外国投资者的交易行为会影响共同基金的表现吗?

N. A. Auzairy, A. Ibrahimy
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摘要

本文旨在研究外国投资者(机构投资者和散户投资者)的买卖交易行为对共同基金业绩的影响(信息贡献效应)。此外,还将研究共同基金的表现对外国投资者交易行为的影响(反馈效应)。由于人们对共同基金等更安全、更便宜的投资方式的需求日益增长,因此对这些基金的研究至关重要。本文对 2009 年 10 月 1 日至 2019 年 12 月 31 日期间外国机构和散户的每日买入、卖出和净流量数据以及马来西亚共同基金的平均回报率进行了格兰杰因果关系、斯皮尔曼 rho 和向量自回归模型分析。研究结果表明,只有外国散户投资者与共同基金的表现存在因果关系。因此,共同基金公司,尤其是新兴国家的共同基金公司,应更多地关注外国散户投资者,吸引他们继续长期投资于我们的共同基金。有了更好的预期回报,外国散户投资者也会不愿意卖出基金,事实上,这将激励他们为基金做出更多贡献。研究结果将能够指导共同基金公司管理和促进外国投资者,提高共同基金的业绩。
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Do foreign investors trading behaviors affect mutual fund performances or vice versa?
This paper is to examine the trading behavior, buy and sell, by foreign investors: institutional and retail investors, on the performance of the mutual funds (information contribution effect). The impact of mutual funds performances on the trading behavior (feedback effect) of foreign investors are also to be investigated. Since there have been increasing demand for much more secured and cheaper investment, such as mutual funds, the study on these funds is crucial. Granger causality, Spearman’s rho and Vector Autoregressive model analyses are applied on daily data of foreign institutional and retail buy, sell and net flows volume and Malaysia’s average mutual fund returns from 1st October 2009 to 31st December 2019. The findings reveal that only foreign retail investors have cause-effect relationships with the performance of the mutual funds. Thus, mutual funds companies, especially in the emerging countries, should be given more attention to foreign retail investors in attracting them to remain invest in our mutual funds for long-term. Having better anticipated returns would also discourage those foreign retail investors from selling the funds, indeed, would motivate them to contribute more into the funds. The findings would be able to guide the Mutual Fund companies in managing and promoting foreign investors and enhancing the mutual funds performances.
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