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Does Being Over 60 Years Old at Index Offense Impact Sexual Recidivism Risk? A Large-Scale Comparison of Men Released Over the Age of 60. 指数犯罪时年龄超过 60 岁对性累犯风险有影响吗?对 60 岁以上获释男性的大规模比较。
IF 2.1 3区 心理学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-08-02 DOI: 10.1177/10790632241271167
Jeffrey C Sandler, Naomi J Freeman

Research has consistently found risk for sexual recidivism drops as men convicted of a sexual offense age. One question that remains, however, is whether this age-related reduction in risk applies to men who commit their sexual offenses at an older age. The current study examined this question in a sample of 939 men who were screened for civil management and released to the community (mean follow-up = 6.33 years, SD = 3.98 years), by comparing the sexual recidivism rates of (a) 238 men convicted of sexual offenses committed over the age of 60 (Over-60 Index group), and (b) 701 men who committed sexual offenses under the age of 60 but who were released to the community over the age of 60 (Under-60 Index group). Even though the Under-60 Index group was significantly higher risk at release, the Over-60 Index group sexually recidivated at a significantly higher rate, a difference largely driven by the small group of men who had committed sexual offenses both under and over the age of 60. The Static-99R was a strong predictor of sexual recidivism regardless of age at sexual offending (i.e., just under 60, just over 60, or both under and over 60). The 2021 Routine Samples norms significantly overpredicted sexual recidivism for the Under-60 Index group and significantly underpredicted sexual recidivism for the Over-60 Index group, indicating that the use of the 2016 High Risk/High Needs norms could be more appropriate for the Over-60 Index group, particularly those men who sexually offended under the age of 60 before sexually offending over the age of 60.

研究一致发现,随着被判定犯有性犯罪的男性年龄的增长,其性累犯的风险也会降低。然而,仍然存在的一个问题是,这种与年龄相关的风险降低是否适用于那些在年龄较大时实施性犯罪的男性。本研究通过比较(a)238 名年龄在 60 岁以上的性犯罪男性(60 岁以上指数组)和(b)701 名年龄在 60 岁以下但超过 60 岁才被释放到社区的性犯罪男性(60 岁以下指数组)的性再犯罪率,对 939 名接受民事管理筛查并被释放到社区的男性样本(平均随访时间 = 6.33 年,SD = 3.98 年)进行了研究。尽管 60 岁以下指数组获释时的风险明显更高,但 60 岁以上指数组的性犯罪再犯率明显更高,这一差异主要是由小部分同时在 60 岁以下和 60 岁以上犯有性犯罪的男性造成的。无论性犯罪的年龄如何(即略低于 60 岁、略高于 60 岁或既低于 60 岁又高于 60 岁),Static-99R 都能有力地预测性犯罪再犯率。2021 年常规样本标准对 60 岁以下指数组的性累犯预测明显偏高,而对 60 岁以上指数组的性累犯预测明显偏低,这表明使用 2016 年高风险/高需求标准可能更适合 60 岁以上指数组,特别是那些在 60 岁以下进行性犯罪活动,然后在 60 岁以上进行性犯罪活动的男性。
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引用次数: 0
The Influence of Race on Detected and Undetected Sexual Offense Histories: A Comparison of White and Black Men Committed as Sexually Violent Persons. 种族对已发现和未发现的性犯罪历史的影响:白人和黑人性暴力犯罪男子的比较》(A Comparison of White and Black Men committed as Sexually Violent Persons.
IF 2.1 3区 心理学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-07-31 DOI: 10.1177/10790632241268472
Sharon M Kelley, Rachel E Kahn, Gangaw Zaw

Understanding the difference between the proportion of sexual offenses that are officially detected versus the total number of sexual crimes that occur has been of interest to decision makers for some time. Previous studies have not considered possible racial differences. More aggressive responses by police and the criminal justice system as well as cultural differences in victim type/reporting rates may result in differences between detection rates of Black versus White men. In the current study (N = 190), we examined the difference between Black (n = 51) and White (n = 139) men committed to a forensic hospital as a Sexually Violent Person on factors that could impact the detected rate. Overall, we found that White men had significantly more total victims, undetected victims, undetected and detected child victims, total male victims, undetected male victims, undetected acquaintance victims, and total (detected and undetected) acquaintance victims than Black men. Black men had significantly more detected adult victims, but this difference did not remain when accounting for undetected victims. We explore reasons for these differences as well as provide recommendations for practice.

