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Proposed Relationships Between Climate, Biological Soil Crusts, Human Health, and in Arid Ecosystems. 气候、生物土壤结皮、人类健康和干旱生态系统之间的关系。
IF 4.3 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-11 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001217
Marieke L Ramsey, Daniel R Kollath, Anita J Antoninka, Bridget M Barker

Biological soil crusts (or biocrust) are diminutive soil communities with ecological functions disproportionate to their size. These communities are composed of lichens, bryophytes, cyanobacteria, fungi, liverworts, and other microorganisms. Creating stabilizing matrices, these microorganisms interact with soil surface minerals thereby enhancing soil quality by redistributing nutrients and reducing erosion by containment of soil particles. Climatic stressors and anthropogenic disturbances reduce the cover, abundance, and functions of these communities leading to an increase of aeolian dust, invasive plant establishment, reduction of water retention in the environment, and overall poor soil condition. Drylands are the most degraded terrestrial ecosystems on the globe and support a disproportionately large human population. Restoration of biocrust communities in semi-arid and arid ecosystems benefits ecosystem health while decreasing dust emissions. Dust abatement can improve human health directly but also indirectly by reducing pathogenic microbe load circulating in the ambient air. We hypothesize that biocrusts not only reduce pathogen load in the air column but also inhibit the proliferation of certain pathogenic microbes in the soil. We provide a review of mechanisms by which healthy biocrusts in dryland systems may reduce soil-borne pathogens that impact human health. Ecologically sustainable mitigation strategies of biocrust restoration will not only improve soil conditions but could also reduce human exposure to soil-borne pathogens.

生物土壤板结(或生物板结)是一种微小的土壤群落,其生态功能与其体积不成比例。这些群落由地衣、苔藓植物、蓝藻、真菌、肝草和其他微生物组成。这些微生物创造了稳定的基质,与土壤表面的矿物质相互作用,从而通过重新分配养分来提高土壤质量,并通过抑制土壤颗粒来减少侵蚀。气候压力和人为干扰降低了这些群落的覆盖率、丰度和功能,导致风尘增加、入侵植物生长、环境保水性降低以及整体土壤状况不佳。旱地是全球退化最严重的陆地生态系统,养育着过多的人类。恢复半干旱和干旱生态系统中的生物群落有利于生态系统健康,同时减少粉尘排放。减少粉尘不仅能直接改善人类健康,还能通过减少环境空气中的病原微生物量间接改善人类健康。我们假设,生物簇不仅能减少空气中的病原体负荷,还能抑制土壤中某些病原微生物的增殖。我们综述了旱地系统中健康的生物簇可能减少影响人类健康的土传病原体的机制。生态上可持续的生物覆盖层恢复缓解策略不仅能改善土壤条件,还能减少人类接触土传病原体的机会。
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引用次数: 0
Physicochemical Properties and Bioreactivity of Sub-10 μm Geogenic Particles: Comparison of Volcanic Ash and Desert Dust. 10 μm以下地球成因颗粒的物理化学性质和生物反应性:火山灰和沙尘的比较。
IF 4.3 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-08 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001171
Ines Tomašek, Julia Eychenne, David E Damby, Adrian J Hornby, Manolis N Romanias, Severine Moune, Gaëlle Uzu, Federica Schiavi, Maeva Dole, Emmanuel Gardès, Mickael Laumonier, Clara Gorce, Régine Minet-Quinard, Julie Durif, Corinne Belville, Ousmane Traoré, Loïc Blanchon, Vincent Sapin

