斯洛伐克共和国劳动生产率背景下的代群人口老龄化问题

Adriana Grenčíková, Jana Španková, Richard Rigó, Monika Gullerová
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引用次数: 0

摘要

人口老龄化是 21 世纪全球人口发展的主要趋势,也是劳动力市场供应形成的主要因素之一。本研究的重点是人口老龄化,从劳动力市场的角度看,人口老龄化是各国维持经济增长的一个问题。其目的是根据对现有统计数据的分析,确定人口老龄化对斯洛伐克共和国劳动生产率和劳动力市场的影响。研究还试图确定如何在不提高退休年龄的情况下减轻人口老龄化对保持经济增长和社会稳定的影响。研究分析了统计指标,利用了经合组织的人口预测,并将其与宏观经济指标(国内生产总值、就业)联系起来。与经合组织预测的人口增长相比,假定每年的国内生产总值(GDP)增长(3%)和劳动生产率(2%)保持 70% 的就业率,斯洛伐克共和国劳动力市场上将有大约 367,000 个未填补的工作岗位。建议的解决方案包括养老金改革、投资创新和教育以提高生产力、支持家庭提高出生率、简化第三国工人的就业手续以及改善妇女的工作条件。如果与其他解决方案相结合,改善妇女的工作条件将有助于弥补老龄劳动力的短缺。
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Population aging in terms of generational cohorts in the context of labor productivity in the Slovak Republic
The aging of the population is the main global demographic trend of the 21st century and one of the main factors in the formation of supply in the labor market. This study focuses on the aging of the population, which, in the context of the labor market, represents a problem for countries to sustain economic growth. The aim is to determine, based on the analysis of available statistical data, the impact of population aging on labor productivity and the labor market in the Slovak Republic. It also seeks to define how to mitigate the effects of population aging on maintaining economic growth and social stability without raising the retirement age. The study analyzed statistical indicators, utilizing OECD population projections and linking them to macroeconomic indicators (GDP, employment). Assuming GDP growth (3%) and labor productivity (2%) per year while maintaining 70% employment in comparison with population growth presented in the OECD forecasts, there will be approximately 367,000 unfilled jobs on the labor market in the Slovak Republic. Proposed solutions include pension reforms, investment in innovation and education for increased productivity, support for families to raise birth rates, simplified employment of workers from third countries, and improved working conditions for women. Addressing women’s working conditions can help compensate for the shortage in the aging workforce when combined with other solutions.
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来源期刊
CiteScore
2.90
自引率
0.00%
发文量
152
审稿时长
11 weeks
期刊介绍: The purpose of the journal is coverage of different aspects of management and governance, such as international organizations and communities’ management, state and regional governance, company’s management, etc. The key aspects of planning, organization, motivation and control in various areas and in different countries are subject of the journal''s scope. The journal publishes articles, which are focused on existing and new methods, techniques and approaches in the field of management. It publishes contemporary and innovative researches, including theoretical and empirical research papers.
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