了解正式侦破的性犯罪比例与发生的性犯罪总数之间的差异,一直以来都是决策者关心的问题。以往的研究没有考虑到可能存在的种族差异。警方和刑事司法系统更积极的应对措施,以及受害者类型/报案率的文化差异,都可能导致黑人和白人男性的破案率不同。在当前的研究(N = 190)中,我们研究了黑人(n = 51)和白人(n = 139)男子作为性暴力犯罪者被送往法医医院后,在可能影响检出率的因素方面的差异。总体而言,我们发现白人男性的受害者总数、未被发现的受害者、未被发现和已被发现的儿童受害者、男性受害者总数、未被发现的男性受害者、未被发现的熟人受害者以及熟人受害者总数(已被发现和未被发现)均明显多于黑人男性。黑人男性的已侦破成年受害者人数明显多于黑人男性,但在计算未侦破受害者时,这一差异并没有保持。我们探讨了出现这些差异的原因,并为实践提供了建议。
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引用次数: 0
Problematic Sexual Behavior in Children: The Influence of Transgressions of Interpersonal Boundaries and Family Adversity Across Generations. 儿童的问题性行为:超越人际界限和跨代家庭逆境的影响。
IF 2.1 3区 心理学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2024-09-06 DOI: 10.1177/10790632241272342
Isabelle V Daignault, Sarah Bédard, Stéphanie Chouinard Thivierge, Camille Pitre, Alexandra Vidal-Bernard

Problematic sexual behavior (PSBs) in children have been linked to difficulties or challenges within the family environment. Despite this association, few studies have examined how interpersonal boundary transgressions influence children's PSBs. Based on a sample of 112 parent-child dyads recruited before undergoing PSB-focused psychotherapy, this study first aims to explore the concept of sexual, physical, and emotional boundary transgressions within the current family environment in relation to reported levels of PSBs. The study further investigates the connections between parents' current boundary transgressions and their past and present family environments. Bivariate analyses revealed a positive correlation between heightened levels of interpersonal boundary transgressions and increased PBS, alongside elevated externalized behaviors. Two hierarchical linear regression models were employed: one to predict children's PSB scores with boundary transgressions as a predictor, and another to predict current boundary transgressions within the family environment. Results showed that current boundary transgressions within the family predicted the level of PSBs. However, once the child's externalized behaviors were considered, boundary transgressions ceased to be significant. Regarding the parents, transgression of interpersonal boundaries within the current family environment was associated with exposure to higher levels of interpersonal boundary transgressions during their childhood, current socioeconomic status, and a higher level of parental psychological distress. Keywords: problematic sexual behavior, PSBs, transgression of interpersonal boundaries, conceptual model, victimization experiences, intergenerational cycle.