Exposure to ambient particulate matter (PM) with an aerodynamic diameter of <10 μm (PM10) is a well-established health hazard. There is increasing evidence that geogenic (Earth-derived) particles can induce adverse biological effects upon inhalation, though there is high variability in particle bioreactivity that is associated with particle source and physicochemical properties. In this study, we investigated physicochemical properties and biological reactivity of volcanic ash from the April 2021 eruption of La Soufrière volcano, St. Vincent, and two desert dust samples: a standardized test dust from Arizona and an aeolian Gobi Desert dust sampled in China. We determined particle size, morphology, mineralogy, surface texture and chemistry in sub-10 μm material to investigate associations between particle physicochemical properties and observed bioreactivity. We assessed cellular responses (cytotoxic and pro-inflammatory effects) to acute particle exposures (24 hr) in monocultures at the air-liquid interface using two types of cells of the human airways: BEAS-2B bronchial epithelial cells and A549 alveolar type II epithelial cells. In acellular assays, we also assessed particle oxidative potential and the presence of microorganisms. The results showed that volcanic ash and desert dust exhibit intrinsically different particle morphology, surface textures and chemistry, and variable mineralogical content. We found that Gobi Desert dust is more bioreactive than freshly erupted volcanic ash and Arizona test dust, which is possibly linked to the presence of microorganisms (bacteria) and/or nanoscale elongated silicate minerals (potentially clay such as illite or vermiculite) on particle surfaces.

暴露于空气动力学直径为10的环境颗粒物(PM)是一种公认的健康危害。越来越多的证据表明,虽然颗粒的生物反应性与颗粒来源和物理化学性质有很大的差异,但吸入地球产生的颗粒可引起不利的生物效应。在这项研究中,我们研究了2021年4月圣文森特La soufri火山喷发的火山灰的物理化学性质和生物反应性,以及两个沙漠尘埃样本:来自亚利桑那州的标准化测试尘埃和来自中国的风成戈壁沙漠尘埃。我们测定了10 μm以下材料的粒径、形貌、矿物学、表面纹理和化学性质,以研究颗粒物理化学性质与观察到的生物反应性之间的关系。我们使用两种类型的人气道细胞:BEAS-2B支气管上皮细胞和A549肺泡II型上皮细胞,在气液界面单培养中评估急性颗粒暴露(24小时)的细胞反应(细胞毒性和促炎作用)。在非细胞分析中,我们还评估了颗粒氧化电位和微生物的存在。结果表明,火山灰和沙尘具有不同的颗粒形态、表面结构和化学性质,矿物学含量也存在差异。我们发现戈壁沙漠粉尘比新喷发的火山灰和亚利桑那测试粉尘更具生物反应性,这可能与颗粒表面上存在的微生物(细菌)和/或纳米级细长硅酸盐矿物(可能是粘土,如伊利石或蛭石)有关。
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引用次数: 0
Air Pollution and Cognitive Impairment Among the Chinese Elderly Population: An Analysis of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS). 中国老年人空气污染与认知功能障碍:中国健康寿命纵向调查(CLHLS)的分析
IF 4.3 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-06 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001023
Qingyang Zhu, Yuebin Lyu, Keyong Huang, Jinhui Zhou, Wenhao Wang, Kyle Steenland, Howard H Chang, Stefanie Ebelt, Xiaoming Shi, Yang Liu

Cognitive impairment and dementia have long been recognized as growing public health threats. Studies have found that air pollution is a potential risk factor for dementia, but the literature remains inconclusive. This study aimed to evaluate the association between three major air pollutants (i.e., PM2.5, O3, and NO2) and cognitive impairment among the Chinese elderly population. Study participants were selected from the Chinese Longitudinal Health Longevity Survey (CLHLS) after 2005. We define cognitive impairment as a Chinese Mini-Mental-State Exam (CMMSE) score <24. The associations of air pollution with cognitive impairment and CMMSE score were evaluated with a logistic regression model and a linear mixed-effect model with random intercepts, respectively. A total of 3,887 participants were enrolled in this study. Of the 2,882 participants who completed at least one follow-up visit, 931 eventually developed cognitive impairment. In single-pollutant models, we found that yearly average PM2.5 and NO2 as well as warm season O3, were positively associated with cognitive impairment. NO2 remained positively associated with cognitive impairment in the multi-pollutant model. The linear mixed-effect models revealed that warm season O3 and yearly average NO2 were significantly associated with decreased CMMSE scores. Our research has established a positive association between cognitive impairment and air pollution in China. These findings underscore the imperative for the next iteration of China's Air Pollution Prevention and Control Action Plan to broaden its focus to encompass gaseous air pollutants since mitigating single air pollutant is insufficient to protect the aging population.

