信念的诱导性和信息性

IF 0.9 4区 经济学 Q3 ECONOMICS Theory and Decision Pub Date : 2023-12-24 DOI:10.1007/s11238-023-09963-7
P. Jean-Jacques Herings, Dominik Karos, Toygar T. Kerman
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们考虑一组接收者,他们在有限状态空间上共享一个共同先验,并观察到与世界真实状态相关的私人相关信息。我们的重点是通过发送者选择的信号诱导接收者的信念,并对后验信念的可诱导分布进行全面分析。我们将信号分为最小信号、单独最小信号和语言无关信号,并证明任何可诱导分布都可以由语言无关信号诱导出来。我们研究了不同类别的信号在向接收者揭示高阶信息量方面的作用。诱导后验信念剖面固定分布的信息量最小的信号位于诱导该分布的所有语言无关信号集合的相对内部。
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Belief inducibility and informativeness

We consider a group of receivers who share a common prior on a finite state space and who observe private correlated messages that are contingent on the true state of the world. Our focus lies on the beliefs of receivers induced via the signal chosen by the sender and we provide a comprehensive analysis of the inducible distributions of posterior beliefs. Classifying signals as minimal, individually minimal, and language-independent, we show that any inducible distribution can be induced by a language-independent signal. We investigate the role of the different classes of signals for the amount of higher order information that is revealed to receivers. The least informative signals that induce a fixed distribution over posterior belief profiles lie in the relative interior of the set of all language-independent signals inducing that distribution.

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来源期刊
CiteScore
1.60
自引率
0.00%
发文量
62
期刊介绍: The field of decision has been investigated from many sides. However, research programs relevant to decision making in psychology, management science, economics, the theory of games, statistics, operations research, artificial intelligence, cognitive science and analytical philosophy have remained separate. Theory and Decision is devoted to all aspects of decision making belonging to such programs, but addresses also possible cross-fertilizations between these disciplines which would represent effective advances in knowledge. The purpose of the journal is to let the engineering of choice gradually emerge both for individual and for collective decision making. Formalized treatments will be favoured, to the extent that they provide new insights into the issues raised and an appropriate modeling of the situation considered. Due to its growing importance, expermentation in decision making as well as its links to the cognitive sciences will be granted special attention by Theory and Decision. Of particular interest are: Preference and belief modeling, Experimental decision making under risk or under uncertainty, Decision analysis, multicriteria decision modeling, Game theory, negotiation theory, collective decision making, social choice, Rationality, cognitive processes and interactive decision making, Methodology of the decision sciences. Applications to various problems in management and organization science, economics and finance, computer-supported decision schemes, will be welcome as long as they bear on sufficiently general cases. Analysis of actual decision making processes are also relevant topics for the journal, whether pertaining to individual, collective or negotiatory approaches; to private decisions or public policies; to operations or to strategic choices. Officially cited as: Theory Decis
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