讨论从日本原子弹爆炸幸存者数据中获得的不确定性以及不同中子 RBE 对所有实体癌辐射发病风险的影响。

L Hafner, L Walsh, W Rühm
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引用次数: 0

摘要

日本原子弹爆炸幸存者寿命研究(LSS)关于所有实体癌发病率的最新公开数据提供了结肠剂量贡献,相对于伽马射线,中子的相对生物效应(RBE)加权为 10。然而,多项研究表明,原子弹爆炸幸存者的中子相对生物效应比值可能高于 10。哈夫纳(Hafner)及其合作者在之前的一项研究中对相应剂量反应曲线形状的变化进行了评估,他们将特定性别的线性-二次方剂量模型应用于之前的所有实体癌发病率的 LSS 数据,其中包括几个器官的单独中子和伽马吸收剂量,与最新数据形成对比。当结肠的 RBE 值为 140、肝脏的 RBE 值为 100、器官平均剂量为 80 时,男性的曲率变化明显为负。对于女性,结肠、肝脏和器官平均剂量的相应 RBE 值分别为 110、80 和 60。本研究对三种不同的方法进行了比较,以便在分析 RBE 增加时计算出 95% 的置信区间。此外,还讨论了更高的中子 RBE 对国际辐射防护委员会工作的影响,以及在辐射风险评估中纳入不确定性和对不同参数进行敏感性分析的重要性。
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Discussion of uncertainties and the impact of different neutron RBEs on all solid cancer radiation incidence risks obtained from the Japanese A-bomb survivor data.

The most recent publicly available data on all solid cancer incidence from the Life Span Study (LSS) of Japanese A-bomb survivors provides colon dose contributions weighted with a relative biological effectiveness (RBE) of 10 for neutrons, relative to gammas. However, there is evidence from several investigations that the neutron RBE for A-bomb survivors may be higher than 10. The change in the shape of the corresponding dose-response curves was evaluated by Hafner and co-workers in a previous study by applying sex-specific linear-quadratic dose models to previous LSS data for all solid cancer incidence that include separate neutron and gamma absorbed doses for several organs, in contrast to the most recent data. The resulting curvature change became significantly negative for males at an RBE of 140 for colon, 100 for liver, and 80 for organ averaged dose. For females, the corresponding RBE values were 110, 80, and 60 for colon, liver, and organ averaged doses. The present study compares three different methods to calculate the 95% confidence intervals in an analysis of the curvature with increasing RBE. Further, the impact of a higher neutron RBE on the work of the International Commission on Radiological Protection, and the importance of including uncertainties and performing sensitivity analysis of different parameters in radiation risk assessment are discussed.

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来源期刊
Annals of the ICRP
Annals of the ICRP Medicine-Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health
CiteScore
4.10
自引率
0.00%
发文量
3
期刊介绍: The International Commission on Radiological Protection was founded in 1928 to advance for the public benefit the science of radiological protection. The ICRP provides recommendations and guidance on protection against the risks associated with ionising radiation, from artificial sources as widely used in medicine, general industry and nuclear enterprises, and from naturally occurring sources. These reports and recommendations are published six times each year on behalf of the ICRP as the journal Annals of the ICRP. Each issue provides in-depth coverage of a specific subject area.
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