认知障碍和痴呆症长期以来一直被认为是日益严重的公共卫生威胁。研究发现,空气污染是痴呆症的潜在风险因素,但文献仍然没有定论。本研究旨在评估三种主要空气污染物(PM2.5、O3和NO2)与中国老年人认知功能障碍的关系。研究对象选取自2005年以后的中国纵向健康寿命调查(CLHLS)。我们将认知障碍定义为中国迷你精神状态考试(CMMSE)得分2.5,NO2和暖季O3与认知障碍呈正相关。在多污染物模型中,二氧化氮仍与认知障碍呈正相关。线性混合效应模型显示,暖季O3和年平均NO2与CMMSE评分的降低显著相关。我们的研究已经确立了认知障碍与中国空气污染之间的正相关关系。这些发现强调了中国下一轮大气污染防治行动计划必须将重点扩大到气态空气污染物,因为减少单一的空气污染物不足以保护人口老龄化。
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引用次数: 0
Access to Healthy Built and Natural Environments and Physical Activity and Screen Time in New Zealand Adolescents: A Geospatial Cross-Sectional Study. 新西兰青少年获得健康的建筑和自然环境以及身体活动和屏幕时间:一项地理空间横断面研究。
IF 4.3 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2025-01-02 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001101
L Marek, J Wiki, S Mandic, J C Spence, M Smith, E García Bengoechea, K J Coppell, S Kingham, M Hobbs

The built and natural environment can facilitate (un)healthy behaviors in adolescence. However, most previous studies have focused on examining associations between singular aspects of the environment. This study examined the association between the mixture of health-promoting and health-constraining environmental features in a Healthy Location Index (HLI) and physical activity and screen time among adolescents. This cross-sectional study used data from the Built Environment and Active Transport to School (BEATS) Research Program based in Dunedin, New Zealand. Data from 1,162 adolescents with complete demographic, health behavior and spatial records were included in the analysis. The environment was defined using the HLI based on access to health-promoting (e.g., greenspace, blue space, physical activity facility) and health-constraining (e.g., fast-food outlets) features and their mixture. Quantile g-computation and multilevel mixed effects models, with adolescents nested within schools, examined associations between the environment and the two health behaviors. A positive association existed between meeting physical activity guidelines and access to health-promoting environments (OR = 1.23 [95% CI 1.03; 1.47]), particularly blue space. In addition, the mixture of health-promoting and health-constraining environments was also important (ψ = 1.18 [1.01; 1.37]). However, there was limited evidence of an association between the environment and screen time. We provide evidence of a relationship between health-promoting environments, the mix of health-promoting and health-constraining environments, and physical activity among adolescents. The findings support the hypothesis that the environment has the potential to positively influence healthy behaviors of youth, particularly when it comes to physical activity.

建筑环境和自然环境会促进青少年的(不)健康行为。然而,以前的大多数研究都集中于研究环境的单一方面之间的关联。本研究考察了健康地点指数(HLI)中促进健康和限制健康环境特征的混合与青少年体育活动和屏幕时间之间的关联。这项横断面研究使用的数据来自新西兰达尼丁的 "建筑环境与积极上学交通(BEATS)研究项目"。共有 1162 名青少年提供了完整的人口统计、健康行为和空间记录,这些数据被纳入分析。环境是根据促进健康(如绿地、蓝地、体育活动设施)和限制健康(如快餐店)的特征及其混合使用 HLI 来定义的。量子 g 计算和多层次混合效应模型(将青少年嵌套在学校中)研究了环境与两种健康行为之间的关联。达到体育锻炼标准与获得促进健康的环境(OR = 1.23 [95% CI 1.03; 1.47]),尤其是蓝色空间之间存在正相关。此外,促进健康环境和限制健康环境的混合也很重要(ψ = 1.18 [1.01; 1.37])。然而,环境与屏幕时间之间的关联证据有限。我们提供的证据表明,促进健康的环境、促进健康的环境和限制健康的环境的组合与青少年体育活动之间存在关系。研究结果支持这一假设,即环境有可能对青少年的健康行为产生积极影响,尤其是在体育活动方面。
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引用次数: 0
Subseasonal Prediction of Heat-Related Mortality in Switzerland. 瑞士热相关死亡率的亚季节预测。
IF 4.3 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-25 eCollection Date: 2025-01-01 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001199
Maria Pyrina, Ana M Vicedo-Cabrera, Dominik Büeler, Sidharth Sivaraj, Christoph Spirig, Daniela I V Domeisen