儿童的问题性行为(PSBs)与家庭环境中的困难或挑战有关。尽管存在这种关联,但很少有研究探讨了人际边界越界是如何影响儿童的问题性行为的。本研究以接受以 PSB 为重点的心理治疗前招募的 112 个亲子二人组为样本,首先旨在探讨当前家庭环境中性、身体和情感边界越界的概念与所报告的 PSB 水平之间的关系。研究还进一步探讨了父母目前的越界行为与他们过去和现在的家庭环境之间的联系。双变量分析表明,人际界限越轨水平的提高与 PBS 的增加以及外化行为的增加之间存在正相关。我们采用了两个分层线性回归模型:一个是以边界越轨行为作为预测因子来预测儿童的 PSB 分数,另一个是预测当前家庭环境中的边界越轨行为。结果表明,当前家庭环境中的越界行为可以预测儿童的 PSB 水平。然而,一旦考虑到儿童的外化行为,越界行为就不再重要。就父母而言,当前家庭环境中的人际界限越轨行为与他们童年时期受到的较高程度的人际界限越轨行为、当前的社会经济地位以及较高程度的父母心理困扰有关。关键词:问题性行为、PSBs、跨越人际界限、概念模型、受害经历、代际循环。
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引用次数: 0
Psychopathic Personality as a Moderator of the Relationship Between Atypical Sexuality and Sexual Coercion Proclivity in the General Population. 精神病人格是普通人群非典型性行为和性强迫倾向之间关系的调节因子。
IF 2.1 3区 心理学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-10-19 DOI: 10.1177/10790632231205799
Ashleigh S Thatcher, Louise Wallace, Dean Fido

Being sexually coerced can have long-lasting psychological impacts on victims; with perpetration strongly predicted by elevated psychopathic traits. Owing to recent legislative developments in the United Kingdom that criminalize coercive control under the Domestic Abuse Act (2021), this study offers a timely investigation into the mechanisms of sexual coercion in domestic abuse across sexual abuse and coercive control. We used moderation analysis (n = 405) to investigate whether sexual coercion proclivity was predicted by facets of atypical sexuality (non-clinical elevated levels of sex drive, sexual sadism, and sexual masochism), and whether this relationship was moderated by psychopathic personality traits specifically the factor one components, which encompasses interpersonal and affective characteristics. Psychopathic personality traits significantly moderated the positive association between sex drive and sexual coercion proclivity, and between sexual sadism and sexual coercion proclivity in males (but not females), but psychopathic personality traits had no such moderating effect in the sexual masochism model. Results are discussed in terms of identifying risk factors of sexual coercion within a general population sample and international application. Open data and a preprint of this paper are available at [https://osf.io/xkcah/?view_only=134ff9c93ad24ba286515b348ce79c0c].

性胁迫会对受害者产生长期的心理影响;精神变态特征的提升有力地预测了犯罪行为。鉴于英国最近的立法发展,根据《家庭虐待法》(2021)将强制控制定为刑事犯罪,本研究及时调查了性虐待和强制控制中家庭虐待中的性胁迫机制。我们使用适度分析(n=405)来调查性胁迫倾向是否是由非典型性行为的各个方面(非临床性冲动、性虐待狂和性受虐狂水平升高)预测的,以及这种关系是否是由精神变态人格特征——特别是包括人际和情感特征的因素一组成部分——调节的。精神病人格特征显著调节了男性(而非女性)性欲与性胁迫倾向之间以及性虐待狂与性胁迫偏好之间的正相关,但精神病人格特质在性受虐狂模型中没有这种调节作用。讨论了在一般人群样本中识别性胁迫风险因素和国际应用的结果。本文的开放数据和预印本可在[https://osf.io/xkcah/?view_only=134ff9c93ad24ba286515b348ce79c0c]。
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引用次数: 0
Latent Profile Analysis Predicting Recidivism Among Women Who Have Sexually Offended. 预测性侵犯妇女再犯的潜在侧写分析。
IF 2.1 3区 心理学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-12-01 Epub Date: 2023-11-30 DOI: 10.1177/10790632231219238
Judy H Hong, Holly A Miller, Yu Liu, Paulina A Kulesz, Rheeda L Walker

The few existing typology studies on women who have sexually offended (WWSO) have largely been limited by small sample sizes, have not included scale scores from risk assessments, or used recidivism within their typology (instead of using typologies to predict recidivism). In our sample of 241 WWSO, we conducted a latent profile analysis and observed four, distinct profiles: "low-risk WWSO," characterized by fewer criminal history incidents and lower risk-assessment scores; "problem-endorsing WWSO," with higher probability of endorsing various life problems such as educational/employment and emotional/personal issues; "antisocial WWSO" with more criminal history incidents, alcohol/drug problems, and higher scores on psychopathy; and "combined WWSO" with characteristics of both the problem-endorsing and antisocial profiles. This last profile showed elevations in general and/or violent recidivism risk, but relatively low recidivism. There were no cases of sexual recidivism in our sample following an average 30-month follow-up period. Membership in the antisocial profile predicted general and/or violent recidivism and suggests that WWSO typologies may be useful in predicting non-sexual recidivism for this population.

