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Communication Technology advancement and political outcomes in the developing world: Evidence from 4G proliferation in Indonesia 发展中国家的通信技术进步和政治结果:来自印度尼西亚4G扩散的证据
IF 6.4 2区 管理学 Q1 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.telpol.2025.103146
Najwa Khairina , Rus'an Nasrudin , Bambang P.S. Brodjonegoro
This paper examines the impact of 4G internet expansion on voter turnout in Indonesia's 2019 and 2024 general elections, drawing on novel subdistrict-level administrative data that combines 4G coverage records from the Ministry of Communication and Technology with official vote recapitulation data from the General Election Committee. To address the selection bias of the 4G infrastructure roll out, we control for subdistrict and year fixed effect to account for subdistrict unobserved heterogeneity across the election cycles. Across both presidential and legislative contests, greater 4G coverage is associated with lower turnout: −0.009 percentage points in the presidential election and −0.030, −0.018, and −0.014 percentage points in the national, provincial, and district legislative elections, respectively. Nevertheless, these magnitude of turnout response to changes in 4G access are economically small. Our results are robust across specifications, including models that exclude Java, a region central to Indonesia's economic development and electoral dynamics. We also find suggestive evidence on the channel of how internet access decrease voters' turnout: Increased internet access may contribute to information overload and disinformation, reducing incentives to vote, while the preference to spend leisure time online may further discourage electoral participation during election public holidays.
本文研究了4G互联网扩张对印度尼西亚2019年和2024年大选选民投票率的影响,利用了新的街道级行政数据,将通信和技术部的4G覆盖记录与大选委员会的官方投票重述数据相结合。为了解决4G基础设施推出的选择偏差,我们控制了街道和年份固定效应,以解释在选举周期中街道未观察到的异质性。在总统选举和立法选举中,4G覆盖率越高,投票率越低:在总统选举中为- 0.009个百分点,在全国、省级和地区立法选举中分别为- 0.030、- 0.018和- 0.014个百分点。然而,从经济角度来看,这些对4G接入变化的响应幅度很小。我们的结果在各种规格中都是稳健的,包括不包括Java的模型,Java是印度尼西亚经济发展和选举动态的中心地区。我们也发现了有关互联网接入如何降低选民投票率的暗示证据:互联网接入的增加可能会导致信息过载和虚假信息,减少投票的动机,而在选举公共假期上网休闲的偏好可能会进一步阻碍选举参与。
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引用次数: 0
Impact assessment of broadband transport and internet access projects in Peru 秘鲁宽带传输和互联网接入项目影响评估
IF 6.4 2区 管理学 Q1 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.telpol.2025.103149
Jose L. Bonifaz, Julio Aguirre
This study examines the effects of regional broadband initiatives awarded to private operators in Peru between 2019 and 2022. Relying primarily on household survey data, the analysis estimates the effects of these projects on welfare outcomes in the targeted districts. The evaluated intervention involves the phased rollout of broadband infrastructure in beneficiary localities, which created temporal and geographic variation in implementation suitable for quasi-experimental analysis. To estimate causal impacts, a two-stage least squares (2SLS) model is used to address endogeneity, a common concern when infrastructure investment and socioeconomic conditions may be interconnected. The results reveal robust impacts on educational outcomes and working hours in beneficiary localities, underscoring the importance of expanding digital infrastructure to promote inclusion and rural development. In contrast, the estimated effects on income and healthcare access are not robust across some specifications and should therefore be interpreted with caution.
