完全随机实验中样本编译器平均因果效应的推断

Zhen Zhong, Per Johansson, Junni L. Zhang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

在不服从的随机实验中,学者们认为编译者平均因果效应(CACE)应该是主要的因果估计。关于编译器平均治疗效应(CACE)推断的文献主要集中在对总体CACE的推断上。然而,总的来说,参与实验的个体都是志愿者。这意味着,参与特定实验的个体在重要方面与感兴趣的群体存在差异,这是有风险的。因此,关注手头的样本并具有易于使用和正确的程序来推断样本是有意义的。我们考虑了一个比以往文献更一般的设置,并以从业者熟悉的有限闭区间形式基于Wald估计构造了一个置信区间。此外,利用预处理协变量,我们提出了一种新的回归调整估计量和构造置信区间的相关方法。通过蒙特卡罗仿真验证了该方法的有限样本性能,并将该方法应用于一个岗位培训实验。
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Inference of Sample Complier Average Causal Effects in Completely Randomized Experiments
In randomized experiments with non-compliance scholars have argued that the complier average causal effect (CACE) ought to be the main causal estimand. The literature on inference of the complier average treatment effect (CACE) has focused on inference about the population CACE. However, in general individuals in the experiments are volunteers. This means that there is a risk that individuals partaking in a given experiment differ in important ways from a population of interest. It is thus of interest to focus on the sample at hand and have easy to use and correct procedures for inference about the sample CACE. We consider a more general setting than in the previous literature and construct a confidence interval based on the Wald estimator in the form of a finite closed interval that is familiar to practitioners. Furthermore, with the access of pre-treatment covariates, we propose a new regression adjustment estimator and associated methods for constructing confidence intervals. Finite sample performance of the methods is examined through a Monte Carlo simulation and the methods are used in an application to a job training experiment.
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