Edible Sea urchin (Paracentrotus lividus) larval dispersal and connectivity modelling in the northwestern Mediterranean Sea

The edible sea urchin (Paracentrotus lividus) is of significant economic importance due to high demand for its consumption in various Mediterranean countries. This echinoderm plays a crucial ecological role by regulating the dynamics of seaweed and seagrass through its grazing behaviour. The abundance of sea urchin is variable in time and space, but it is currently potentially declining in the Mediterranean Sea, and likely to be negatively affected by global change. Therefore, gaining a more comprehensive understanding of sea urchin larval dispersal patterns over an extended period could contribute to our understanding of how their dynamics relate to population connectivity. To investigate the trajectories of larval dispersal of this sea urchin in the Northwestern Mediterranean Sea, we combined a Lagrangian model (Ichthyop) with a hydrodynamic model (MARS3D). This study covered the years 2010–2018 and aimed to quantify the connectivity between the preferred habitats of the sea urchin (seagrasses and rocky substrates). The present study explores seasonal variations in dispersal routes and habitat connectivity relationships for two spawning scenarios identified in the literature (spring and autumn). The results enable us to identify dispersal routes, and their regularity over time. They highlight a consistent connection between Sardinia, Corsica, and the coastlines of the Ligurian and Tyrrhenian Seas, indicating a lack of genetic structuring within the edible sea urchin population in this area, particularly in Corsica. The connectivity matrices confirm the observed dispersal trajectories and highlight certain areas of significant and enduring local retention over time. The results also reveal minimal seasonal variability. Conversely, interannual variability appears pronounced, particularly in relation with trends in the warming of surface waters in the Mediterranean, which seem to impact the dispersal routes taken by P. lividus larvae. Lastly, a connectivity map was created to explore spatial resource management perspectives, aiming to identify frequent connections over an extended time period and assign varying levels of intensity to them. This approach can provide guidance with regard to resource management issues for different coastal areas that can be connected by larvae.