现有的为数不多的关于性侵犯妇女的类型学研究在很大程度上受到样本量小的限制,没有包括风险评估的量表得分,或者在他们的类型学中使用累犯(而不是使用类型学来预测累犯)。在我们的241个WWSO样本中,我们进行了潜在特征分析,并观察到四种不同的特征:“低风险WWSO”,其特征是较少的犯罪历史事件和较低的风险评估分数;“问题认同型WWSO”,更有可能认同各种生活问题,如教育/就业和情感/个人问题;“反社会的WWSO”有更多的犯罪历史事件、酗酒/吸毒问题,精神变态得分更高;以及“将WWSO与支持问题和反社会的特征结合起来”。最后一份档案显示一般和/或暴力再犯的风险增加,但相对较低的再犯。在平均30个月的随访期内,我们的样本中没有性再犯的案例。反社会特征的成员资格预测一般和/或暴力再犯,并表明WWSO类型可能有助于预测该人群的非性再犯。
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引用次数: 0
Similar Age Preference but Different Attentional Control in Mandatory Hospitalized Individuals who Have Committed Sexual Offenses Against Children and Non-hospitalized Individuals With Self-Reported Sexual Interest in Children. 对儿童实施过性犯罪的强制住院者与自述对儿童有性趣的非住院者的年龄偏好相似,但注意力控制不同。
IF 2.1 3区 心理学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-11-07 DOI: 10.1177/10790632241297271
Kirsten Jordan, Isabel Müller, Peter Fromberger, Uwe Dobrunz, Ute Franz, Jürgen Leo Müller

Thirty-two forensic persons who have committed sexual offenses against children (FP-SOC), 26 non-forensic persons of whom most have committed sexual offenses against children (NFP-SOC), 14 forensic persons who have not committed sexual offenses against children but have committed other offenses (FP-NSOC), and 53 non-forensic persons who have not committed sexual offenses against children (NFP-NSOC) were instructed to solve a cognitive task, while sexual distractors were presented simultaneously. Behavioral performance and eye movements were measured. FP-SOC and NFP-SOC exhibit same age preference patterns for children and adults, but both groups differ significantly with respect to sexual attentional control. Moderate discrimination accuracy and moderate effect sizes resulted for sexual interest, and good discrimination accuracy and large effect sizes were found for attentional control. Good attentional control in the NFP-SOC, probably reflecting superior sexual self-control and self-regulation abilities, might contribute to a better recognition and control of environmental factors in sexual risk situations, preventing them from being detected and convicted. Otherwise, strong cognitive distortions might serve for them as offense justification. We conclude that those non-forensic persons with sexual offense histories against children (NFP-SOC) with sexual interest in children, good attentional self-control and strong cognitive distortions represent a problematic group which should receive more attention regarding further research but also therapy. Future studies should include more suitable and larger control groups, appropriate instruments to measure independent variables, and investigate whether different classifications of pedophilic interest would be better suited to describe the eye movement patterns of our study participants.

