Progress in Disaster Science最新文献

Integrating forecast-based action and government-led social protection programs for flood response 将基于预测的行动与政府主导的社会保护计划结合起来，以应对洪水

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100506

Rashel Mahmud, Sonia Binte Murshed, Faisal Mahmud Sakib, Shampa, Mashfiqus Salehin

Floods are among the most pervasive natural hazards, frequently causing loss of livelihoods, population displacement, and setbacks to socio-economic development. Anticipatory approaches such as Forecast-based Action (FbA) have gained prominence for reducing disaster impacts by enabling early interventions triggered by forecast information. At the same time, many countries operate social protection (SP) systems that provide ongoing support to vulnerable groups. In Bangladesh, where recurrent riverine floods coincide with widespread poverty, both FbA and SP mechanisms exist, yet their complementarities remain underutilized. This study investigates how FbA can be linked with government-led SP programs to strengthen anticipatory flood response, using evidence from Chilmari Upazila during the 2020 flood event. A mixed-methods design was employed, combining household surveys, focus group discussions, key informant interviews, and geospatial analysis. Findings indicate that 15–17 % of FbA beneficiaries were already included in SP programs such as Old Age, Widow, and Disability Allowances, suggesting potential for rapid targeting through established lists. However, more than 90 % of affected households were not covered, revealing significant gaps in outreach. The study highlights that integrating FbA with SP offers a practical, scalable pathway to institutionalize anticipatory action and enhance resilience in flood-prone contexts.

洪水是最普遍的自然灾害之一，经常造成生计损失、人口流离失所和社会经济发展受挫。基于预测的行动（FbA）等预见性方法在减少灾害影响方面获得了突出地位，因为它使预报信息引发的早期干预成为可能。与此同时，许多国家实行社会保护制度，为弱势群体提供持续支持。在孟加拉国，经常发生的河流洪水与普遍的贫困同时发生，FbA和SP机制都存在，但它们的互补性仍未得到充分利用。本研究利用Chilmari Upazila在2020年洪水事件中的证据，探讨了如何将FbA与政府主导的SP计划联系起来，以加强预期的洪水响应。采用混合方法设计，结合入户调查、焦点小组讨论、关键信息提供者访谈和地理空间分析。调查结果表明，15 - 17%的FbA受益人已经被纳入了养老金计划，如老年、寡妇和残疾津贴，这表明有可能通过建立的名单快速锁定目标。然而，90%以上的受影响家庭没有得到覆盖，这表明在外联方面存在巨大差距。该研究强调，将FbA与SP相结合提供了一种实用的、可扩展的途径，可以将预期行动制度化，并增强洪水易发地区的抵御能力。

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引用次数: 0

Parametric modelling for temporary housing areas: Integrating multi-source standards with multi-objective optimisation 临时住房区域的参数化建模：多源标准与多目标优化的整合

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100519

Merve Deniz Tak , Mert Akay

Post-disaster planning demands swift yet quality-conscious decision-making under extreme time pressure and cognitive load, conditions under which conventional approaches frequently fail. While extensive research addresses site selection through multi-criteria decision analysis and GIS-based methods, a critical gap persists in the computational generation of internal site layouts that algorithmically integrate humanitarian spatial standards from multiple institutional sources. This study develops a generative design framework integrating parametric modelling with multi-objective evolutionary optimisation to address this gap. It translates qualitative standards from the SPHERE Association, UNHCR, and national guidelines into quantitative design parameters for temporary housing areas. The methodology proceeds in three stages: (1) systematic extraction and synthesis of spatial parameters from international (SPHERE, UNHCR) and national (AFAD, Chamber of Urban Planners) sources; (2) parametric modelling in Rhino-Grasshopper® to encode design parameters; (3) multi-objective optimisation using NSGA-II genetic algorithms to balance shelter capacity maximisation and 500-m pedestrian accessibility to service hubs. Applied to Ümraniye National Garden, a pre-designated 15-ha temporary housing site in Istanbul, the framework generated 2500 design alternatives, identifying 50 Pareto-optimal configurations spanning capacity-accessibility trade-offs from high-density solutions (1737 units, 19% accessible within 500 m) to accessibility-optimised layouts (1222 units, 92% accessible). This research contributes a replicable, standards-informed computational workflow that systematically reconciles multi-source humanitarian standards and generates site layouts through multi-objective optimisation, advancing beyond component-level optimisation and evaluation-focused approaches. By providing decision-makers with diverse Pareto-optimal alternatives rather than single predetermined solutions, the framework shifts temporary housing design from static manual drafting toward agile, evidence-based generative processes suitable for crisis decision-making contexts.

