管理人口结构转型:全面分析中国经济可持续发展之路

Yuxin Hu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文分析了从 1990 年到 2050 年中国在人口结构变化中的经济演变,为学术界和政策制定者提供了宝贵的见解。文章独特地将各种经济理论与经验数据相结合,考察了人口老龄化、城市化和家庭动态对劳动力、需求和生产率的影响。该研究的新颖之处在于将古典、新古典和内生增长理论与巴罗(Barro)和萨拉-伊-马丁(Sala-i-Martin)等模型相结合,对中国的经济发展轨迹进行了背景分析。该书以前瞻性的视角,利用计量经济学方法预测未来趋势,并提出了切实可行的政策建议。这一全面的方法揭示了全球背景下的人口转变管理,使其成为对人口经济学领域的重要贡献。
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Managing Demographic Transitions: A Comprehensive Analysis of China's Path to Economic Sustainability
This article presents an analysis of China's economic evolution amidst demographic changes from 1990 to 2050, offering valuable insights for academia and policymakers. It uniquely intertwines various economic theories with empirical data, examining the impact of an aging population, urbanization, and family dynamics on labor, demand, and productivity. The study's novelty lies in its integration of Classical, Neoclassical, and Endogenous Growth theories, alongside models like Barro and Sala-i-Martin, to contextualize China's economic trajectory. It provides a forward-looking perspective, utilizing econometric methods to predict future trends, and suggests practical policy implications. This comprehensive approach sheds light on managing demographic transitions in a global context, making it a significant contribution to the field of demographic economics.
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