来自gpt衍生的新闻网络的叙述,以及与金融市场混乱的联系

Deborah Miori, Constantin Petrov
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引用次数: 0

摘要

从《华尔街日报》的经济文章语料库开始,我们提出了一种新颖的系统方法来分析新闻内容随时间的演变。我们利用最先进的自然语言处理技术(例如gpt3.5)来提取每篇文章中最重要的实体,并在每周的水平上聚合相关图中的实体共现。在提出的图集上测试了网络分析技术和模糊社区检测,并引入了一个框架,允许对主题和叙述进行系统但可解释的检测。与此同时,我们建议将一篇文章的主要实体周围的情绪作为这种文本的整体情绪的更准确的代理,并描述案例研究来激励这种选择。最后,我们设计了特征来描述每周新闻的类型和结构,并将它们映射到金融市场混乱的时刻。后者被确定为跨资产类别具有异常高波动性的日期,我们发现定量证据表明它们与相互关联的新闻的高维空间中的高熵实例有关。这一结果进一步激励了我们为新闻叙事的系统分析提供一个新的框架。
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Narratives from GPT-derived Networks of News, and a link to Financial Markets Dislocations
Starting from a corpus of economic articles from The Wall Street Journal, we present a novel systematic way to analyse news content that evolves over time. We leverage on state-of-the-art natural language processing techniques (i.e. GPT3.5) to extract the most important entities of each article available, and aggregate co-occurrence of entities in a related graph at the weekly level. Network analysis techniques and fuzzy community detection are tested on the proposed set of graphs, and a framework is introduced that allows systematic but interpretable detection of topics and narratives. In parallel, we propose to consider the sentiment around main entities of an article as a more accurate proxy for the overall sentiment of such piece of text, and describe a case-study to motivate this choice. Finally, we design features that characterise the type and structure of news within each week, and map them to moments of financial markets dislocations. The latter are identified as dates with unusually high volatility across asset classes, and we find quantitative evidence that they relate to instances of high entropy in the high-dimensional space of interconnected news. This result further motivates the pursued efforts to provide a novel framework for the systematic analysis of narratives within news.
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