定时决策是集体智慧的下一个前沿领域

Albert B. Kao, Shoubhik Banerjee, Fritz Francisco, Andrew M. Berdahl
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摘要

在过去的十年中,人们对集体智慧的兴趣与日俱增--群体有能力做出比孤立个体更准确的决策。然而,迄今为止的绝大多数研究都或明或暗地关注空间决策(如潜在的巢穴、食物区或迁徙方向)。我们强调了同样重要但研究严重不足的时间集体决策领域,即关于何时执行某一行动的决策。我们认为,时间集体决策可能在几个关键方面不同于空间决策,而且可能涉及不同的机制、模型预测和实验结果。我们预计,以时间决策为重点的研究将从根本上拓展对群居生活的适应性和制约因素的理解。
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Timing decisions as the next frontier for collective intelligence
The past decade has witnessed a dramatically growing interest in collective intelligence - the phenomenon of groups having an ability to make more accurate decisions than isolated individuals. However, the vast majority of studies to date have focused, either explicitly or implicitly, on spatial decisions (e.g., potential nest sites, food patches, or migration directions). We highlight the equally important, but severely understudied, realm of temporal collective decision-making, i.e., decisions about when to perform an action. We argue that temporal collective decision making is likely to differ from spatial decision making in several crucial ways and probably involves different mechanisms, model predictions, and experimental outcomes. We anticipate that research focused on temporal decisions should lead to a radically expanded understanding of the adaptiveness and constraints of living in groups.
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