Paul Maximilian Röhrig, Nils Körber, Julius Zocher, Andreas Ulbig
{"title":"城市能源系统转型路径的多阶段优化","authors":"Paul Maximilian Röhrig, Nils Körber, Julius Zocher, Andreas Ulbig","doi":"arxiv-2311.11576","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"An essential facet of achieving climate neutrality by 2045 is the\ndecarbonization of municipal energy systems. To accomplish this, it is\nnecessary to establish implementation concepts that detail the timing,\nlocation, and specific measures required to achieve decarbonization. This\nrestructuring process involves identifying the measures that offer the most\ncompelling techno-economic and ecological advantages. In particular, measures\nthat contribute to the interconnection of energy vectors and domains, e.g.\nheating, cooling, and electricity supply, in the sense of decentralized\nmulti-energy systems are a promising future development option. Due to the high\ncomplexity resulting from a multitude of decision options as well as a temporal\ncoupling across the transformation path, the use of optimization methods is\nrequired, which enable a bottom-up identification of suitable transformation\nsolutions in a high spatial resolution. For the design of reasonable concepts,\nwe develop a multistage optimization problem for the derivation of\ntransformation pathways in the context of a multi-location structure,\nexpansion, and operation problem. The results show that the heat supply in the\nfuture will mainly be provided by heat pumps with a share of 60%. It can also\nbe shown that an early dismantling of the gas network will lead to the need for\ntransitional technologies such as pellet heating. Overall, the conversion of\nthe municipal energy system can significantly reduce emissions (97%).","PeriodicalId":501487,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - QuantFin - Economics","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-11-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Multi-stage optimisation towards transformation pathways for municipal energy systems\",\"authors\":\"Paul Maximilian Röhrig, Nils Körber, Julius Zocher, Andreas Ulbig\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2311.11576\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"An essential facet of achieving climate neutrality by 2045 is the\\ndecarbonization of municipal energy systems. To accomplish this, it is\\nnecessary to establish implementation concepts that detail the timing,\\nlocation, and specific measures required to achieve decarbonization. This\\nrestructuring process involves identifying the measures that offer the most\\ncompelling techno-economic and ecological advantages. In particular, measures\\nthat contribute to the interconnection of energy vectors and domains, e.g.\\nheating, cooling, and electricity supply, in the sense of decentralized\\nmulti-energy systems are a promising future development option. Due to the high\\ncomplexity resulting from a multitude of decision options as well as a temporal\\ncoupling across the transformation path, the use of optimization methods is\\nrequired, which enable a bottom-up identification of suitable transformation\\nsolutions in a high spatial resolution. For the design of reasonable concepts,\\nwe develop a multistage optimization problem for the derivation of\\ntransformation pathways in the context of a multi-location structure,\\nexpansion, and operation problem. The results show that the heat supply in the\\nfuture will mainly be provided by heat pumps with a share of 60%. It can also\\nbe shown that an early dismantling of the gas network will lead to the need for\\ntransitional technologies such as pellet heating. Overall, the conversion of\\nthe municipal energy system can significantly reduce emissions (97%).\",\"PeriodicalId\":501487,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - QuantFin - Economics\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-11-20\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - QuantFin - Economics\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2311.11576\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - QuantFin - Economics","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2311.11576","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Multi-stage optimisation towards transformation pathways for municipal energy systems
An essential facet of achieving climate neutrality by 2045 is the
decarbonization of municipal energy systems. To accomplish this, it is
necessary to establish implementation concepts that detail the timing,
location, and specific measures required to achieve decarbonization. This
restructuring process involves identifying the measures that offer the most
compelling techno-economic and ecological advantages. In particular, measures
that contribute to the interconnection of energy vectors and domains, e.g.
heating, cooling, and electricity supply, in the sense of decentralized
multi-energy systems are a promising future development option. Due to the high
complexity resulting from a multitude of decision options as well as a temporal
coupling across the transformation path, the use of optimization methods is
required, which enable a bottom-up identification of suitable transformation
solutions in a high spatial resolution. For the design of reasonable concepts,
we develop a multistage optimization problem for the derivation of
transformation pathways in the context of a multi-location structure,
expansion, and operation problem. The results show that the heat supply in the
future will mainly be provided by heat pumps with a share of 60%. It can also
be shown that an early dismantling of the gas network will lead to the need for
transitional technologies such as pellet heating. Overall, the conversion of
the municipal energy system can significantly reduce emissions (97%).