影响巴基斯坦农作物生产的因素:农业就业、机械和化肥消耗的作用

Muhammad Shakeel, Najam ul Hassan, Kalsoom Akhtar Chaudhry, Muhammad Naveed Tahir
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摘要

劳动力丰富或发展不足的经济体通常依赖农业部门。农业部门的业绩取决于种植业、畜牧业、渔业和林业部门的生产。在 20-2021 财年,种植业和畜牧业对农业生产的贡献率接近 96.42%,而种植业的贡献率接近 33.85%[《巴基斯坦经济概览》,2020-2021 年]。本研究的重点是调查可能影响巴基斯坦作物生产绩效的因素。为此,考虑对 1976 年至 2022 年的样本期进行边界检验。实证结果显示,农业部门的就业、农业机械、化肥消耗和城市人口极大地推动了农作物生产的步伐,而原材料进口的作用则不明显。上述结果表明,可以鼓励农业部门利用最新的农业机械、先进的化肥和高就业率来提高种植业在巴基斯坦农业生产中的份额。
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What Affects Crop Production in Pakistan: The Role of Agriculture Employment, Machinery and Fertilizer Consumption
Labor abundant or under developing economies normally rely on their agriculture sector. The performance of agriculture sector depends on the production of cropping, livestock, fishery, and forestry sectors. The contribution of both cropping and livestock sectors in the agriculture production is almost 96.42 percent while the cropping sector contributes almost 33.85 percent during the fiscal year 20-2021 [Pakistan Economic Survey, 2020-2021]. The focus of this study is to investigate the factors which may influence the performance of crop production in Pakistan. For this purpose, bounds testing approach for the sample period from 1976 to 2022 is considered. The empirical results reveal that employment in agriculture sector, agriculture machinery, fertilizer consumption and urban population significantly boost the pace of crop production while the role of raw material imports is witnessed to be insignificant. The above reported results proposes that utilization of latest agriculture machinery, advanced fertilizers and high employability in agriculture sector may be encouraged to uplift the share of cropping sector in agriculture production in Pakistan.
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