本研究考察了2019年至2022年期间秘鲁私人运营商获得的区域宽带计划的影响。该分析主要依靠住户调查数据,估计了这些项目对目标地区福利结果的影响。评估的干预措施涉及在受益地区分阶段推出宽带基础设施,这在实施过程中产生了时间和地理差异,适合进行准实验分析。为了估计因果影响,使用了两阶段最小二乘(2SLS)模型来解决内生性问题,这是基础设施投资和社会经济条件可能相互关联时常见的问题。研究结果显示,数字化对受益地区的教育成果和工作时间产生了巨大影响,强调了扩大数字基础设施对促进包容和农村发展的重要性。相比之下,对收入和医疗保健获取的估计影响在某些规格上并不稳健,因此应谨慎解释。
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引用次数: 0
Digitalization and firm resilience: Evidence from the COVID-19 pandemic in Zambia 数字化和坚定韧性:来自赞比亚COVID-19大流行的证据
IF 6.4 2区 管理学 Q1 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-27 DOI: 10.1016/j.telpol.2025.103150
Kebede Bekele , Dick Durevall , Gebeyehu M. Fetene
Over the past few decades, internet access and the adoption of 3G/4G wireless networks have expanded across Africa. This digital transformation brings both opportunities and challenges. In this study, we use panel data from two rounds of the World Bank Enterprise Survey conducted in Zambia—before and after the COVID-19 outbreak—to examine the impact of digitalization on firm resilience in a developing-country context. Our analysis employs entropy balancing and difference-in-differences models and remains robust across various estimation techniques. A key finding is that firms that had adopted digital technologies before the pandemic experienced less revenue loss than other firms. The average effects are large but vary significantly across industries. These findings underscore the potential of digital strategies in mitigating economic disruptions.
在过去的几十年里,互联网接入和3G/4G无线网络的采用在非洲各地得到了扩展。这种数字化转型既带来机遇,也带来挑战。在本研究中,我们使用了世界银行在赞比亚开展的两轮企业调查(在2019冠状病毒病爆发之前和之后)的面板数据,研究了数字化对发展中国家企业抵御能力的影响。我们的分析采用熵平衡和差中差模型,并在各种估计技术中保持鲁棒性。一项重要发现是,在大流行之前采用数字技术的公司比其他公司的收入损失更少。平均影响很大,但不同行业差异很大。这些发现强调了数字战略在减轻经济中断方面的潜力。
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引用次数: 0
Mobile financial services: paying with my palm – as simple as that! 移动金融服务:用手掌支付——就这么简单!
IF 6.4 2区 管理学 Q1 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-29 DOI: 10.1016/j.telpol.2025.103148
Philip Avornyo , Lin Xiao , Christian Narh Opata , Selasie Avornyo
As Mobile Financial Services payment methods advance, the Palm Payment Method (PPM) demonstrates some commercial potential. However, this potential is still emerging, particularly in global adoption contexts. While previous studies have examined PPM from a technical performance perspective, this approach is not entirely realistic, as the consumer behavior perspective, specifically the simple view of the method is needed for PPM to occur. Therefore, this study includes users’ perceptions of simplicity of PPM into an extended mobile technology acceptance model for PPM context. An empirical investigation, based on WeChat voice and video call interviews with international students living in China, as potential users, supports the research model. The findings reveal that perceived simplicity has a strong positive effect on both acceptance of PPM and its key determinant. By incorporating this construct into mobile technology acceptance theory, this study enhances the understanding of PPM adoption and provides valuable insights for researchers and industry practitioners.
随着移动金融服务支付方式的发展,Palm支付方式(PPM)显示出一些商业潜力。然而,这种潜力仍在显现,特别是在全球采用的背景下。虽然以前的研究从技术性能的角度检查了PPM,但这种方法并不完全现实,因为消费者行为的角度,特别是方法的简单视图是PPM发生所需要的。因此,本研究将用户对PPM的简单性的看法纳入到PPM上下文的扩展移动技术接受模型中。基于微信语音和视频电话访谈的实证调查,对生活在中国的国际学生作为潜在用户进行了支持研究模型。研究结果表明,感知的简单性对PPM的接受程度及其关键决定因素都有很强的积极影响。通过将这一结构纳入移动技术接受理论,本研究增强了对PPM采用的理解,并为研究人员和行业从业者提供了有价值的见解。
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引用次数: 0
Privacy and cybersecurity issues facing the metaverse: An analysis of technological and institutional factors 面向虚拟世界的隐私和网络安全问题:技术和制度因素分析
IF 6.4 2区 管理学 Q1 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-12 DOI: 10.1016/j.telpol.2025.103140
Nir Kshetri
The metaverse presents several unique challenges from security and privacy standpoints. This paper offers a detailed description and analysis of technological environment and institutional factors that can lead to increased privacy violations and security breaches in the metaverse. On the technological front, it discusses how various features of the metaverse such as newness, novelty and complexity of technologies involved, data intensiveness and weak architectural security of the metaverse are likely to provide a fruitful environment for cybercriminals and other perpetrators. The paper analyzes the level and nature of the impacts of privacy violations and security breaches on consumers and victims in the metaverse environment. It also demonstrates how security breaches in the metaverse are likely to lead to immediate harms to victims. It promotes an understanding of how institutions at various level are related to privacy and security risks in the metaverse. On the regulatory front, it points out that privacy and security laws of the Web2 era are not sufficient to deal with the environments of the metaverse. It also argues that the preparedness to provide security and privacy in the metaverse’s multidimensional and multi-sensory environment is currently lacking at the industry level.
