不同国家的谷歌用户对牙膏的兴趣。

IF 1.5 4区 医学 Q3 DENTISTRY, ORAL SURGERY & MEDICINE Brazilian oral research Pub Date : 2023-12-15 eCollection Date: 2023-01-01 DOI:10.1590/1807-3107bor-2023.vol37.0124
Bruna DI Profio, Matheus Lotto, Patricia Estefania Ayala Aguirre, Cristina Cunha Villar, Giuseppe Alexandre Romito, Mariana Minatel Braga, Thiago Cruvinel, Cláudio Mendes Pannuti
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引用次数: 0

摘要

互联网是一个不断增长的知识来源,可以提供有关口腔健康的信息。这项生态研究旨在了解不同国家的谷歌用户对牙膏的兴趣。我们的假设是,谷歌用户对牙膏信息的兴趣会增加。这项回顾性纵向生态研究分析了来自 10 个国家的谷歌用户在 2004 年 1 月至 2020 年 12 月期间对牙膏相关信息的兴趣。使用谷歌趋势(Google Trends)确定了相对搜索量(RSV)和主要相关查询的月度变化。建立了自回归综合移动平均(ARIMA)预测模型,以确定牙膏在另外 12 个月的预测 RSV 值。自相关图和广义加法模型 (GAM) 用于诊断 RSV 曲线的趋势和季节性。此外,还分析了与 COVID-19 爆发有关的社会隔离的影响。启发式分析表明,尽管自相关函数(ACF)和偏自相关函数(PACF)分析没有发现这一现象,但所有国家对牙膏相关信息的兴趣都有所增加,在 12 个月的预测中观察到了稳定的趋势,只有英国和南非有所增加。同时,GAM 分析表明,月度或季度季节性对数据的影响并不显著。此外,COVID-19 大流行期间的社会隔离并没有影响谷歌搜索用户与该主题相关的在线信息搜索行为。我们证实了这一假设,即在所有 10 个接受评估的国家中,谷歌搜索用户对牙膏信息的兴趣都有所增加。
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Toothpaste-related interests of Google users from different countries.

The Internet is a growing source of knowledge and can provide information about oral health. This ecological study aimed to characterize the interests in toothpaste among Google users from different countries. Our hypothesis was that there would be an increase in Google users' interest in information about toothpaste. This retrospective longitudinal ecological study analyzed the toothpaste-related interest of Google users from 10 countries between January 2004 and December 2020. The monthly variation in relative search volume (RSV) and the main related queries were determined using Google Trends. Autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) forecasting models were built to establish the predictive RSV values for toothpaste for an additional 12 months. Autocorrelation plots and the generalized additive model (GAM) were used to diagnose trends and seasonality in RSV curves. Additionally, the influence of social isolation related to the outbreak of COVID-19 was analyzed. Although not detected by autocorrelation function (ACF) and partial autocorrelation function (PACF) analyses, the heuristic analysis showed an increase in the interest in toothpaste-related information in all countries, with a stable trend observed in the 12-month forecasts, except for the increases in the United Kingdom and South Africa. Also, GAM analyses demonstrated a non-significant monthly or quarterly seasonal influence on data. In addition, social isolation during the COVID-19 pandemic did not influence the online information-seeking behavior of Google Search users linked to this topic. We confirmed the hypothesis that the interest of Google Search users in information about toothpaste increased in all of the 10 assessed countries.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
3.70
自引率
4.00%
发文量
107
审稿时长
12 weeks
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