灾后规划需要在极端的时间压力和认知负荷下做出快速而有质量意识的决策，在这种情况下，传统方法经常失败。虽然广泛的研究通过多标准决策分析和基于gis的方法解决了选址问题，但在通过算法整合来自多个机构来源的人道主义空间标准的内部场地布局的计算生成方面仍然存在关键差距。本研究开发了一个生成式设计框架，将参数化建模与多目标进化优化相结合，以解决这一差距。它将SPHERE协会、难民专员办事处和国家准则的定性标准转化为临时住房区的定量设计参数。该方法分三个阶段进行：(1)系统地从国际（地球资源、难民专员办事处）和国家（AFAD、城市规划师协会）资料中提取和综合空间参数；(2)在Rhino-Grasshopper®中进行参数化建模，对设计参数进行编码；(3)利用NSGA-II遗传算法进行多目标优化，以平衡庇护所容量最大化和500米行人到服务中心的可达性。该框架应用于Ümraniye国家花园，这是伊斯坦布尔一个预先指定的15公顷的临时住宅场地，产生了2500种设计方案，确定了50种帕雷托最优配置，涵盖了高密度解决方案（1737个单元，19%在500米内可达）到可达性优化布局（1222个单元，92%可达）的容量可达性权衡。这项研究提供了一个可复制的、标准信息的计算工作流程，系统地协调多源人道主义标准，并通过多目标优化生成站点布局，超越组件级优化和以评估为中心的方法。通过为决策者提供多种帕累托最优方案，而不是单一的预定解决方案，该框架将临时住房设计从静态的手工起草转变为灵活的、基于证据的生成过程，适用于危机决策环境。

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引用次数: 0

Rural households' vulnerability to drought and implications for resilience: Insights from Bushbuckridge, Mpumalanga, South Africa 农村家庭对干旱的脆弱性及其对抗灾能力的影响：来自南非普马兰加省Bushbuckridge的见解

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100520

Farirai Rusere , Nina Rholan Houngue , Siyabusa Mkuhlani , Gabriel Soropa , Lori Hunter , Wayne Twine , Cyrus Samimi

The increasing frequency of droughts in southern Africa is placing pressure on resource-dependent populations and constraining their ability to build resilience. This study investigates how rural communities in Bushbuckridge, Mpumalanga, South Africa, perceive and respond to El Niño-induced droughts. Using a mixed-methods approach, including surveys and interviews, this research examines household awareness, sensitivity, and adaptive capacity, as well as the factors shaping these dimensions. The findings show that households with greater climate awareness better recognize the potential impacts of El Niño-related drought on agriculture, livestock, and the local economy. Households with members engaged in local non-farm activities or migrant labor displayed higher adaptive capacity but also greater vulnerability in terms of sensitivity, as reliance on external income often reduced on-farm labor and adaptation efforts. Social networks emerged as both an asset, facilitating the spread of adaptation information, and a liability, sometimes reinforcing misinformation and delaying the uptake of science-based strategies. Gender dynamics also influenced adaptive capacity, with male-headed households generally having more resources and labor to implement adaptation measures. These findings highlight that resilience is not solely determined by material resources but emerges from the interaction of awareness, livelihood diversification, social relations, and gendered access to assets. The study underscores the need for resilience initiatives that strengthen local extension services, improve risk communication, and engage social networks while addressing gendered constraints, in order to support timely, informed, and equitable drought adaptation in rural communities.

