{"title":"具有有限时间奇点泡沫的简单金融模型的微观基础及其基于代理的模拟","authors":"Naohiro Yoshida","doi":"10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.277-283","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"This paper proposes a mathematical model of financial security prices in continuous time with bubbles in which prices may diverge and crash in finite time. Just before the bubbles burst, prices increase super-exponentially. In addition, a discrete-time excess demand model is proposed to provide a micro-foundation for the continuous-time model. The derived discrete-time security price model has the same characteristics as the continuous-time price model and expresses the finite-time singularity. Furthermore, based on the excess demand model, an agent-based simulation is performed to check the price behavior. As expected, we can confirm that prices can diverge in finite time and increase super-exponentially.","PeriodicalId":43184,"journal":{"name":"Economics and Business Letters","volume":"15 5","pages":""},"PeriodicalIF":0.9000,"publicationDate":"2023-12-15","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"A micro-foundation of a simple financial model with finite-time singularity bubble and its agent-based simulation\",\"authors\":\"Naohiro Yoshida\",\"doi\":\"10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.277-283\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"This paper proposes a mathematical model of financial security prices in continuous time with bubbles in which prices may diverge and crash in finite time. Just before the bubbles burst, prices increase super-exponentially. In addition, a discrete-time excess demand model is proposed to provide a micro-foundation for the continuous-time model. The derived discrete-time security price model has the same characteristics as the continuous-time price model and expresses the finite-time singularity. Furthermore, based on the excess demand model, an agent-based simulation is performed to check the price behavior. As expected, we can confirm that prices can diverge in finite time and increase super-exponentially.\",\"PeriodicalId\":43184,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Economics and Business Letters\",\"volume\":\"15 5\",\"pages\":\"\"},\"PeriodicalIF\":0.9000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-12-15\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Economics and Business Letters\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.277-283\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q3\",\"JCRName\":\"ECONOMICS\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Economics and Business Letters","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.277-283","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q3","JCRName":"ECONOMICS","Score":null,"Total":0}
A micro-foundation of a simple financial model with finite-time singularity bubble and its agent-based simulation
This paper proposes a mathematical model of financial security prices in continuous time with bubbles in which prices may diverge and crash in finite time. Just before the bubbles burst, prices increase super-exponentially. In addition, a discrete-time excess demand model is proposed to provide a micro-foundation for the continuous-time model. The derived discrete-time security price model has the same characteristics as the continuous-time price model and expresses the finite-time singularity. Furthermore, based on the excess demand model, an agent-based simulation is performed to check the price behavior. As expected, we can confirm that prices can diverge in finite time and increase super-exponentially.
期刊介绍:
Economics and Business Letters is an open access journal that publishes both theoretical and empirical quality original papers in all economics and business fields. In addition, relevant discussions on current policy issues will be considered for the Policy Watch section. As general strategy of EBL, the journal will launch calls for papers for special issues on topics of interest, generally with invited guest editors. The maximum length of the letters is limited to 2,500 words.