32 名曾对儿童实施性犯罪的法医(FP-SOC)、26 名非法医(其中大部分曾对儿童实施性犯罪)(NFP-SOC)、14 名未对儿童实施性犯罪但曾实施其他犯罪的法医(FP-NSOC)和 53 名未对儿童实施性犯罪的非法医(NFP-NSOC)接受了一项认知任务的指导,同时出现了性干扰因素。对行为表现和眼球运动进行了测量。FP-SOC 和 NFP-SOC 对儿童和成人表现出相同的年龄偏好模式,但两组在性注意控制方面存在显著差异。在性兴趣方面,两组的辨别准确率和效应大小适中;在注意控制方面,两组的辨别准确率和效应大小较大。NFP-SOC 中良好的注意控制能力可能反映了较强的性自我控制和自我调节能力,这可能有助于更好地识别和控制性风险情境中的环境因素,防止其被发现和定罪。否则,强烈的认知扭曲可能会成为他们犯罪的理由。我们的结论是,对儿童有性侵犯史的非法医人员(NFP-SOC)对儿童有性趣、注意力自控能力强、认知扭曲严重,他们是一个有问题的群体,应在进一步研究和治疗方面得到更多关注。未来的研究应包括更合适和更大的对照组、测量自变量的适当工具,并调查不同的恋童癖兴趣分类是否更适合描述我们研究参与者的眼动模式。
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引用次数: 0
Public Perceptions of Individuals Attracted to Children: The Impact of the Person's Gender, Child Gender, and Preferentiality on Stigma and Perceived Risk to Offend. 公众对吸引儿童者的看法:性别、儿童性别和偏好对耻辱感和犯罪风险的影响。
IF 2.1 3区 心理学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-11-06 DOI: 10.1177/10790632241297270
Kailey Roche, Martin L Lalumière, Joelle Pagacz, Michael C Seto

Stigma-related stress may contribute to increased risk in individuals who are sexually attracted to children. Further, certain subgroups of people attracted to children may be more stigmatized than others; this has important implications for prevention programs. We conducted a vignette study to examine whether public stigma toward people attracted to children differed based on the person's gender (man/woman), the gender of the child to whom the person is attracted (boy/girl), and preferentiality (non-preferentially/preferentially attracted to children). A sample of 385 participants (Mage = 41; 66% White; 52% male; 57% US residents) were recruited through Prolific. Participants were randomly assigned to one of eight vignettes presenting a non-offending individual attracted to children. Vignettes varied on the person's gender, the gender of the child to whom they were attracted, and whether they were preferentially or non-preferentially attracted to children. Participants were asked to rate their perception of risk for the person to commit a child sexual offense (and give their reasoning) as well as fill out a measure of stigma regarding the person in the vignette. The only characteristic associated with perception of risk and stigma was preferentiality; participants rated preferentially attracted persons as being a higher risk to offend and endorsed higher stigma regarding that individual. Open-ended responses indicated that in rating risk to offend, participants were concerned with the role of attraction to children, characteristics of the attraction, loss of control and opportunism, lack of offense history, and lifestyle factors.

与污名相关的压力可能会增加对儿童有性吸引力的人的风险。此外,某些被儿童吸引的亚群体可能比其他亚群体更容易被污名化;这对预防计划有重要影响。我们进行了一项小故事研究,以考察公众对被儿童吸引者的鄙视是否因其性别(男性/女性)、被吸引儿童的性别(男孩/女孩)和偏好(非偏好/偏好被儿童吸引)而有所不同。我们通过 Prolific 征集了 385 名参与者("法师"=41;66% 白人;52% 男性;57% 美国居民)。参与者被随机分配到八个小故事中的一个,这些小故事展示了一个不喜欢儿童的人。小故事中的人物性别、被吸引儿童的性别以及对儿童的吸引是偏好性还是非偏好性都各不相同。参与者被要求对该人实施儿童性犯罪的风险感知进行评分(并给出理由),同时填写一份关于小故事中的人的耻辱感测量表。唯一与风险认知和污名化相关的特征是偏好;参与者认为被偏好吸引的人犯罪风险更高,对该人的污名化程度也更高。开放式回答表明,在评定犯罪风险时,参与者关注的是对儿童的吸引力的作用、吸引力的特征、失控和机会主义、缺乏犯罪史以及生活方式因素。
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引用次数: 0
Predictive Validity of Tools for Assessing Recidivism Risk in Men Convicted of Sex Offending: Static-99R, Static-2002R and BARR-2002R. 性犯罪男性累犯风险评估工具的预测效力:Static-99R、Static-2002R 和 BARR-2002R。
IF 2.1 3区 心理学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-16 DOI: 10.1177/10790632241290506
Claire Ducro, Thierry H Pham