南部非洲日益频繁的干旱给依赖资源的人口带来了压力，并限制了他们建立抗灾能力。本研究调查了南非普马兰加省布什巴克里奇的农村社区如何感知和应对Niño-induced干旱。本研究采用包括调查和访谈在内的混合方法，考察了家庭的意识、敏感性和适应能力，以及影响这些维度的因素。研究结果表明，气候意识越强的家庭越能认识到El Niño-related干旱对农业、畜牧业和当地经济的潜在影响。有成员从事当地非农业活动或流动劳动力的家庭表现出更高的适应能力，但在敏感性方面也更容易受到影响，因为对外部收入的依赖往往会减少农场劳动力和适应努力。社交网络的出现既是一种资产，促进了适应信息的传播，也是一种负担，有时会强化错误信息，推迟对基于科学的战略的采用。性别动态也影响适应能力，男性户主家庭通常有更多的资源和劳动力来实施适应措施。这些发现突出表明，韧性不仅仅由物质资源决定，而是由意识、生计多样化、社会关系和资产获取的性别相互作用产生的。该研究强调，需要采取韧性举措，加强地方推广服务，改善风险沟通，并在解决性别限制的同时调动社会网络，以支持农村社区及时、知情和公平地适应干旱。

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引用次数: 0

Modeling social interest dynamics after earthquake disasters: A time-series analysis of newspaper coverage using STL decomposition and two-phase decay models 地震灾害后社会利益动态建模：基于STL分解和两阶段衰减模型的报纸报道时间序列分析

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100509

Kaito Fujie , U Hiroi , Fumihiro Sakahira

Great earthquakes attract intense media coverage and public attention, but their decay dynamics—and their variation across newspaper sections—remain underexplored. This study quantitatively examines long-term social interest following two major Japanese earthquakes: the 1995 Great Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake and the 2011 Great East Japan Earthquake. Using a 26-year newspaper corpus, we classify articles by section (e.g., local news, social news, opinion) and analyze monthly counts. We apply Seasonal-Trend decomposition using Loess (STL) to separate sustained interest from spikes (e.g., anniversaries), followed by a two-phase decay model combining an initial exponential drop-off with long-term power-law attenuation. Our results reveal clear contrasts: coverage of the Great East Japan Earthquake was broader, more sustained, and decayed more slowly—likely due to its nuclear-accident dimension. In contrast, coverage of the Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake was irregular and less persistent, largely influenced by competing news events. Local and social news sections provided enduring coverage in both cases, underscoring their role in sustaining collective memory. We also identify a switching point occurring at around 40 months for the Great East Japan Earthquake—marking a shift from communicative to cultural memory—while for the Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake, the transition was slightly later and more irregular. This study offers a novel quantitative framework that integrates agenda-setting, the issue-attention cycle, and journalism–memory studies, clarifying how media attention forms, consolidates memory, and resets agendas. It demonstrates the media's dynamic role in constructing and preserving collective memory.

