2019-2021 年宏观经济因素、盈利能力和股票交易量对股票价格的影响

Anisa Fitriani, Febryanti Simon
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摘要

2020 年 3 月,Covid-19 大流行病袭击了印度尼西亚,对包括资本市场在内的各行各业造成了影响。主要作为投资者资金来源的资本市场也受到了影响。本研究旨在探讨在 "Covid-19 "疫情中经济要素对制造业股价的影响。考察的方面包括汇率、通货膨胀、概率和股票交易量。本研究采用的数据来自2019年至2021年期间在印度尼西亚证券交易所(IDX)上市的全部171家制造业公司。采用的研究方法是定量方法。采用的总体抽样技术产生了 59(五十九)家符合研究标准的公司样本。采用的数据分析方法是面板数据回归分析,利用随机效应模型(REM)进行估计,并使用 Eviews 12 进行测试。研究结果表明,盈利能力对股票价格有显著影响,而汇率、通货膨胀和股票交易量对 2019-2021 年期间制造业公司的股票价格没有显著影响。根据得到的同步检验结果,汇率、通货膨胀率、盈利能力和股票交易量对股票价格有显著影响。
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Influence of Macroeconomics Factors, Profitability, and Stock Trading Volume on Stock Prices in The Years 2019-2021
The Covid-19 pandemic, which struck Indonesia in March 2020, impacted various sectors, including the capital market. The capital market, which primarily served as a source of funding for investors, was also affected. This research was designed to examine the impact of economic elements on the share prices of manufacturing sectors amidst the Covid-19. The aspects under examination  encompassed exchange rate, inflation, probability, and stock trading volume. This research employed data from all total of 171 manufacturing industry firms listed  on the Indonesia Stock Exchange (IDX) over the period from 2019 to 2021 . The research method used is a quantitative method. The total sampling technique used resulted in a sample of 59 (fifty-nine) companies that met the research criteria. The method of data analysis employed is panel data regression analysis, utilizing the Random Effect Model (REM) estimation, which is tested using Eviews 12. The findings indicate that profitability significantly influences stock prices, while exchange rate, inflation and stock trading volume do not have a significant effect on the stock prices of manufacturing companies during 2019-2021. Based on the simultaneous test result obtained, exchange rate, inflation, profitability, and stock trading volume have a significant effect on stock prices.    
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