Recidivism risk assessment is crucial for effective case management of men convicted of sex offending. The use of empirical actuarial risk tools has become routine in the field. However, the development of actuarial risk scales for assessing general, violent and/or sexual recidivism in these men is ongoing: The Static-99 led to the Static-99R and the Static-2002R, and the BARR-2002R emerged to assess violent recidivism risk. A study was undertaken to evaluate and compare the inter-rater and predictive validity of the Static-99R, the Static-2002R, and the BARR-2002R in a sample of 328 men convicted of sex offending released from prison in French Belgium. When the instruments were considered integrally, the two versions of the Static-the Static-99R and the Static-2002R-proved better at predicting sexual recidivism and the BARR-2002R was better at predicting violent recidivism. And, the predictive and incremental predictive validity of the factor structure identified by Brouillette-Alarie et al. (2016) was examined. Results proved consistent in that the Youthful stranger aggression and General criminality factors were better at predicting general recidivism and violent non-sexual recidivism while the Persistence/paraphilia factor was better at predicting sexual recidivism.

累犯风险评估对于有效管理因性犯罪而被定罪的男子的案件至关重要。在这一领域,使用经验性精算风险工具已成为惯例。然而,用于评估这些男性的一般、暴力和/或性累犯的精算风险量表仍在开发之中:Static-99导致了Static-99R和Static-2002R,而BARR-2002R的出现则是为了评估暴力再犯风险。一项研究以法属比利时监狱中刑满释放的 328 名性犯罪男子为样本,对 Static-99R、Static-2002R 和 BARR-2002R 进行了评估,并比较了它们在评分者之间和预测方面的有效性。当综合考虑这些工具时,两个版本的 Static-99R 和 Static-2002R 在预测性犯罪再犯方面更胜一筹,而 BARR-2002R 在预测暴力犯罪再犯方面更胜一筹。此外,还对 Brouillette-Alarie 等人(2016 年)确定的因子结构的预测有效性和增量预测有效性进行了研究。结果证明,青少年陌生人攻击因子和一般犯罪因子更能预测一般累犯和非性暴力累犯,而持久性/paraphilia因子更能预测性累犯。
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引用次数: 0
"It's a Slippery Slope": Antecedents of Female-Perpetrated Sexual Abuse of Adolescents in Australian Educational Settings. "这是一个滑坡":澳大利亚教育环境中女性对青少年实施性虐待的前因。
IF 2.1 3区 心理学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-10 DOI: 10.1177/10790632241290507
Amanda L Robertson, Danielle A Harris

Sexual victimization of students endures-especially in secondary schools-and women's perpetration in this setting is increasingly recognized. Nonetheless, our understanding of this population and contemporary cases remains limited, and research in the Australian context is lacking. This study contributes to the evidence base and represents the first Australian study of its kind. We draw on (1) legal documents (N = 19) describing 18 established cases of female-perpetrated sexual abuse against 20 adolescent students (aged 13-17 inclusive) and (2) semi-structured expert interviews with professionals possessing specialized experience of female-perpetrated cases involving adolescent students (N = 8). These data are integrated in a reflexive thematic analysis to identify the personal, contextual, and situational antecedents of female-perpetrated cases thereby exploring the 'why' and 'how' of their perpetration. Taken together, the results indicate a key interaction between individual emotional and relational needs, environmental opportunities, and contextual tolerance. Practical implications for targeting and disrupting these dynamics are discussed.

