预期再犯率进行了可接受的校准,有轻微的高估倾向。原住民男性的鉴别准确率较低(AUC = .68;95% CI =[.60-77])比非原住民男性(AUC = .78;95% CI =[.74-83]),但两组的概率均显著高于概率。其他分析表明,歧视的跨文化差异部分与群体间样本组成的差异有关。这是澳大利亚第一个发现Static-99R对土著男性具有显著预测有效性的证据的研究,虽然还需要进一步的研究,但结果为该措施在当地刑事司法环境中的跨文化应用提供了初步支持。
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Static-99R Norms and Cross-Cultural Validity for Australian Aboriginal and Non-Aboriginal Men Convicted of Sexual Offences.

This study examined Static-99R normative data and cross-cultural validity in a sample of 811 Aboriginal and 3257 non-Aboriginal Australian men (N = 4068) serving custodial orders for sexual offences in New South Wales (NSW), Australia. Aboriginal men scored significantly higher on the Static-99R than non-Aboriginal men (M = 4.39 vs. 2.61) and were more likely to be represented in higher categories of risk. The Static-99R showed good discrimination performance for the total sample (AUC = .76; 95% CI = [.73-.80]) and acceptable calibration to expected reoffending rates for routine samples, with slight tendencies towards overestimation. Discrimination accuracy was lower for Aboriginal men (AUC = .68; 95% CI = [.60-77]) than non-Aboriginal men (AUC = .78; 95% CI = [.74-83]) although was significantly better than chance for both groups. Additional analyses indicated that cross-cultural differences in discrimination were partly associated with variance in sample composition between groups. This is the first Australian study to find evidence for significant predictive validity of the Static-99R with Aboriginal men, and while further research is needed, the results provide initial support for cross-cultural applications of the measure in local criminal justice settings.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
5.30
自引率
17.40%
发文量
33
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