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PhD holders propensity to work in research-intensive sectors: evidence from Italy 博士生在研究密集型部门工作的倾向:意大利的证据
IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.296-305
Valentino Parisi, Margarida M. Pinheiro
PhD holders play an important role in exploring new research areas relevant to the development of knowledge-based economies, and the investment in PhD education is seen as part of a strategy for tomorrows’ society, with doctorates historically being absorbed by an academic career dedicated to teaching and research. However, these days are gone, and the number of PhD holders is far beyond the academic vacancies available. The present study aims at estimating the probability of PhD holders to work in research intensive sectors in Italy. We use data available from the National Institute of Statistics to estimate a probit model with the Heckman correction for the sample selection bias. The study has political consequences related to PhD holders career orientation.
博士生在探索与知识型经济发展相关的新研究领域方面发挥着重要作用,对博士生教育的投资被视为未来社会战略的一部分,历史上博士生被专门从事教学和研究的学术生涯所吸收。然而,这种时代已经一去不复返了,博士生的数量远远超出了现有的学术职位空缺。本研究旨在估算博士生在意大利研究密集型部门工作的概率。我们利用国家统计局提供的数据,通过对样本选择偏差进行赫克曼校正,估算出一个 probit 模型。这项研究会对博士生的职业取向产生政治影响。
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引用次数: 0
Banking sector openness, a path to social responsibility? Evidence from Southern European banks 银行业开放,通往社会责任之路?南欧银行的证据
IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.284-295
Brahim Gaies
Since the global financial crisis of 2008, the practices of the European banking sector have come under public scrutiny.Considered as a source of external shocks, the opening of European banking markets is particularly questioned.Following this trend, this article aims to provide an original study by examining the effect of banking sector openness onbanks' social responsibility. It focuses on the case of Southern European banks, which are the most vulnerable in theEuropean system. The study highlights a significant effect of banking sector openness on banks' social performance.However, the financial performance of banks moderates this effect.
自 2008 年全球金融危机以来,欧洲银行业的做法受到了公众的关注。作为外部冲击的来源,欧洲银行业市场的开放尤其受到质疑。本文以欧洲体系中最脆弱的南欧银行为研究对象。研究强调了银行业开放度对银行社会绩效的重要影响。
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引用次数: 0
Does export intensity of heterogeneous firms affect leverage? Evidence from a small open economy 异质企业的出口强度会影响杠杆率吗?来自小型开放经济体的证据
IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.356-365
Imran Ramzan, Ömer Lütfi Gebizlioglu
Exports at firm level improve the financial performance and thereby contribute to economic growth. Exporting activities require additional financing and become a challenge to manufacturing firms, thus affecting managerial financing decisions. This study explores the impact of export intensity on leverage by using a dataset of manufacturing firms. The results of two-step system GMM reveal that export intensity negatively influences the leverage. We find that a firm’s size positively impacts the leverage, while cash holding has a negative connection with leverage. Finally, we note that board size exhibits a positive relationship to leverage. These findings suggest important policy implications for export promotion, specifically for a small open economy. The results are robust to different sensitivity checks.
公司层面的出口可以改善财务业绩,从而促进经济增长。出口活动需要额外的融资,对制造业企业来说是一项挑战,因此会影响管理者的融资决策。本研究利用制造业企业数据集探讨了出口强度对杠杆率的影响。两步系统 GMM 的结果显示,出口强度对杠杆率有负面影响。我们发现,企业规模对杠杆率有正向影响,而现金持有量与杠杆率呈负相关。最后,我们注意到董事会规模与杠杆率呈正相关。这些发现对促进出口,特别是对小型开放经济体的出口具有重要的政策意义。这些结果对不同的敏感性检验都是稳健的。
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引用次数: 0
A micro-foundation of a simple financial model with finite-time singularity bubble and its agent-based simulation 具有有限时间奇点泡沫的简单金融模型的微观基础及其基于代理的模拟
IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.277-283
Naohiro Yoshida
This paper proposes a mathematical model of financial security prices in continuous time with bubbles in which prices may diverge and crash in finite time. Just before the bubbles burst, prices increase super-exponentially. In addition, a discrete-time excess demand model is proposed to provide a micro-foundation for the continuous-time model. The derived discrete-time security price model has the same characteristics as the continuous-time price model and expresses the finite-time singularity. Furthermore, based on the excess demand model, an agent-based simulation is performed to check the price behavior. As expected, we can confirm that prices can diverge in finite time and increase super-exponentially.