大地震吸引了大量的媒体报道和公众关注，但是它们的衰变动态以及它们在不同报纸版面上的变化仍然没有得到充分的研究。本研究定量考察了1995年阪神-浅地大地震和2011年东日本大地震后的长期社会利益。使用26年的报纸语料库，我们按部分（例如，本地新闻，社会新闻，观点）对文章进行分类，并分析每月的数量。我们使用黄土（STL）应用季节趋势分解来将持续兴趣从峰值（例如，周年纪念日）中分离出来，然后是结合初始指数下降和长期幂律衰减的两阶段衰减模型。我们的研究结果显示了明显的对比：东日本大地震的报道范围更广，持续时间更长，衰减速度更慢——可能是由于其核事故维度。相比之下，对阪神-淡路地震的报道是不规则的，也不那么持续，很大程度上受到相互竞争的新闻事件的影响。地方和社会新闻板块对这两种情况都提供了持久的报道，强调了它们在维持集体记忆方面的作用。我们还发现，东日本大地震大约在40个月左右出现了一个转换点，标志着从交流到文化记忆的转变，而阪神-浅地地震的转变稍微晚一些，也更不规则。本研究提供了一个新的定量框架，整合了议程设置、问题-关注周期和新闻-记忆研究，阐明了媒体关注如何形成、巩固记忆和重置议程。它展示了媒介在建构和保存集体记忆中的动态作用。

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引用次数: 0

An innovative training model for interdisciplinary disaster response teams to safeguard cultural heritage and enhance disaster risk resilience 跨学科灾害应对团队的创新培训模式，以保护文化遗产和增强灾害风险抵御能力

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100521

P. Ortiz , R. Ortiz , M. Moreno , L. Toro-Murillo , D. Segura , I. Chuliá , J.I. Catalán , G. Contreras , J. Maqueda , J. Del Palacio , V.A. Bañuls

Emergency preparedness in Cultural Heritage (CH) relies on Safeguard Plans and drills to ensure coordination among civil protection systems, security forces, and CH professionals, enabling rapid recovery of museums, archives, libraries, and temples after emergencies. This study strengthens CH resilience by proposing Art-Risk 4, a model for digitalizing Safeguard Plans via templates and Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) and assessing their real-world applicability. Tested in five emergency drills in Valencia, Madrid, and Antequera (Spain), simulating fire, earthquake, and flood scenarios, the platform enabled real-time implementation of response protocols and recording of response times. Observers evaluated the model using semi-structured templates, SWOT analysis, and the Technology Acceptance Model, considering training and experience. Results show Art-Risk 4's flexibility across diverse CH assets, with average rescue and triage times of 18 and 6 min. Team coordination was a key strength, while reduced capacity during technological failures was the main limitation. Findings highlight both the benefits of digital safeguarding and the need for redundant analog and digital systems.

文化遗产应急准备依赖于保障计划和演习，以确保民防系统、安全部队和文化遗产专业人员之间的协调，使博物馆、档案馆、图书馆和寺庙在紧急情况下能够迅速恢复。本研究提出了Art-Risk 4，这是一个通过模板和信息通信技术（ICT）将保障计划数字化的模型，并评估了其在现实世界中的适用性，从而增强了CH的弹性。该平台在瓦伦西亚、马德里和安特奎拉（西班牙）进行了五次应急演习，模拟了火灾、地震和洪水等场景，实现了响应协议的实时实施和响应时间的记录。考虑到培训和经验，观察员使用半结构化模板、SWOT分析和技术接受模型对模型进行评估。结果显示，Art-Risk 4在不同CH资产中的灵活性，平均救援和分类时间分别为18分钟和6分钟。团队协调是一个关键的优势，而技术故障期间的能力下降是主要的限制。研究结果强调了数字保护的好处和冗余模拟和数字系统的需求。

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引用次数: 0

Military involvement in disaster management: Bibliometric insights into central–peripheral dynamics and historical crises 军事介入灾害管理：文献计量学洞察中心-外围动态和历史危机