学生遭受性侵害的现象依然存在,尤其是在中学,而妇女在这种情况下遭受性侵害的现象也日益 得到认可。然而,我们对这一人群和当代案例的了解仍然有限,而且缺乏针对澳大利亚背景的研究。本研究为证据库做出了贡献,也是澳大利亚首次开展此类研究。我们借鉴了以下资料:(1)法律文件(N = 19),其中描述了 18 起针对 20 名青少年学生(年龄在 13-17 岁之间)的由女性实施的性虐待案件;(2)半结构式专家访谈,访谈对象是在涉及青少年学生的由女性实施的案件中拥有专业经验的专业人士(N = 8)。通过对这些数据进行反思性主题分析,确定了女性施暴案件的个人、背景和情境前因,从而探索了施暴的 "原因 "和 "方式"。综合来看,研究结果表明,个人情感和关系需求、环境机会和环境容忍度之间存在着关键的相互作用。本文讨论了针对和破坏这些动态关系的实际意义。
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引用次数: 0
Differentiating Between Sexual Offending and Violent Non-sexual Offending in Men With Schizophrenia Spectrum Disorders Using Machine Learning. 利用机器学习区分精神分裂症谱系障碍男性患者的性犯罪和非性暴力犯罪。
IF 2.1 3区 心理学 Q1 CRIMINOLOGY & PENOLOGY Pub Date : 2024-10-01 Epub Date: 2023-09-11 DOI: 10.1177/10790632231200838
Steffen Lau, Elmar Habermeyer, Andreas Hill, Moritz P Günther, Lena A Machetanz, Johannes Kirchebner, David Huber

Forensic psychiatric populations commonly contain a subset of persons with schizophrenia spectrum disorders (SSD) who have committed sex offenses. A comprehensive delineation of the features that distinguish persons with SSD who have committed sex offenses from persons with SSD who have committed violent non-sex offenses could be relevant to the development of differentiated risk assessment, risk management and treatment approaches. This analysis included the patient records of 296 men with SSD convicted of at least one sex and/or violent offense who were admitted to the Centre for Inpatient Forensic Therapy at the University Hospital of Psychiatry Zurich between 1982 and 2016. Using supervised machine learning, data on 461 variables retrospectively collected from the records were compared with respect to their relative importance in differentiating between men who had committed sex offenses and men who had committed violent non-sex offenses. The final machine learning model was able to differentiate between the two types of offenders with a balanced accuracy of 71.5% (95% CI = [60.7, 82.1]) and an AUC of .80 (95% CI = [.67, .93]). The main distinguishing features included sexual behaviours and interests, psychopathological symptoms and characteristics of the index offense. Results suggest that when assessing and treating persons with SSD who have committed sex offenses, it appears to be relevant to not only address the core symptoms of the disorder, but to also take into account general risk factors for sexual recidivism, such as atypical sexual interests and sexual preoccupation.

法医精神病人群中通常有一部分精神分裂症谱系障碍(SSD)患者曾犯下性犯罪。全面划分曾实施性犯罪的精神分裂症谱系障碍患者与曾实施非性暴力犯罪的精神分裂症谱系障碍患者之间的区别特征,可能有助于制定有区别的风险评估、风险管理和治疗方法。这项分析包括苏黎世大学精神病学医院法医住院治疗中心在1982年至2016年间收治的296名至少犯有一项性犯罪和/或暴力犯罪的男性SSD患者的病历。利用监督机器学习,比较了从病历中回顾性收集的461个变量数据在区分性犯罪男性和非性暴力犯罪男性方面的相对重要性。最终的机器学习模型能够区分两类罪犯,其均衡准确率为 71.5%(95% CI = [60.7,82.1]),AUC 为 0.80(95% CI = [0.67,0.93])。主要鉴别特征包括性行为和性兴趣、精神病理症状和指数犯罪特征。结果表明,在评估和治疗有性犯罪的 SSD 患者时,似乎不仅要解决该障碍的核心症状,还要考虑到性累犯的一般风险因素,如非典型性兴趣和性妄想。
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引用次数: 0
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Sexual Abuse: A Journal of Research and Treatment
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