2013-2020年兰州市空气污染与心血管疾病住院人数的关系:时间序列分析

IF 4.3 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Geohealth Pub Date : 2024-01-03 DOI:10.1029/2022GH000780
Jingze Yu, Anning Zhu, Miaoxin Liu, Jiyuan Dong, Rentong Chen, Tian Tian, Tong Liu, Li Ma, Ye Ruan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

大量证据表明,空气污染会增加心血管疾病(CVD)的发病风险。我们旨在探讨空气污染对兰州居民心血管疾病入院的短期影响及其滞后效应。我们收集了兰州市 2013 年至 2020 年的气象数据、空气污染数据以及每日因心血管疾病住院的城市居民总人数 309,561 人。采用分布式滞后非线性模型分析了空气污染物与心血管病住院人数之间的关系,并按性别、年龄和季节进行了分层。PM2.5、二氧化氮和一氧化碳在滞后期03时的有害效应最强,而二氧化硫在滞后期3时的有害效应最强。当 PM2.5、二氧化硫和二氧化氮浓度增加 10 μg/m³ 时,心血管疾病入院的相对风险分别为 1.0013(95% CI:1.0003,1.0023)、1.0032(95% CI:1.0008,1.0056)和 1.0040(95% CI:1.0024,1.0057)。一氧化碳浓度每增加 1 毫克/立方米,心血管疾病住院的相对风险为 1.0909(95% CI:1.0367,1.1479)。我们观察到,在滞后 06 期,O3 浓度每增加 10 μg/m³ ,心血管疾病住院的相对风险为 0.9981(95% CI:0.9972,0.9991)。我们发现空气污染物对心血管疾病入院率有明显的滞后效应。二氧化氮和一氧化碳对女性的住院风险更大,而 PM2.5 和二氧化硫对男性的影响更大。PM2.5、二氧化氮和一氧化碳对 2 岁以下人群的心血管疾病入院率影响更大,而对年龄≥65 岁的人群影响更大。我们的研究表明,空气污染可能会对心血管疾病产生短期影响。地方公共卫生和环境政策应考虑到这些初步研究结果。
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Association Between Air Pollution and Cardiovascular Disease Hospitalizations in Lanzhou City, 2013–2020: A Time Series Analysis

Extensive evidence has shown that air pollution increases the risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) admissions. We aimed to explore the short-term effect of air pollution on CVD admissions in Lanzhou residents and their lag effects. Meteorological data, air pollution data, and a total of 309,561 daily hospitalizations for CVD among urban residents in Lanzhou were collected from 2013 to 2020. Distributed lag non-linear model was used to analyze the relationship between air pollutants and CVD admissions, stratified by gender, age, and season. PM2.5, NO2, and CO have the strongest harmful effects at lag03, while SO2 at lag3. The relative risks of CVD admissions were 1.0013(95% CI: 1.0003, 1.0023), 1.0032(95% CI: 1.0008, 1.0056), and 1.0040(95% CI: 1.0024, 1.0057) when PM2.5, SO2, and NO2 concentrations were increased by 10 μg/m³, respectively. Each 1 mg/m3 increase in CO concentration was associated with a relative risk of cardiovascular hospitalization of risk was 1.0909(95% CI: 1.0367, 1.1479). We observed a relative risk of 0.9981(95% CI: 0.9972, 0.9991) for each 10 μg/m³ increase in O3 for CVD admissions at lag06. We found a significant lag effects of air pollutants on CVD admissions. NO2 and CO pose a greater risk of hospitalization for women, while PM2.5 and SO2 have a greater impact on men. PM2.5, NO2, and CO have a greater impact on CVD admissions in individuals aged <65 years, whereas SO2 affects those aged ≥65 years. Our research indicates a possible short-term impact of air pollution on CVD. Local public health and environmental policies should take these preliminary findings into account.

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来源期刊
Geohealth
Geohealth Environmental Science-Pollution
CiteScore
6.80
自引率
6.20%
发文量
124
审稿时长
19 weeks
期刊介绍: GeoHealth will publish original research, reviews, policy discussions, and commentaries that cover the growing science on the interface among the Earth, atmospheric, oceans and environmental sciences, ecology, and the agricultural and health sciences. The journal will cover a wide variety of global and local issues including the impacts of climate change on human, agricultural, and ecosystem health, air and water pollution, environmental persistence of herbicides and pesticides, radiation and health, geomedicine, and the health effects of disasters. Many of these topics and others are of critical importance in the developing world and all require bringing together leading research across multiple disciplines.
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