Heatwaves pose a range of severe impacts on human health, including an increase in premature mortality. The summers of 2018 and 2022 are two examples with record-breaking temperatures leading to thousands of heat-related excess deaths in Europe. Some of the extreme temperatures experienced during these summers were predictable several weeks in advance by subseasonal forecasts. Subseasonal forecasts provide weather predictions from 2 weeks to 2 months ahead, offering advance planning capabilities. Nevertheless, there is only limited assessment of the potential for heat-health warning systems at a regional level on subseasonal timescales. Here we combine methods of climate epidemiology and subseasonal forecasts to retrospectively predict the 2018 and 2022 heat-related mortality for the cantons of Zurich and Geneva in Switzerland. The temperature-mortality association for these cantons is estimated using observed daily temperature and mortality during summers between 1990 and 2017. The temperature-mortality association is subsequently combined with bias-corrected subseasonal forecasts at a spatial resolution of 2-km to predict the daily heat-related mortality counts of 2018 and 2022. The mortality predictions are compared against the daily heat-related mortality estimated based on observed temperature during these two summers. Heat-related mortality peaks occurring for a few days can be accurately predicted up to 2 weeks ahead, while longer periods of heat-related mortality lasting a few weeks can be anticipated 3 to even 4 weeks ahead. Our findings demonstrate that subseasonal forecasts are a valuable-but yet untapped-tool for potentially issuing warnings for the excess health burden observed during central European summers.

热浪对人类健康造成一系列严重影响,包括过早死亡的增加。2018年和2022年的夏天就是两个例子,创纪录的气温导致欧洲数千人因高温而死亡。这些夏季经历的一些极端温度是通过亚季节预报提前几周预测到的。分季节预报提供提前两周至两个月的天气预报,提供提前规划能力。然而,在亚季节时间尺度上,仅对区域一级热健康预警系统的潜力进行了有限的评估。在这里,我们结合气候流行病学和亚季节预测的方法,回顾性预测了瑞士苏黎世和日内瓦州2018年和2022年与热相关的死亡率。根据1990年至2017年夏季观测到的日温度和死亡率,估计了这些州的温度与死亡率之间的关系。随后,将温度-死亡率关联与偏差校正后的2公里空间分辨率亚季节预报相结合,以预测2018年和2022年与热相关的每日死亡率。将预测的死亡率与根据这两个夏季的观测温度估计的每日热相关死亡率进行比较。与高温有关的死亡率高峰在几天内出现,可以提前2周准确预测,而与高温有关的死亡率高峰持续数周的时间更长,可以提前3至4周预测。我们的研究结果表明,亚季节预报是一种有价值但尚未开发的工具,可以对中欧夏季观察到的过度健康负担发出警告。
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引用次数: 0
Statement in Support of Diversity, Equity, and Inclusion for AGU GeoHealth Section. 支持AGU地球健康科多样性、公平和包容的声明。
IF 4.3 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-23 eCollection Date: 2024-12-01 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001297
K Ardon-Dryer, F Lo, U Ovienmhada

This commentary presents the American Geophysical Union's GeoHealth section statement in support of diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI). The GeoHealth section is an open community that represents diverse backgrounds in the geophysical, biological, and public health sciences that share a passion for research at the nexus of Earth and health sciences. The GeoHealth section will aim to advance our understanding of the interactions between the environment, human health, and well-being while supporting DEI topics. The GeoHealth Section will ensure a strong and sustained focus on different DEI-related issues by performing different activities presented in this commentary.

