市场会战胜政治吗?化石燃料和可再生能源市场对重大政治事件的反应

IF 1.7 4区 经济学 Q2 ECONOMICS Economic Inquiry Pub Date : 2023-12-08 DOI:10.1111/ecin.13195
Samson Mukanjari, Thomas Sterner
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们研究了对气候政策具有重大意义的三个事件对能源行业股票的影响:《巴黎协定》、特朗普当选和总统以及拜登当选。通过将事件研究与脉冲指标饱和方法相结合,我们发现《巴黎协定》和拜登先生的当选有利于可再生能源产业,而特朗普先生的当选则产生了负面影响。对于化石燃料行业,影响则基本相反。尽管特朗普努力消除环境法规,但在他的总统任期内,美国的煤炭产量和消费量都有所下降,而天然气和石油的消费量则有所增加。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。

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Do markets Trump politics? Fossil and renewable market reactions to major political events

We investigate the effects of three events with major importance for climate policy on energy sector stocks: the Paris Agreement, the Trump election and presidency, and the Biden election. By combining event studies with impulse-indicator saturation methods, we show that the Paris Agreement and the election of Mr. Biden benefited renewable industries, while the election of Mr. Trump had negative effects. For fossil fuel industries, the effects were largely the opposite. Despite Trump's efforts to eliminate environmental regulations, his presidency did however witness a decrease in both US coal production and consumption, while natural gas and oil consumption increased.

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来源期刊
Economic Inquiry
Economic Inquiry ECONOMICS-
CiteScore
3.80
自引率
5.60%
发文量
63
期刊介绍: Published since 1962, (formerly Western Economic Journal), EI is widely regarded as one of the top scholarly journals in its field. Besides containing research on all economics topic areas, a principal objective is to make each article understandable to economists who are not necessarily specialists in the article topic area. Nine Nobel laureates are among EI long list of prestigious authors.
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