本文提出了一个连续时间内金融证券价格的数学模型,其中存在泡沫,价格可能在有限时间内分化和崩溃。在泡沫破灭之前,价格会以超指数方式上升。此外,还提出了一个离散时间超额需求模型,为连续时间模型提供微观基础。推导出的离散时间证券价格模型与连续时间价格模型具有相同的特征,并表达了有限时间奇异性。此外,基于超额需求模型,我们进行了基于代理的模拟来检验价格行为。不出所料,我们可以确认价格会在有限时间内发散并超指数增长。
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引用次数: 0
When two banks fall, how do markets react? 当两家银行倒下时,市场会如何反应?
IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.331-341
Dora Almeida, A. Dionísio, Paulo Ferreira
The most recent fall of the Silicon Valley (SVB) and Credit Suisse (CS) banks increased the fear of a worldwide banking crisis. We analyse the impacts of their fall on five financial indices. We apply detrended fluctuation analysis, static and with sliding windows. We find a higher impact of the SVB fall on the efficiency dynamic of the studied indices, which revealed fluctuating efficiency and a loss of efficiency during the period of the falls. The fall of both banks contributed to some persistence in stock indices returns. The Nasdaq and STOXX Europe 600 Banks are the most and the least efficient indices, respectively. Despite the apparent evidence of inefficiency, it might not necessarily mean a capacity for abnormal profits.
最近硅谷银行(SVB)和瑞士信贷银行(CS)的倒闭加剧了人们对全球银行业危机的担忧。我们分析了这两家银行的倒闭对五个金融指数的影响。我们采用了静态和滑动窗口的去趋势波动分析。我们发现,SVB 的倒闭对所研究指数的效率动态影响较大,在倒闭期间,指数的效率出现波动和损失。两家银行的倒闭在一定程度上导致了股指收益的持续性。纳斯达克指数和 STOXX 欧洲 600 银行指数分别是效率最高和最低的指数。尽管有明显的低效率证据,但这并不一定意味着有能力获得非正常利润。
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引用次数: 0
Home-ownership and unemployment: revisiting the Oswald hypothesis from a regional heterogeneity perspective 房屋所有权与失业:从地区异质性角度重新审视奥斯瓦尔德假说
IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.342-355
Timo Tohmo, Jutta Viinikainen
Home-ownership may create both positive and negative externalities. As an example of a negative externality, the so-called Oswald hypothesis suggests that a high home-ownership rate creates frictions in the economy and thus increases the unemployment rate. We approach this hypothesis from a novel perspective by taking into account regional differences in population density and dwelling composition. Using municipality-level panel data, we find that although the phenomenon identified by the Oswald hypothesis may not be omnipresent, it may manifest itself, particularly in semi-urban areas where the share of large ownership dwellings is high. We also find that in-migration to these areas is lower, which is consistent with the view that the home-ownership rate may affect migration flows and, thus, economic dynamics.
自置居所既可能产生积极的外部效应,也可能产生消极的外部效应。作为负外部性的一个例子,所谓的 "奥斯瓦尔德假说"(Oswald hypothesis)认为,高住房自有率会在经济中产生摩擦,从而增加失业率。我们从一个新颖的角度切入这一假说,将人口密度和住宅构成的地区差异考虑在内。通过使用市级面板数据,我们发现尽管奥斯瓦尔德假说所指出的现象可能并不普遍,但它可能会表现出来,尤其是在大产权住宅比例较高的半城市地区。我们还发现,这些地区的人口迁入率较低,这与住房自有率可能会影响人口迁移进而影响经济动态的观点是一致的。
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引用次数: 0
The urban mobility of elder workers: evidence with the American Time Use Survey (2003-2018) 老年工人的城市流动性:美国时间使用调查(2003-2018 年)提供的证据
IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.306-312
Jorge Velilla, Raquel Ortega-Lapiedra, Antonio Gutiérrez-Lythgoe
This paper explores the commuting behavior of elder workers in the United States, with a focus on metropolitan areas and metropolitan population sizes. Using the American Time Use Survey for the years 2003-2018, estimates reveal a positive correlation between commuting time and residing in metropolitan areas, driven by longer commutes in more populated areas. Furthermore, elder workers in metropolitan areas of more than 2.5 million inhabitants use more public transports than workers in less-populated or non-metropolitan areas. The analysis may allow policy makers to identify which workers may be more affected by the negative consequences of commuting, and also who has more limitations in their commuting behaviors.