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100511

Hasan Ogredik

While the disaster management literature includes substantial research on the utilisation of military resources, existing studies are mostly fragmented, event-specific, or confined to thematic niches. This article, therefore, aims to (i) provide a comprehensive bibliometric mapping of scholarly work on military involvement in disaster management, and (ii) identify underexplored domains and trajectories that warrant further academic attention. A bibliometric analysis was conducted on publications indexed in the Web of Science (1991–2025). Using VOSviewer, co-authorship, citation, and keyword networks were mapped. In addition, an AI-assisted natural language processing (NLP) clustering method was applied to categorise publications into thematic domains. Manual validation was undertaken to ensure reliability. The analysis reveals that disaster management research is dominated by a few Western countries, with limited collaboration and modest military input, shifting focus from health to securitised frameworks, while gaps remain in AI, disaster diplomacy, socio-cultural aspects, and the religion–disaster management nexus. By synthesising the literature bibliometrically, this study clarifies the field's evolution and situates it within ethical, historical, and political debates, offering a conceptual reference for academics and practical, context-sensitive insights on the interactions of central and peripheral dynamics in the use of military capabilities during disaster settings.

虽然灾害管理文献包括关于军事资源利用的大量研究，但现有的研究大多是零散的、针对具体事件的或局限于专题领域。因此，本文旨在(i)提供关于军事参与灾害管理的学术工作的综合文献计量图，以及（ii）确定值得进一步学术关注的未充分探索的领域和轨迹。对1991-2025年在Web of Science收录的出版物进行了文献计量分析。使用VOSviewer，我们绘制了合作作者、引文和关键词网络。此外，应用人工智能辅助的自然语言处理（NLP）聚类方法将出版物分类到主题领域。进行了人工验证以确保可靠性。分析显示，灾害管理研究由少数西方国家主导，合作有限，军事投入有限，将重点从卫生转移到证券化框架，而在人工智能、灾害外交、社会文化方面以及宗教与灾害管理关系方面仍然存在差距。通过综合文献计量学，本研究澄清了该领域的演变，并将其置于伦理、历史和政治辩论中，为学者提供了概念参考，并为灾害环境中使用军事能力的中心和外围动态的相互作用提供了实用的、上下文敏感的见解。

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引用次数: 0

A decade after Sendai: Assessing global actor dynamics and roles in participatory flood early warning systems 仙台事件后的十年：评估参与式洪水预警系统中的全球行动者动态和作用

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100529

Prince Dacosta Aboagye , Anh Cao , Megumi Watanabe , Irene Petraroli , Shinichiro Nakamura

The operation of Flood Early Warning Systems (FEWS) is widely acknowledged to value the participation of diverse actors. Yet, little is known about the involvement of actors and the categories of roles they undertake in FEWS operations. A decade after the adoption of the Sendai Framework for Disaster Risk Reduction, this study comprehensively reviews the evidence on participatory FEWS operations with the aim of (1) analyzing the global actor dynamics across various contexts and (2) examining the roles assumed by these actors in FEWS operations. Two groups of actor types were identified from the analysis: those that are highly recognized and frequently reported in the literature – “established actors” - and those that are relatively underrepresented and occasionally documented – “periphery actors”. We observed persistent biases in the multi-scalar and regional participatory FEWS operations. These biases include institutionalizing the operation of certain FEWS components at the national level around a few actor types, with limited to no involvement of other critical actors, such as those with a strong local presence. Interconnectedness among examined role categories can be leveraged to facilitate synergistic efforts in FEWS operations. This review highlights the need for standardized actor mapping and monitoring to consistently recognize and understand their roles.

洪水预警系统（FEWS）的运作被广泛认为重视不同行动者的参与。然而，人们对行动者的参与以及他们在FEWS行动中所扮演的角色类别知之甚少。在仙台减少灾害风险框架通过十年后，本研究全面回顾了参与式FEWS操作的证据，目的是：(1)分析不同背景下的全球行动者动态；(2)检查这些行动者在FEWS操作中所扮演的角色。从分析中确定了两组演员类型：那些在文献中得到高度认可和经常报道的演员-“既定演员”-以及那些代表性相对不足且偶尔记录的演员-“外围演员”。我们观察到在多标量和区域参与式FEWS操作中持续存在偏差。这些偏见包括在国家一级围绕少数行动者类型将某些FEWS组成部分的操作制度化，而限制或不涉及其他关键行动者，例如在当地具有强大影响力的行动者。可以利用所审查角色类别之间的相互联系，促进FEWS业务中的协同努力。这篇综述强调了标准化参与者映射和监控的必要性，以一致地识别和理解他们的角色。

