孟加拉国沿海飓风警报发出后当地居民不撤离的原因和寻找避难所的行为

IF 2.6 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Progress in Disaster Science Pub Date : 2024-01-01 DOI:10.1016/j.pdisas.2023.100307
Edris Alam PhD
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引用次数: 0

摘要

孟加拉国成功地减少了热带气旋在其境内造成的与风暴潮相关的死亡人数。取得这一成功的因素包括卫星气旋探测、预警系统和紧急疏散方面的重大改进。然而,在这种情况下,一些居民宁愿不撤离该地区。本研究基于通过深入访谈、参与观察、与 59 岁以上居民进行焦点小组讨论、实地考察和调查所获得的第一手数据,提供了孟加拉国在最近几次气旋期间寻求避难场所的信息,并分析了一些居民在气旋预警后不撤离受灾地区的原因。研究结果表明,在孟加拉国,社区对预警的信任度从 1991 年 "高尔基 "气旋期间的 56% 上升到 2020 年 "安潘 "气旋期间的 96%。我们找出了孟加拉国沿海居民在紧急情况下倾向于不搬到气旋避难所的 33 个原因;这些原因可细分为六类:1) 房屋的抗灾能力,或居民居住在坚固的建筑物附近;2) 与公共气旋庇护所相关的原因;3) 保护生计、财产和个人物品;4) 警报期间的交通问题和实际问题;5) 相互关联的社区信仰和观念;6) 与气旋警报直接相关的原因。我们找出了居民不撤离行为的根本原因,并分析了他们为何更愿意留在家中或在邻近坚固的基础设施中避难。值得注意的是,我们的研究为了解影响孟加拉国沿海地区有效疏散规划和气旋灾害风险管理的因素提供了宝贵的见解。
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Reasons for non-evacuation and shelter-seeking behaviour of local population following cyclone warnings along the Bangladesh coast

Bangladesh has successfully reduced the number of deaths caused by tropical cyclones associated with storm surges in its territory. The factors responsible for this success include significant improvements in satellite-based cyclone detection, early warning systems, and emergency evacuation. However, during such events, some residents prefer to not evacuate the region. Based on the first-hand data generated through in-depth interviews, participant observations, focus group discussions with residents aged over 59 years, field visits, and investigations, in this study, we provide information on the shelter-seeking places in Bangladesh during the latest cyclones and analyse the reasons why some residents do not evacuate the affected regions post cyclone warning. The findings suggest that in Bangladesh, community trust in warnings increased from 56% during the 1991 Cyclone Gorky to 96% during the 2020 Cyclone Amphan. We identified 33 reasons for the preference of the population in Bangladesh living along the coast to not move to a cyclone shelter during emergencies; these reasons can be subdivided into six categories: 1) resilient housing, or the residents are living adjacent to strong buildings; 2) reasons associated with public cyclone shelters; 3) to protect livelihoods, properties, and personal belongings; 4) transportation problems and practical issues during the warning period; 5) interrelated community beliefs and perceptions; and 6) reasons directly associated with cyclone warnings. We identified the foundational reasons for the non-evacuation behaviour of the residents and analysed why they preferred to remain home or take shelter in adjacent strong building infrastructures. Notably, our study provides valuable insights into the factors that affect effective evacuation planning and cyclone disaster risk management along the Bangladesh coast.

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来源期刊
Progress in Disaster Science
Progress in Disaster Science Social Sciences-Safety Research
CiteScore
14.60
自引率
3.20%
发文量
51
审稿时长
12 weeks
期刊介绍: Progress in Disaster Science is a Gold Open Access journal focusing on integrating research and policy in disaster research, and publishes original research papers and invited viewpoint articles on disaster risk reduction; response; emergency management and recovery. A key part of the Journal's Publication output will see key experts invited to assess and comment on the current trends in disaster research, as well as highlight key papers.
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