Gudan, Jovita, Račkauskas, Alfredas, Suquet, Charles
{"title":"用最大比值统计检验平均值变化","authors":"Gudan, Jovita, Račkauskas, Alfredas, Suquet, Charles","doi":"10.1007/s10687-021-00423-5","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"<p>We propose a new test statistic <span>\\(\\mathrm {MR}_{\\gamma ,n}\\)</span> for detecting a changed segment in the mean, at unknown dates, in a regularly varying sample. Our model supports several alternatives of shifts in the mean, including one change point, constant, epidemic and linear form of a change. Our aim is to detect a short length changed segment <span>\\(\\ell ^{*}\\)</span>, assuming <span>\\(\\ell^*/n\\)</span> to be small as the sample size <i>n</i> is large. <span>\\(\\mathrm {MR}_{\\gamma ,n}\\)</span> is built by taking maximal ratios of weighted moving sums statistics of four sub-samples. An important feature of <span>\\(\\mathrm {MR}_{\\gamma ,n}\\)</span> is to be scale free. We obtain the limiting distribution of ratio statistics under the null hypothesis as well as their consistency under the alternative. These results are extended from i.i.d. samples under <span>\\(H_0\\)</span> to some dependent samples. To supplement theoretical results, empirical illustrations are provided by generating samples from symmetrized Pareto and Log-Gamma distributions.</p>","PeriodicalId":49274,"journal":{"name":"Extremes","volume":"29 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":1.1000,"publicationDate":"2021-11-17","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"1","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Testing mean changes by maximal ratio statistics\",\"authors\":\"Gudan, Jovita, Račkauskas, Alfredas, Suquet, Charles\",\"doi\":\"10.1007/s10687-021-00423-5\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"<p>We propose a new test statistic <span>\\\\(\\\\mathrm {MR}_{\\\\gamma ,n}\\\\)</span> for detecting a changed segment in the mean, at unknown dates, in a regularly varying sample. Our model supports several alternatives of shifts in the mean, including one change point, constant, epidemic and linear form of a change. Our aim is to detect a short length changed segment <span>\\\\(\\\\ell ^{*}\\\\)</span>, assuming <span>\\\\(\\\\ell^*/n\\\\)</span> to be small as the sample size <i>n</i> is large. <span>\\\\(\\\\mathrm {MR}_{\\\\gamma ,n}\\\\)</span> is built by taking maximal ratios of weighted moving sums statistics of four sub-samples. An important feature of <span>\\\\(\\\\mathrm {MR}_{\\\\gamma ,n}\\\\)</span> is to be scale free. We obtain the limiting distribution of ratio statistics under the null hypothesis as well as their consistency under the alternative. These results are extended from i.i.d. samples under <span>\\\\(H_0\\\\)</span> to some dependent samples. To supplement theoretical results, empirical illustrations are provided by generating samples from symmetrized Pareto and Log-Gamma distributions.</p>\",\"PeriodicalId\":49274,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Extremes\",\"volume\":\"29 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":1.1000,\"publicationDate\":\"2021-11-17\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"1\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Extremes\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"100\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10687-021-00423-5\",\"RegionNum\":3,\"RegionCategory\":\"数学\",\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Extremes","FirstCategoryId":"100","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.1007/s10687-021-00423-5","RegionNum":3,"RegionCategory":"数学","ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"MATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS","Score":null,"Total":0}
We propose a new test statistic \(\mathrm {MR}_{\gamma ,n}\) for detecting a changed segment in the mean, at unknown dates, in a regularly varying sample. Our model supports several alternatives of shifts in the mean, including one change point, constant, epidemic and linear form of a change. Our aim is to detect a short length changed segment \(\ell ^{*}\), assuming \(\ell^*/n\) to be small as the sample size n is large. \(\mathrm {MR}_{\gamma ,n}\) is built by taking maximal ratios of weighted moving sums statistics of four sub-samples. An important feature of \(\mathrm {MR}_{\gamma ,n}\) is to be scale free. We obtain the limiting distribution of ratio statistics under the null hypothesis as well as their consistency under the alternative. These results are extended from i.i.d. samples under \(H_0\) to some dependent samples. To supplement theoretical results, empirical illustrations are provided by generating samples from symmetrized Pareto and Log-Gamma distributions.
ExtremesMATHEMATICS, INTERDISCIPLINARY APPLICATIONS-STATISTICS & PROBABILITY
CiteScore
2.20
自引率
7.70%
发文量
15
审稿时长
>12 weeks
期刊介绍:
Extremes publishes original research on all aspects of statistical extreme value theory and its applications in science, engineering, economics and other fields. Authoritative and timely reviews of theoretical advances and of extreme value methods and problems in important applied areas, including detailed case studies, are welcome and will be a regular feature. All papers are refereed. Publication will be swift: in particular electronic submission and correspondence is encouraged.
Statistical extreme value methods encompass a very wide range of problems: Extreme waves, rainfall, and floods are of basic importance in oceanography and hydrology, as are high windspeeds and extreme temperatures in meteorology and catastrophic claims in insurance. The waveforms and extremes of random loads determine lifelengths in structural safety, corrosion and metal fatigue.