肯尼亚选举系统的后勤规划实践与绩效。

Muo Charles, Ndolo Jackson, Odari Sammy
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引用次数: 0

摘要

选举正在成为民主的基石。甚至在非洲国家大发展之前,敌对分子就试图通过颠覆选举来腐蚀、破坏或以其他方式扰乱民主。对选举进程的威胁与投票本身一样古老:敌对政府、恐怖组织、争取特威德老板选票的罢工者,这些人都试图进行破坏,因此民主的生存要求保护选举。因此,在非洲国家 90 年代的选举管理之后,一些人阻碍选举的趋势并没有改变,在非洲国家的历史上就发生过许多选举舞弊案件。近年来,这种推翻民主的企图的一些策略变得与众不同。如今,利用数字网络漏洞进行的攻击改进了传统方法,成为一种日益成功的战略。因此,本研究试图确定物流规划做法对肯尼亚选举系统性能的作用。本研究采用的研究设计是纵向研究设计。研究对象包括肯尼亚 2017 年 8 月选举中 290 个选区内的 373 名委员会秘书/首席执行官(CS/CEO)、委员会副秘书(DCS)、主任、经理、县选举经理和选区选举协调员。共有 373 名受访者作为研究样本。数据采用第一手和第二手数据。在使用自填式问卷和访谈指南收集原始数据的同时,本研究还查阅了以往的评估报告,以寻求有关大选表现的二手数据。收集数据后,使用描述性和推论性统计工具对数据进行了分析。本研究的结果将使参与选举管理的政策制定者、管理者、行政人员、全体公民、研究人员、顾问、学者和培训人员受益。本研究检验了物流规划实践对肯尼亚选举系统的绩效没有显著作用的零假设。本研究采用了实用主义范式方法和混合方法研究。调查问卷进行了有效性和可靠性测试。在社会科学统计软件包(SPSS)第 25 版的协助下,使用定量和定性技术对收集到的数据进行了分析。进行了多元回归和相关分析。结果显示,物流规划与选举系统绩效之间存在中等程度的正相关(R = 0.565),物流规划解释了约 31.9% 的方差。这些研究结果对选举当局和政策制定者具有重要意义,他们希望通过使用战略性后勤规划来提高选举系统的可靠性、参与率、统一性和可信度。关于肯尼亚选举系统中后勤规划战略重要性的研究结果提出了改进建议,包括实施强有力的后勤规划程序,以优化资源分配并尽量减少延误;优先考虑投票地点的选民友好环境;建立反应灵敏的后勤通信系统;以及制定具有成本效益的后勤规划方法。此外,该研究还表明有必要开展进一步研究,以确定影响选举系统绩效的其他因素,并评估东非地区等不同环境下的后勤管理做法,以便进行更全面的分析。
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Logistics Planning Practices and Performance of Electoral Systems in Kenya.
Elections are becoming democracy's bedrock. Even before the great development of African states were created, antagonists attempted to corrupt, undermine, or otherwise disrupt democracy by seeking to subvert elections. The threats on the electoral process are as old as the vote itself: from adversarial governments, terrorist organizations, strikers for the Boss Tweed vote, people who try to wreak havoc hence the survival of democracy demands for the protection of elections. As a consequence, after the 90s Election Administration in African nations, the tendency of some individuals to impede elections has not changed, mentioning a number of electoral fraud cases in the history of African States. In recent years, some of the tactics of such attempts to overthrow democracy have become distinct. Attacks that exploit vulnerabilities in digital networks today improve conventional approaches and have become an increasingly successful strategy. Therefore, the study sought to determine the role of Logistics planning practices on the performance of electoral systems in Kenya. The research design that was used in this study was a longitudinal research design. The population for this study consisted of 373 Commission Secretary/Chief Executive Officer (CS/CEO), Deputy Commission Secretary (DCS), Directors, Managers, County Election Managers, and Constituency Election Coordinators within 290 constituencies of Kenya's August 2017 election. A total of 373 respondents were used as the sample size for the study. Data was used as primary and secondary. While self-administered questionnaire and interview guide were used to collect primary data, the study reviewed the previous evaluation reports to seek the secondary data on General election performance. The data was collected and then analyzed by both descriptive and inferential statistical tools. The results of this study benefited policy makers, managers, administrators, citizens all whole, researchers, consultants, scholars, and trainers involved in Election Administration. This study tested the null hypotheses that Logistics planning practices had no significant role in the performance of electoral systems in Kenya. Pragmatism paradigm approach and mixed method research were adopted in this study. The questionnaire tested both validity and reliability. Quantitative and qualitative techniques were used to analyze the collected data with the assistance of Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS) software version 25. Multiple regression and correlation analysis were carried out. The results revealed a moderate positive correlation (R = 0.565) between logistics planning and electoral system performance, with approximately 31.9% of the variance explained by logistic planning. The consequences of these findings are relevant for electoral authorities and policymakers that aim to improve the dependability, participation rate, uniformity, and trustworthiness of election systems through the use of strategic logistical planning. The study's findings on the significance of logistics planning strategies in Kenyan electoral systems suggest recommendations for improvement, including implementing robust logistics planning procedures to optimize resource allocation and minimize delays, prioritizing voter-friendly environments at polling locations, establishing a responsive logistical communication system, and developing cost-effective logistics planning approaches. Additionally, the study indicates a need for further research to identify additional factors influencing electoral system performance and to assess logistics management practices in different contexts, such as the East African region, for a more comprehensive analysis
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