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引用次数: 0

Grandmothers of invention: A commentary on fifty years of hazards and disasters research and practice in the United States 《发明的祖母：美国50年灾害与灾害研究与实践述评》

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100525

Susan L. Cutter , Kathleen Tierney

This commentary highlights the role of “grandmothers of invention”: women in the United States who were the first to enter the field of hazards and disasters as core researchers and who played key roles in advancing the science and practice of hazards/disasters research since 1975. We examine the evolution and transformation of the field from the perspective of the women who were initially entering a male-dominated field. The innovations in theory, concepts, tools, topics, and mentoring the next generation of scholars and practitioners are highlighted. Notably, emphasis on these women's singular and collective influence on practice and policy highlights the significance of introducing sociodemographic diversity and fresh intellectual perspectives in ways that transformed the field. Our approach is qualitative and narrative. Our intent is to introduce readers of the journal, especially those new to the field, to the contributions of leading US women researchers, both with respect to the topics they brought to light and with respect to their contributions to practice.

这篇评论强调了“发明的祖母”的作用：美国妇女是第一批作为核心研究人员进入危害和灾害领域的人，自1975年以来，她们在推进危害/灾害研究的科学和实践方面发挥了关键作用。我们从最初进入男性主导领域的女性的角度来研究该领域的演变和转变。强调了在理论、概念、工具、主题以及指导下一代学者和实践者方面的创新。值得注意的是，强调这些妇女对实践和政策的单一和集体影响，突出了以改变该领域的方式引入社会人口多样性和新的知识观点的重要性。我们的方法是定性和叙述。我们的目的是向杂志的读者，特别是那些新进入该领域的读者介绍美国主要女性研究人员的贡献，包括她们所揭示的主题和她们对实践的贡献。

引用次数: 0

When survival is organized locally: Perspectives of community resilience by collective action to flooding in three informal settlements of Douala, Cameroon 当地组织生存：喀麦隆杜阿拉三个非正式定居点通过集体行动应对洪水的社区复原力

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2026.100522

Roussel Lalande Teguia Kenmegne , Jean-François Bissonnette , Roxane Lavoie , Denis Blouin

This article explores the potential of collective self-organization in three informal settlements in Douala, Cameroon, as a lever for community resilience to recurring floods. While the literature highlights the high vulnerability of these territories, it still pays little attention to the local forms of social and institutional regulation that emerge on the margins of the State. Based on an in-depth ethnographic survey conducted in Bois des Singes, Japoma Beach, and PK9, the study highlights the diversity of selective incentives mechanisms and social sanctions that shape local responses to flood risk. Risk perception has been identified as a trigger for collective action in settlements, but its expression varies depending on contexts and available resources. The analysis shows that community resilience stems from institutional diversity, in which residents combine customary norms and informal social practices to compensate for the ineffectiveness of public policies. These “bottom-up” regulations are based on the principle of reciprocity and on deterring opportunistic behavior, but they also generate forms of social exclusion. The article advocates for the need to link local initiatives to formal risk management mechanisms, without denying their autonomy. Finally, it proposes ways to better integrate these dynamics into more equitable and coordinated urban governance policies.

