极端不确定性下的判断:认知理性启发式

IF 3.4 3区 管理学 Q2 MANAGEMENT European Management Review Pub Date : 2023-11-28 DOI:10.1111/emre.12624
Anna Grandori
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引用次数: 0

摘要

特刊“扩展理性的边界:走向激进不确定性的新决策模型”解决了开发逻辑合理的决策模型的挑战,这些模型是为不确定性的条件而开发的,这些不确定性是通过既定的决策方法来管理的。这篇社论将所寻求的新模型和方法定性为本质上的建构主义,但在逻辑上既不是演绎的,也不是贝叶斯的:一套用于发现新问题和解决方案的认知理性模型(在现实世界或人工世界中“发现”,即检测或设计),扩展了现有的有限理性模型。这篇社论提供了这一领域的地图,将本文中确定的新启发式定位在更一般的启发式方法中,这些启发式方法适合于激进的不确定性。
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Judgment under radical uncertainty: Epistemic rational heuristics
The special issue “Expanding the boundaries of rationality: Towards new models of decision making for radical uncertainty” addresses the challenge of developing logically sound models of decision making for conditions of uncertainty evading those manageable by established decision making approaches. This editorial characterizes the sought new models and approach as constructivist in nature but neither deductive nor Bayesian in logic: a set of epistemic rationality models for discovering new problems and solutions (“found” either in the real or the artificial world, i.e., either detected or designed) that extend the available bounded rationality models. This editorial offers a map of this territory, positioning the new heuristics identified in this collection of articles in a more general picture of heuristic methods qualifyable as fit to radical uncertainty.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
7.20
自引率
13.50%
发文量
52
期刊介绍: The European Management Review is an international journal dedicated to advancing the understanding of management in private and public sector organizations through empirical investigation and theoretical analysis. The European Management Review provides an international forum for dialogue between researchers, thereby improving the understanding of the nature of management in different settings and promoting the transfer of research results to management practice. Although one of the European Management Review"s aims is to foster the general advancement of management scholarship among European scholars and/or those academics interested in European management issues.
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