本评论介绍了美国地球物理联合会的地球健康部分声明,支持多样性、公平性和包容性(DEI)。地球健康部分是一个开放的社区,代表了地球物理、生物和公共卫生科学的不同背景,他们对地球和健康科学的联系有着共同的研究热情。地球健康部分旨在促进我们对环境、人类健康和福祉之间相互作用的理解,同时支持DEI主题。地球健康科将通过开展本评注中提出的不同活动,确保强有力和持续地关注与地球健康有关的不同问题。
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引用次数: 0
Inequitable Spatial and Temporal Patterns in the Distribution of Multiple Environmental Risks and Benefits in Metro Vancouver 大温哥华地区多重环境风险与效益分布的不公平时空格局
IF 4.3 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-19 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001157
Shuoqi Ren, Amanda Giang

The urban environment impacts residents' health and well-being in many ways. Environmental benefits and risks may be interactively and inequitably distributed across different populations in cities, and these patterns may change over time. Here, we assess the spatial distribution of environmental risks and benefits in pairs, considering synergies and trade-offs, in an illustrative metropolitan area (Metro Vancouver) in Canada in the years 2006 and 2016. We classify census dissemination areas as sweet, sour, risky, or medium spots based on relative exposures for six environmental combinations: Walkability and NO2; heat stress and NO2; vegetation coverage and NO2; vegetation coverage and heat stress; walkability and accessibility to natural recreational areas; and heat stress and accessibility to natural recreational areas. We evaluate whether different population groups are disproportionately exposed to lower environmental quality based on linear regressions and other metrics. We find that while performance for individual environmental variables improved over the decade, considering their combinations, sweet spots became sweeter and sour spots became sourer. Residents with high material and social deprivation and visible minorities were disproportionately exposed to lower environmental quality in both years for most of the environmental combinations. Further, we find that these inequities were not improving over time for all groups: for instance, South Asian residents in the region faced higher disproportionate burdens or diminished access to benefits in 2016, as compared to 2006. Given these findings, we suggest considerations of cumulative exposure in prioritizing areas for intervention, targeting the sour and risky spots persistently experienced by overburdened populations.

城市环境以多种方式影响着居民的健康和福祉。环境效益和风险可能会在城市的不同人群中交互作用、不公平地分布,而且这些模式可能会随着时间的推移而改变。在此,我们评估了 2006 年和 2016 年加拿大一个示例性大都市地区(大温哥华)的环境风险和收益的空间分布,并考虑了协同效应和权衡因素。我们根据六种环境组合的相对暴露程度,将普查传播区域划分为甜点、酸点、风险点或中等点:步行能力与二氧化氮;热应力与二氧化氮;植被覆盖率与二氧化氮;植被覆盖率与热应力;步行能力与自然休闲区的可达性;热应力与自然休闲区的可达性。根据线性回归和其他指标,我们评估了不同人群是否不成比例地受到较低环境质量的影响。我们发现,虽然单个环境变量的表现在十年间有所改善,但考虑到它们的组合,甜点变得更甜,酸点变得更酸。在大多数环境组合中,物质和社会贫困程度较高的居民以及明显的少数群体在这两年中都不成比例地受到了较低环境质量的影响。此外,我们还发现,这些不公平现象并没有随着时间的推移而在所有群体中得到改善:例如,与 2006 年相比,该地区的南亚居民在 2016 年面临着更高的不成比例的负担或更少的获益机会。鉴于这些发现,我们建议在确定干预领域的优先次序时考虑累积暴露,针对负担过重人群长期经历的酸痛和风险点进行干预。
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引用次数: 0
Earth Observation Data to Support Environmental Justice: Linking Non-Permitted Poultry Operations to Social Vulnerability Indices 支持环境正义的地球观测数据:将未经许可的家禽经营与社会脆弱性指数联系起来。
IF 4.3 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-18 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001179
Mirela G. Tulbure, Júlio Caineta, Brooke Cox, Stephen V. Stehman, Ayse Ercumen, Rebecca Witter, Ryan Emanuel, Dana E. Powell, Kemp Burdette, Sherri White-Williamson, Shea Tuberty

