捷克婚姻缔结和解除行为的最新变化

Pub Date : 2023-12-01 DOI:10.54694/dem.0334
Friederike Feige
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引用次数: 0

摘要

随着时间的推移,捷克的婚姻缔结和解除行为发生了显著变化。本文利用 LIPRO 4.0 多州方案对 1993-2022 年期间观察到的婚姻行为变化进行了更详细的研究,该方案可根据在每种婚姻状态下度过的年数、婚姻形成和解除行为以及不同婚姻状况事件发生时的平均年龄,对预期寿命的变化进行详细分析。此外,还列出了在选定年龄段过渡到离婚和再婚状态的概率,以及到 2030 年捷克人口的现状预测。结果表明,结婚和随后的婚姻大事继续推迟。自捷克建国以来,捷克人从未结婚的时间越来越长。然而,最近初婚率和再婚率有所提高,同时离婚率自 2019 年以来有所下降,这表明人们对婚姻重新产生了兴趣。尽管取得了这些积极进展,但人口预测显示,未婚人口将继续增加。
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Recent Changes in Marriage Formation and Dissolution Behaviour in Czechia
Marriage formation and dissolution behaviours have changed significantly over time in Czechia. This article studies in greater detail the marital behaviour changes observed in the period 1993–2022 using the LIPRO 4.0 multistate programme, which allows for a detailed analysis of changes in life expectancy according to years spent in each marital state, marriage formation and dissolution behaviours, and the average ages at the time of different marital status events. The probabilities for the transition to the divorced and to the remarried state at selected ages are also presented, along with a status-quo projection of the Czech population until 2030. The results indicate the continued postponement of marriage and subsequent marital events. Czechs have been spending an increasing time never-married since the establishment of Czechia. However, recent improvements in first marriage and remarriage rates at the same time as declining divorce rates since 2019 suggest a renewed interest in marriage. Despite these positive developments, the population projection indicates a continued increase in the never-married population.
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