基于复杂网络的国际 ICT 服务贸易演变特征分析

IF 5.9 2区 管理学 Q1 COMMUNICATION Telecommunications Policy Pub Date : 2023-12-09 DOI:10.1016/j.telpol.2023.102697
Yihan Zhang , Jinwen Xu , Wancheng Yang
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引用次数: 0

摘要

数字技术给服务贸易带来了深刻变化,尤其是加速了国际信息和通信技术(ICT)服务贸易的增长。了解 ICT 服务贸易不断变化的特点,对于贸易参与者制定有效政策、增强竞争优势至关重要。本研究利用联合国商品贸易统计数据库的数据,构建了从 2004 年到 2020 年的 ICT 服务贸易网络。研究采用复杂的网络分析方法,从贸易模式、贸易关系、参与国家等几个方面对 ICT 服务贸易进行了深入研究。研究结果显示,ICT 服务贸易的中心国家正逐步主导贸易关系。此外,许多处于信息和通信技术服务贸易体系中下层的国家倾向于与主要经济体开展双边贸易,或与少数几个国家结成贸易联盟。从贸易参与者的演变来看,美国、爱尔兰和英国等早期采用者国家已在 ICT 服务贸易中巩固了稳定的竞争优势。在这些发现的基础上,本研究提出了若干建议,以提高 ICT 服务贸易的竞争力。这项研究不仅丰富了现有的 ICT 服务贸易网络知识库,还为制定该领域的政策提供了宝贵的见解。研究成果为解释 ICT 服务贸易领域的合作与冲突提供了重要指导。
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Analysis of the evolution characteristics of international ICT services trade based on complex network

Digital technology has brought profound changes in the services trade, particularly accelerating the growth of the international Information and Communications Technology (ICT) services trade. Understanding the evolving characteristics of the ICT services trade is pivotal for trade participants to formulate effective policies and enhance their competitive advantages. This study used the data from UN COMTRADE to construct ICT services trade networks spanning from 2004 to 2020. Using complex network analysis methods, it delved into several aspects of ICT services trade, including trade patterns, trade relationships, and participating countries. The findings revealed that central countries in ICT services trade are progressively dominating trade relationships. Moreover, many countries in the middle and lower tiers of the ICT services trade system tend to engage in bilateral trade with major economies or form trade alliances with a select few nations. Examining the evolution of trade participants, early adopter countries such as the United States, Ireland, and the United Kingdom have solidified stable competitive advantages in ICT services trade. Building upon these findings, the study puts forth several recommendations to enhance the competitiveness of the ICT services trade. This study not only enriches the existing knowledge base on ICT services trade networks but also provides valuable insights for shaping policies in this domain. The outcomes offer crucial guidance for interpreting cooperation and conflicts within the realm of ICT services trade.

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来源期刊
Telecommunications Policy
Telecommunications Policy 工程技术-电信学
CiteScore
10.80
自引率
12.50%
发文量
122
审稿时长
38 days
期刊介绍: Telecommunications Policy is concerned with the impact of digitalization in the economy and society. The journal is multidisciplinary, encompassing conceptual, theoretical and empirical studies, quantitative as well as qualitative. The scope includes policy, regulation, and governance; big data, artificial intelligence and data science; new and traditional sectors encompassing new media and the platform economy; management, entrepreneurship, innovation and use. Contributions may explore these topics at national, regional and international levels, including issues confronting both developed and developing countries. The papers accepted by the journal meet high standards of analytical rigor and policy relevance.
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