风险下随机选择的实验研究

Yudistira Permana, Giovanni Van Empel, Rimawan Pradiptyo
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文扩展了Pradiptyo et al.(2015)的实验数据分析,以帮助解释受试者在风险决策时的行为。本研究专门研究了随机选择的两种一般模型:随机效用模型(RUM)和随机偏好模型(RPM)的相对经验表现,其中本文使用两个偏好函数,期望效用(EU)和秩相关期望效用(RDEU)来指定这些模型。使用最大似然技术估计每个模型中的参数,并使用模型之间的拟合优度进行赛马。结果表明,RUM较好地解释了实验对象的行为。此外,RDEU比EU更适合于模拟随机选择。
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Investigation of the Stochastic Choice under Risk using Experimental Data
This paper extends the analysis of the data from the experiment undertaken by Pradiptyo et al. (2015), to help explain the subjects’ behaviour when making decisions under risk. This study specifically investigates the relative empirical performance of the two general models of the stochastic choice: the random utility model (RUM) and the random preference model (RPM) where this paper specifies these models using two preference functionals, expected utility (EU) and rank-dependent expected utility (RDEU). The parameters are estimated in each model using a maximum likelihood technique and run a horse-race using the goodness-of-fit between the models. The results show that the RUM better explains the subjects’ behaviour in the experiment. Additionally, the RDEU fits better than the EU for modelling the stochastic choice.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.00
自引率
14.30%
发文量
15
审稿时长
40 weeks
期刊介绍: An objective of the Gadjah Mada International Journal of Business (GamaIJB) is to promote the wide dissemination of the results of systematic scholarly inquiries into the broad field of business research. The GamaIJB is intended to be the journal for publishing articles reporting the results of research on business. The GamaIJB invites manuscripts in the areas: Marketing Management, Finance Management, Strategic Management, Operation Management, Human Resource Management, E-business, Knowledge Management, Management Accounting, Management Control System, Management Information System, International Business, Business Economics, Business Ethics and Sustainable, and Entrepreneurship.
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