Concentrated Animal Feeding Operations (CAFOs) apply massive amounts of untreated waste to nearby farmlands, with severe environmental health impacts of swine CAFOs and proximity to disadvantaged communities well documented in some US regions. Most studies documenting the impacts of CAFOs rely almost exclusively on CAFO locations known from incomplete public records. Poultry CAFOs generate dry waste and operate without federal permits; thus, their environmental justice (EJ) impacts are undocumented. North Carolina (NC), a leading poultry producer, has seen a significant increase in poultry CAFOs, particularly since the 1997 swine CAFO moratorium. Using literature-derived heuristics, this study refined the locations of poultry CAFOs derived based on Earth Observation (EO) data and deep learning, reducing the overestimation of poultry CAFO density by 54% after heuristic adjustments. We removed 51.8% of misclassified features in NC and 61.5% across the US, significantly improving data set accuracy. Spatial analysis, including Local Indicators of Spatial Association, revealed that poultry CAFOs often cluster in census tracts with high Social Vulnerability Index (SVI) scores, indicating potential EJ issues. Notably, one-third of NC's census tracts with high poultry CAFO density also have high SVI, primarily in rural eastern regions. Similar patterns were observed in the South and Southeast of the US. However, not all high-density CAFO areas correspond with high SVI, suggesting a complex relationship between CAFO locations and community vulnerabilities. This study highlights the critical need for comprehensive, high-quality data on unpermitted poultry CAFOs derived using AI algorithms to fully understand their impacts on communities and accurately inform EJ evaluations.

集中式动物饲养操作(cafo)将大量未经处理的废物倾倒到附近的农田,在美国一些地区,集中式动物饲养操作对猪的环境健康造成了严重影响,并且靠近弱势社区。大多数记录CAFO影响的研究几乎完全依赖于从不完整的公共记录中已知的CAFO位置。家禽饲养场产生干废物,在没有联邦许可的情况下运作;因此,它们对环境正义(EJ)的影响是没有记录的。北卡罗来纳州(NC),一个主要的家禽生产商,已经看到家禽CAFO显著增加,特别是自1997年猪CAFO暂停以来。本研究利用文献启发法,对基于地球观测(EO)数据和深度学习得出的家禽CAFO位置进行了细化,在启发式调整后,将家禽CAFO密度的高估率降低了54%。我们在NC中删除了51.8%的错误分类特征,在美国删除了61.5%,显著提高了数据集的准确性。包括空间关联局部指标在内的空间分析显示,家禽cafo通常聚集在社会脆弱性指数(SVI)得分较高的人口普查区,表明存在潜在的EJ问题。值得注意的是,北卡州三分之一家禽CAFO密度高的人口普查区也有高SVI,主要是在东部农村地区。在美国南部和东南部也观察到了类似的模式。然而,并不是所有的CAFO高密度区域都具有较高的SVI,这表明CAFO的位置与社区脆弱性之间存在复杂的关系。本研究强调,迫切需要使用人工智能算法获得关于未经许可的家禽cafo的全面、高质量数据,以充分了解其对社区的影响,并准确地为EJ评估提供信息。
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引用次数: 0
The Analysis and the Impact of Surface Temperature Anomalies on the Health of Residents in the River Niger Basin Development Authority Area, West Africa 地表温度异常对西非尼日尔河流域开发局地区居民健康的影响分析。
IF 4.3 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-12 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001069
R. T. Akinnubi, K. J. Adegbo, M. O. Ojo, M. P. Ajakaiye, A. J. Sabejeje, J. O. Aramide, T. D. Akinnubi

This study investigates the impact of surface temperature anomalies on the health of residents within the River Niger Basin Development Authority (RIBDA) enclave, which covers Nigeria, Niger, and Mali in West Africa, with a focus on the regional implications for public health. Historical climate data from 1985 to 2014, sourced from the Climatic Research Unit Time-Series, Version 3.22 (CRU TS 3.22), was analyzed to comprehend past climate patterns and establish a baseline for future comparisons. Predictions for future climate conditions (2015–2044) were derived by adjusting the CRU data using temperature projections from the Community Climate System Model 4 under the Representative Concentration Pathway 8.5 scenario. To assess the potential impacts of these climate changes, particularly during the boreal summer season of July-August-September (JAS), the study utilized the Hydrology, Entomology, and Malaria Transmission Simulator (HYDREMATS). Findings indicate that surface temperature can intricately influence disease transmission, with varied effects on parameters such as Ro, EIR, prevalence, and immunity index. Observations revealed fluctuations in temperature anomalies over the years, with negative anomalies in 1991–1995 and positive anomalies in subsequent years. Although precise predictions for 2016–2044 are challenging based solely on data trends from 1985 to 2015, continued temperature rises could potentially lead to increased disease prevalence and decreased immunity index. Moreover, the analysis identified a notable temporal increase in mean annual temperature and mean annual maximum temperature from 1999 to 2020, suggesting a faster warming trend in maximum temperatures compared to minimum temperatures. This increase in temperature variability may alter the onset and cessation dates of the rainy season, affecting water availability, accessibility, and consumption, consequently fostering conditions conducive to health-related diseases. By incorporating predicted long-term temperature changes due to greenhouse gas emissions while maintaining current inter-annual climate patterns, this approach allows researchers to anticipate potential future health implications in the studied regions.

