Economic Inquiry最新文献

This paper constructs a model for the study of optimal immigration from the perspective of natives. They have preferences over redistributive transfers, a public good subject to congestion, and over the level of family-based migration. Border enforcement is costly. The model derives conditions for an optimal immigration policy, which balances skill-based against family-based migration, equalizes the fiscal opportunity cost of unauthorized immigration with the marginal cost of enforcement, and balances the effects on transfers against the implied congestion effects. A parameterized version of the model studies the 1994–2008 period and finds legislation projects on immigration consistent with the model's predictions.

This article conducts a comprehensive analysis of specialization trends within and across fields of economics research. We collect data on 24,273 articles published between 1970 and 2016 in general research economics outlets and employ machine learning techniques to enrich the collected data. Results indicate that theory and econometric methods papers are becoming increasingly specialized, with a narrowing scope and steady or declining citations from outside economics and from other fields of economics research. Conversely, applied papers are covering a broader range of topics, receiving more extramural citations from fields like medicine, and psychology. Trends in applied theory articles are unclear.

Previous studies have shown that pro-social leaders cooperate, on average, more than pro-self leaders in social dilemmas. It can, thus, be beneficial for the group to have a pro-social leader. In this paper we analyze the consequences of a leader informing followers that they are pro-social (or pro-self). In doing so, we compare a setting in which the leader's type is truthfully revealed to settings where the leader can ‘hide’ or ‘lie’ about their pro-sociality. We find that a leader saying they are pro-social boosts efficiency, even if the signal is not fully credible. Cooperation is highest in a truth setting with a pro-social leader. We demonstrate that these results are consistent with a belief-based model of social preference in which the stated type of the leader changes the frame of reference for followers.

Markets are information aggregators. But how do they incorporate new data into their pricing? We examine the response of prediction markets to a novel information shock in a quasi-natural experiment: How did the absence announcements of elite soccer players influence the betting odds of affected matches? Analyzing the first four statistical moments of 117,174 odds from 32 bookmakers, we identify initial inertia followed by a lagged reaction that we cannot reason with learning. Our findings raise questions about how bettors and bookmakers incorporate new information into their beliefs. It has broader implications regarding information processing in markets.

Agents' beliefs regarding future monetary policy changes influence their current decisions. However, these expectations may not always materialize in the future. This study shows that the monetary fundamental shocks (exogenous changes consistent with expectations) stabilize output and inflation, while the noise shocks (biased beliefs that fail to be realized in the future) increase economic fluctuations. Moreover, factors that amplify financial frictions—the spread between the capital return of entrepreneurs and the risk-free interest rate of a central bank—can increase anticipation effects associated with these two types of monetary policy shocks.

We investigate how state “Auto-IRA” mandates affect firm offerings of employer-sponsored retirement plans (ESRPs). These policies require firms without ESRPs to facilitate automatic employee contributions to state-created individual retirement accounts. We find that these policies increase an individual's probability of working for a firm with an ESRP by 6%–9% and of being included in the ESRP by 8%–13%. At the firm level, these policies increase the probability of offering an ESRP by 7%, the probability of establishing a new ESRP by 41%–44%, and the number of ESRP participants by 6 percent.

We analyze a sample of consumer-electronics products sold by the US NewEgg online-retailer to study the impact of price-matching guarantees (PMGs) on prices. By applying a difference-in-differences approach, we find that the price of the policy-adopting retailer increases by 4.7% during the policy validity period and up to 5 days after the treatment, while those of the non-adopting competitor are not affected. Results are mainly driven by highly-rated, visible, and expensive products, whereas the policy does not affect low-rated, less visible, and cheaper products. These findings are consistent with the hypotheses that PMGs act as price discrimination or signaling tools.