{"title":"连接最大后验估计和后验期望的匹配先验对","authors":"Michiko Okudo, Keisuke Yano","doi":"arxiv-2312.09586","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Bayesian statistics has two common measures of central tendency of a\nposterior distribution: posterior means and Maximum A Posteriori (MAP)\nestimates. In this paper, we discuss a connection between MAP estimates and\nposterior means. We derive an asymptotic condition for a pair of prior\ndensities under which the posterior mean based on one prior coincides with the\nMAP estimate based on the other prior. A sufficient condition for the existence\nof this prior pair relates to $\\alpha$-flatness of the statistical model in\ninformation geometry. We also construct a matching prior pair using\n$\\alpha$-parallel priors. Our result elucidates an interesting connection\nbetween regularization in generalized linear regression models and posterior\nexpectation.","PeriodicalId":501330,"journal":{"name":"arXiv - MATH - Statistics Theory","volume":"1 1","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.0000,"publicationDate":"2023-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"Matching prior pairs connecting Maximum A Posteriori estimation and posterior expectation\",\"authors\":\"Michiko Okudo, Keisuke Yano\",\"doi\":\"arxiv-2312.09586\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Bayesian statistics has two common measures of central tendency of a\\nposterior distribution: posterior means and Maximum A Posteriori (MAP)\\nestimates. In this paper, we discuss a connection between MAP estimates and\\nposterior means. We derive an asymptotic condition for a pair of prior\\ndensities under which the posterior mean based on one prior coincides with the\\nMAP estimate based on the other prior. A sufficient condition for the existence\\nof this prior pair relates to $\\\\alpha$-flatness of the statistical model in\\ninformation geometry. We also construct a matching prior pair using\\n$\\\\alpha$-parallel priors. Our result elucidates an interesting connection\\nbetween regularization in generalized linear regression models and posterior\\nexpectation.\",\"PeriodicalId\":501330,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"arXiv - MATH - Statistics Theory\",\"volume\":\"1 1\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.0000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-12-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"arXiv - MATH - Statistics Theory\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/arxiv-2312.09586\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"\",\"JCRName\":\"\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"arXiv - MATH - Statistics Theory","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/arxiv-2312.09586","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"","JCRName":"","Score":null,"Total":0}
Matching prior pairs connecting Maximum A Posteriori estimation and posterior expectation
Bayesian statistics has two common measures of central tendency of a
posterior distribution: posterior means and Maximum A Posteriori (MAP)
estimates. In this paper, we discuss a connection between MAP estimates and
posterior means. We derive an asymptotic condition for a pair of prior
densities under which the posterior mean based on one prior coincides with the
MAP estimate based on the other prior. A sufficient condition for the existence
of this prior pair relates to $\alpha$-flatness of the statistical model in
information geometry. We also construct a matching prior pair using
$\alpha$-parallel priors. Our result elucidates an interesting connection
between regularization in generalized linear regression models and posterior
expectation.