本文以大都市地区和大都市人口规模为重点,探讨了美国老年工作者的通勤行为。通过对 2003-2018 年美国时间使用调查的估算,发现通勤时间与居住在大都市地区之间存在正相关关系,人口较多地区的通勤时间较长。此外,人口超过 250 万的大都市地区的老年工作者比人口较少或非大都市地区的工作者使用更多的公共交通工具。这项分析可以帮助政策制定者确定哪些劳动者可能更容易受到通勤带来的负面影响,以及哪些人的通勤行为会受到更多限制。
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引用次数: 0
A note on institutional trust and poverty: evidence from Latin America 关于机构信任与贫困的说明:拉丁美洲的证据
IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.313-320
Edgar Demetrio Tovar-García
This short paper argues that institutional trust should be considered as an additional factor influencing poverty at the macroeconomic level. By examining a sample of Latin American countries and analyzing annual data from 1995 to 2019 using panel data techniques such as cointegration analysis and panel fully modified least squares, this study estimates the long-term relationships between poverty, economic growth, inequality, and institutional trust. As hypothesized, the empirical evidence suggests that institutional trust also reduces poverty. These findings hold particular significance for Latin America, where inequality levels are relatively high, institutional trust is low, and poverty rates have only recently begun to decline. Therefore, to alleviate poverty, it is crucial to implement public policies that restore and enhance institutional trust.
本短文认为,应将制度信任视为在宏观经济层面影响贫困的另一个因素。本研究以拉丁美洲国家为样本,采用协整分析和面板完全修正最小二乘法等面板数据技术,对 1995 年至 2019 年的年度数据进行分析,从而估算出贫困、经济增长、不平等和制度信任之间的长期关系。正如假设的那样,经验证据表明,制度信任也能减少贫困。这些发现对拉丁美洲具有特别重要的意义,因为在拉丁美洲,不平等程度相对较高,制度信任度较低,贫困率最近才开始下降。因此,要减轻贫困,就必须实施恢复和加强机构信任的公共政策。
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引用次数: 0
Online disinformation: an economic analysis 网上虚假信息:经济分析
IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.266-276
Gaetano Lisi
Internet and social networks have hugely increased the quantity of information available to a decision-maker. Unfortunately, this huge quantity of information also includes fake news and false news. Therefore, a decision-maker needs to carefully select the reliable sources of information. This theoretical and empirical paper studies the effects of online disinformation from an economic perspective. Precisely, it introduces the role of disinformation in the choice of the optimal level of information. In the presence of disinformation, of course, information is below its optimal level. Furthermore, if disinformation is regarded as true, a problem of poor quality of information exists in the economy. However, education helps to recognise disinformation. An empirical analysis substantiates the main insights of the theoretical model.
互联网和社交网络大大增加了决策者可获得的信息量。不幸的是,这些海量信息中也包括假新闻和虚假新闻。因此,决策者需要谨慎选择可靠的信息来源。这篇理论和实证论文从经济学角度研究了网络虚假信息的影响。确切地说,它介绍了虚假信息在最优信息水平选择中的作用。在存在虚假信息的情况下,信息当然会低于其最佳水平。此外,如果将虚假信息视为真实信息,那么经济中就会存在信息质量低下的问题。然而,教育有助于识别虚假信息。实证分析证实了理论模型的主要观点。
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引用次数: 0
Monetary aggregates in the US since 2020 and post-COVID-19 inflation: evidence from the equation of exchange 美国自 2020 年以来的货币总量与后 COVID-19 通货膨胀:来自交换等式的证据
IF 0.9 Q3 ECONOMICS Pub Date : 2023-12-15 DOI: 10.17811/ebl.12.4.2023.321-330
Edoardo Beretta, Doris Neuberger
Starting from Irving Fisher’s equation of exchange ( ) at the basis of the quantity theory of money, we analyze from a theoretical macroeconomic-monetary perspective whether the increase of monetary aggregates M1 and M2 might have affected general prices. Moreover, we investigate why monetary aggregates have evolved differently for COVID-19 than in the global financial crisis (2007-2009). The article elaborates on data for the US from Q1/2020 to Q2/2022 and represents the first scientific contribution to the analysis of post-COVID-19 inflation by means of the equation of exchange. We find that money growth seems to have contributed to inflation supporting the “monetarist” view, but that non-monetary drivers such as supply shocks and increasing profit margins outweigh the monetary ones.
从货币数量理论基础上的欧文-费雪(Irving Fisher)交换方程式( )出发,我们从宏观经济货币理论的角度分析了货币总量 M1 和 M2 的增长是否会影响一般价格。此外,我们还研究了 COVID-19 与全球金融危机(2007-2009 年)期间货币总量演变不同的原因。文章详细阐述了美国 2020 年第一季度至 2022 年第二季度的数据,是通过交换等式分析 COVID-19 后通货膨胀的首个科学贡献。我们发现,货币增长似乎助长了通胀,支持了 "货币主义 "观点,但供应冲击和利润率上升等非货币驱动因素超过了货币驱动因素。
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引用次数: 0
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Economics and Business Letters
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