从安全和隐私的角度来看,虚拟世界提出了几个独特的挑战。本文详细描述和分析了可能导致虚拟世界中隐私侵犯和安全漏洞增加的技术环境和制度因素。在技术方面,它讨论了虚拟世界的各种特征,如所涉及技术的新颖性、新颖性和复杂性、数据密集性和虚拟世界薄弱的架构安全性,如何可能为网络罪犯和其他犯罪者提供富有成效的环境。本文分析了在虚拟环境中,隐私侵犯和安全漏洞对消费者和受害者的影响程度和性质。它还展示了虚拟世界中的安全漏洞如何可能对受害者造成直接伤害。它促进了对不同级别的机构如何与虚拟世界中的隐私和安全风险相关的理解。在监管方面,它指出Web2时代的隐私和安全法律不足以应对虚拟世界的环境。它还认为,在多维度和多感官的虚拟世界环境中提供安全和隐私的准备工作目前在行业层面上是缺乏的。
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引用次数: 0
Spectrum governance and 5G market structure: Malaysia's transition to a dual network model 频谱治理和5G市场结构:马来西亚向双网模式过渡
IF 6.4 2区 管理学 Q1 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-24 DOI: 10.1016/j.telpol.2025.103144
Muhammad Nur Thoriqah Wahbi, Noorihsan Mohamad
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引用次数: 0
Comparing AI literacy policies in the European Union, the United States, India, and China 比较欧盟、美国、印度和中国的人工智能扫盲政策
IF 6.4 2区 管理学 Q1 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-15 DOI: 10.1016/j.telpol.2025.103142
Haoyu Yang , Jinghong Xu , Xianquan Zeng , Xinyang Gu
As AI becomes a central element of national and global development strategies, actors are promoting AI literacy through policies that foster highly skilled talent and equip citizens to engage with AI in everyday life. This study conducts a comparative policy analysis of 41 AI literacy policies from the EU, US, India, and China, examining convergences and divergences in domestic talent cultivation and international talent attraction strategies. Research indicates that actors often follow similar pathways, including expanding AI and STEM programs in higher education and establishing dedicated institutions to strengthen internal talent reserves. Simultaneously, efforts are made to integrate technical and socio-technical competence into inclusive education, advancing AI literacy across society. Nevertheless, influenced by labor market saturation, AI industry development, and strategic positioning, AI literacy policies also exhibit regional variations. This study contributes to understanding global trajectories in AI policy development.
随着人工智能成为国家和全球发展战略的核心要素,行为体正在通过培养高技能人才并使公民能够在日常生活中使用人工智能的政策来促进人工智能素养。本研究对来自欧盟、美国、印度和中国的41个人工智能扫盲政策进行了政策比较分析,考察了国内人才培养和国际人才吸引策略的趋同与差异。研究表明,参与者往往遵循类似的途径,包括在高等教育中扩大人工智能和STEM项目,并建立专门的机构以加强内部人才储备。同时,努力将技术和社会技术能力纳入全纳教育,提高全社会的人工智能素养。然而,受劳动力市场饱和、人工智能产业发展和战略定位的影响,人工智能扫盲政策也表现出地区差异。这项研究有助于理解人工智能政策发展的全球轨迹。
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引用次数: 0
“In the end, Bell always wins …” A critical analysis of concentration in Toronto's fibre-internet service market “最终,贝尔总是赢……”对多伦多光纤互联网服务市场集中度的批判性分析
IF 6.4 2区 管理学 Q1 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2026-01-10 DOI: 10.1016/j.telpol.2025.103086
Michel Mersereau
The following paper presents results of inductive analysis of the capital works undertakings of three fibre-based telecommunications services providers (TSPs) operating in Toronto, Canada between 2012 and 2022. The data was obtained via a freedom of information request submitted to the City of Toronto, and the results highlight the dominance of the market's incumbent-local-exchange carrier in project and linear length deployments. A comparative analysis of cumulative works is presented by the type of construction activity inclusive of overlapping projects. We draw on a range of legal and regulatory actions to assess and contextualize the TSP works represented in the data, and to advance a critical analysis of the capture of municipal public spaces in furthering federal objectives towards facilities-based competition. We conclude with policy recommendations premised on prospective disclosure of extant capital works data.
