乌克兰金融市场在克服经济安全威胁条件下的表现模拟

I. Irtyshcheva, M. Stehnei, I. Kramarenko, O. Liashenko, H. Mykhalchynets, Nataliia Mykhalchynets, Viktor Neimet
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的目的是对乌克兰金融市场在克服经济安全威胁的情况下的有效性进行建模。预测对乌克兰金融市场综合表现可能产生的行为反应,需要与学术环境、影响因素内容所形成的风险变异性、通过设定关键业务量来响应影响因素的影响相联系。这是因为根据其组合结构,关键金融市场操作的数量也旨在获得结果。因此,我们建议预测对乌克兰金融市场综合表现可能做出的行为反应。预测的重点是获得关于关键金融市场操作的反应值,以便下一次解决/实现良好的目标值。收到的变化预测创造了一个足够准确的机会,可以利用对其内部反应性的研究,揭示结果形成的条件,特别是金融市场关键操作的特征,这种反应性是由影响因素的作用所指导的。根据业绩评价的结果,很明显,由于市场容量可能缩小和投资选择减少,乌克兰金融市场的预期整体业绩将显示出低得多的预期收益增长。这种分析和预测的结果将使我们能够在战略地图的框架内合理地制定一系列优先行动,确定概述的优先事项,并对其效力随时间的变化进行预测性分析(这提供了对吸收或完全吸收金融市场不稳定过程的运动的可视化)。
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Simulation of the Performance of the Financial Market of Ukraine in the Conditions of Overcoming Threats to Economic Security
The purpose of the article is the process of modeling the effectiveness of the financial market of Ukraine in the conditions of overcoming threats to economic security. Forecasting possible behavioral reactions to the integrated performance of the financial market of Ukraine is necessary for connection with the academic environment, the variability of risks formed by the content of influencing factors, by setting the volumes of critical operations to respond to the effect of influencing factors. This is because the volumes of critical financial market operations, according to its combinatorial structure, are also aimed at obtaining a result. Therefore, we suggest predicting possible behavioral reactions to the integrated performance of the financial market of Ukraine. The forecast is focused on obtaining reaction values regarding critical financial market operations for the next resolution/achievement of good target values. The received forecast of changes creates an opportunity with sufficient accuracy to reveal the conditions for the formation of results, notably that characteristic of critical operations of the financial market, using studies of its internal reactivity, which is guided by the action of influencing factors. According to the results of the performance evaluation, it is evident that the expected integral performance of the financial market of Ukraine will demonstrate a much lower expected increase in benefits due to the likely narrowing of the market capacity and reduction of investment options. The results of such analysis and forecasting will make it possible to reasonably approach the development of sets of priority actions within the framework of strategic maps, the fixation of outlined priorities, and predictive analysis of changes in their effectiveness over time (which provides visualization of the movement towards absorption or complete absorption of destabilizing processes in the financial market).
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来源期刊
WSEAS Transactions on Systems and Control
WSEAS Transactions on Systems and Control Mathematics-Control and Optimization
CiteScore
1.80
自引率
0.00%
发文量
49
期刊介绍: WSEAS Transactions on Systems and Control publishes original research papers relating to systems theory and automatic control. We aim to bring important work to a wide international audience and therefore only publish papers of exceptional scientific value that advance our understanding of these particular areas. The research presented must transcend the limits of case studies, while both experimental and theoretical studies are accepted. It is a multi-disciplinary journal and therefore its content mirrors the diverse interests and approaches of scholars involved with systems theory, dynamical systems, linear and non-linear control, intelligent control, robotics and related areas. We also welcome scholarly contributions from officials with government agencies, international agencies, and non-governmental organizations.
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