本文探讨了喀麦隆杜阿拉三个非正式定居点的集体自我组织作为社区抵御反复发生的洪水的杠杆的潜力。虽然文献强调了这些地区的高度脆弱性，但它仍然很少注意到在国家边缘出现的地方形式的社会和机构监管。基于在Bois des Singes、Japoma Beach和PK9进行的深入人种学调查，该研究强调了影响当地应对洪水风险的选择性激励机制和社会制裁的多样性。风险认知已被确定为住区集体行动的触发因素，但其表达方式因环境和现有资源而异。分析表明，社区弹性源于制度多样性，居民将习惯规范和非正式社会实践结合起来，以弥补公共政策的无效。这些“自下而上”的规定基于互惠原则和阻止机会主义行为，但它们也产生了各种形式的社会排斥。这篇文章提倡将地方项目与正式的风险管理机制联系起来，而不否认它们的自主性。最后，它提出了将这些动态更好地整合到更公平和协调的城市治理政策中的方法。

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引用次数: 0

Towards cyclone resilience: Examining local challenges and best practices in shelter management in Sarankhola, Southwest Bangladesh 迈向飓风复原力：审视孟加拉国西南部Sarankhola避难所管理的当地挑战和最佳做法

IF 3.8 Q3 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES

Progress in Disaster Science

Pub Date : 2026-01-01 DOI: 10.1016/j.pdisas.2025.100510

Ishrar Tahmin Anika , Edris Alam

Bangladesh is the seventh most vulnerable country to climate-related hazards and is highly susceptible to intense cyclones. This study aims to identify shelter management challenges, existing practices, and resident-driven recommendations in four unions of Sarankhola, southwest Bangladesh, while also developing a perceived cyclone risk map. Using a mixed-methods approach, data was collected through twenty-four in-depth interviews (IDIs), 8 focus group discussions (FGDs), and 104 questionnaire surveys, with respondents equally distributed across the unions. Findings indicate that residents lack access to essential services, with limited facilities for pregnant women, lactating mothers, children, the elderly, and persons with disabilities. Although most cyclone shelters have ramps, the absence of specialized vehicles prevents volunteers from assisting people with disabilities effectively. Poor sanitation and hygiene conditions expose evacuees to health risks. While shelters are structurally safe from floods, the risk of building collapse persists due to neglected renovations. Despite the increased availability of cyclone shelters, poor road infrastructure and fear of theft hinder timely evacuation. Some residents also reported access restrictions imposed by school authorities managing the shelters. The study highlights that good governance can enhance shelter management by ensuring proper water supply, sanitation, and equitable relief distribution. Key recommendations include improving roads and drainage, ensuring nutrition-sensitive relief, engaging female volunteers, enhancing healthcare and accessibility support, and strengthening accountability for shelter maintenance. Effective management requires a coordinated, inclusive, governance-driven approach to sustain cyclone resilience.

孟加拉国是第七大易受气候相关灾害影响的国家，极易受到强烈气旋的影响。本研究旨在确定孟加拉国西南部Sarankhola的四个联盟的避难所管理挑战、现有做法和居民驱动的建议，同时还开发了一个感知气旋风险地图。采用混合方法，通过24次深度访谈（IDIs）、8次焦点小组讨论（fgd）和104份问卷调查收集数据，受访者平均分布在各个工会。调查结果表明，居民缺乏基本服务，为孕妇、哺乳期母亲、儿童、老人和残疾人提供的设施有限。虽然大多数飓风避难所都有坡道，但由于缺乏专用车辆，志愿者无法有效地帮助残疾人。恶劣的环境卫生和个人卫生条件使撤离人员面临健康风险。虽然避难所在结构上不受洪水影响，但由于忽视翻修，建筑物倒塌的风险仍然存在。尽管飓风庇护所的可用性有所增加，但道路基础设施薄弱和对盗窃的恐惧阻碍了及时疏散。一些居民还报告说，管理避难所的学校当局对出入施加了限制。该研究强调，良好的治理可以通过确保适当的供水、卫生和公平的救济分配来加强住房管理。主要建议包括改善道路和排水，确保营养敏感的救济，吸引女性志愿者，加强医疗保健和无障碍支持，以及加强对住房维护的问责制。有效的管理需要一种协调、包容、治理驱动的方法来维持气旋抵御力。

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引用次数: 0