以下是对2012年至2022年间在加拿大多伦多运营的三家基于光纤的电信服务提供商(tsp)的基本工程业务进行归纳分析的结果。这些数据是通过向多伦多市提交的信息自由请求获得的,结果突出了市场上现有的本地交换运营商在项目和线性长度部署方面的主导地位。累积工程的比较分析是由建筑活动的类型,包括重叠的项目。我们利用一系列法律和监管行动来评估数据中所代表的TSP工作并将其置于背景下,并推进对市政公共空间捕获的批判性分析,以推动联邦政府实现以设施为基础的竞争目标。最后,我们以现有基本工程数据的预期披露为前提,提出政策建议。
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引用次数: 0
Divide or Bridge: How does broadband infrastructure reshape the sense of safety among the elderly? 鸿沟还是桥梁:宽带基础设施如何重塑老年人的安全感?
IF 6.4 2区 管理学 Q1 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-17 DOI: 10.1016/j.telpol.2025.103143
Xiaoheng Wu , Cunyang Yu , Jiayao Xu
In the context of the dual advancement of aging and digitalization, how digitalization can empower the elderly has become an important research topic. This paper utilizes panel data from the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS) from 2012 to 2020 and employs the “Broadband China” strategy as an exogenous shock to examine the impact of broadband infrastructure on the sense of safety among the elderly. The study finds that broadband infrastructure significantly enhances the social sense of safety among the elderly, primarily by promoting their digital participation and increasing their political trust, thereby improving their overall sense of safety. Heterogeneity analysis indicates that broadband infrastructure mainly improves the sense of safety among female, low-educated, rural, and spouseless elderly individuals. This study provides important insights into how to alleviate information poverty among the elderly, bridge the digital divide, and build an actively aging society in the context of the digital age.
在老龄化与数字化双重推进的背景下,数字化如何赋能老年人成为一个重要的研究课题。本文利用中国家庭面板研究(CFPS) 2012 - 2020年的面板数据,以“宽带中国”战略为外生冲击,考察宽带基础设施对老年人安全感的影响。研究发现,宽带基础设施显著增强了老年人的社会安全感,主要是通过促进他们的数字参与和增加他们的政治信任,从而提高他们的整体安全感。异质性分析表明,宽带基础设施主要提高了女性、低学历、农村和无配偶老年人的安全感。本研究为数字时代背景下如何缓解老年人信息贫困、弥合数字鸿沟、构建积极老龄化社会提供了重要见解。
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引用次数: 0
The effects of banning permanence clauses in mobile phone markets 禁止手机市场永久性条款的影响
IF 6.4 2区 管理学 Q1 COMMUNICATION Pub Date : 2026-04-01 Epub Date: 2025-12-23 DOI: 10.1016/j.telpol.2025.103141
Renzo Clavijo
Permanence clauses are a widespread tool used by mobile operators to keep consumers subscribed to their network. This type of contract imposes switching costs on consumers, typically through a minimum contract duration before the subscriber can leave the network or a penalty to be paid by the user if leaving before the minimum permanence expires. A ban on permanence clauses was ruled by 2014-Q3 by the regulator in Colombia. This paper proposes a difference-in-differences approach to gather reduced-form evidence about the effect of the ban on the Colombian mobile voice market. Evidence shows that the average revenue per user significantly drops by 30.92% due to the ban.
永久条款是移动运营商广泛使用的一种工具,以保持消费者订阅其网络。这种类型的合同将转换成本强加给消费者,通常是通过用户可以离开网络之前的最短合同期限,或者如果用户在最短永久期限到期之前离开,则需要支付罚款。2014年第三季度,哥伦比亚监管机构颁布了一项永久性条款禁令。本文提出了一种差异中的差异方法来收集有关禁令对哥伦比亚移动语音市场影响的简化证据。有证据表明,由于禁令,每用户平均收入显著下降了30.92%。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Telecommunications Policy
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