本研究调查了地表温度异常对尼日尔河流域开发局(RIBDA)飞地内居民健康的影响,该飞地涵盖西非的尼日利亚、尼日尔和马里,重点关注对公共健康的区域影响。对来自气候研究单位时间序列 3.22 版(CRU TS 3.22)的 1985 年至 2014 年历史气候数据进行了分析,以了解过去的气候模式,并为未来的比较建立基线。对未来气候条件(2015-2044 年)的预测是通过调整 CRU 数据,利用社区气候系统模型 4 在代表性浓度途径 8.5 情景下的温度预测得出的。为了评估这些气候变化的潜在影响,特别是在北方夏季 7 月-8 月-9 月(JAS)期间的影响,该研究使用了水文、昆虫学和疟疾传播模拟器(HYDREMATS)。研究结果表明,地表温度会对疾病传播产生错综复杂的影响,并对 Ro、EIR、流行率和免疫指数等参数产生不同的影响。观测结果显示,气温异常多年来起伏不定,1991-1995 年为负异常,随后几年为正异常。虽然仅根据 1985 年至 2015 年的数据趋势对 2016-2044 年进行精确预测具有挑战性,但气温持续上升有可能导致疾病流行率上升和免疫指数下降。此外,分析还发现,从 1999 年到 2020 年,年平均气温和年平均最高气温在时间上明显上升,这表明最高气温的变暖趋势快于最低气温。气温变化的增加可能会改变雨季的开始和结束日期,影响水的可用性、可获得性和消耗,从而为与健康有关的疾病提供有利条件。通过将温室气体排放导致的长期气温变化预测纳入其中,同时保持当前的年际气候模式,这种方法使研究人员能够预测所研究地区未来潜在的健康影响。
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引用次数: 0
Variation in the Impact of New York on Pause on Traffic Congestion by Racialized Economic Segregation and Environmental Burden 种族化经济隔离和环境负担对纽约交通拥堵影响的变化。
IF 4.3 2区 医学 Q2 ENVIRONMENTAL SCIENCES Pub Date : 2024-12-11 DOI: 10.1029/2024GH001050
Jenni A. Shearston, Roheeni Saxena, Joan A. Casey, Marianthi-Anna Kioumourtzoglou, Markus Hilpert

During the 2019 coronavirus pandemic, stay-at-home policies such as New York's (NY) NY on Pause dramatically reduced traffic congestion. Despite high traffic burden in NY's environmental justice communities, this reduction has not been evaluated through an environmental justice lens—our objective in this analysis. We obtained census tract-level traffic congestion data from Google traffic maps hourly for 2018–2020. We defined congestion as the percent of streets in a census tract with heavy traffic (red- or maroon-color). We used the Index of Concentration at the Extremes (ICE) to measure racialized economic segregation and the CDC's Environmental Justice Index (EJI) as a measure of combined environmental, social, and chronic disease burden. We divided census tracts into quintiles of ICE and EJI and used linear mixed models stratified by ICE and EJI quintile in an interrupted time series design. Prior to NY on Pause, less marginalized and burdened census tracts (Q5) tended to have higher levels of traffic congestion; during NY on Pause, this trend reversed. For both ICE and EJI, more marginalized and burdened (Q1–Q2 vs. Q4–Q5) tracts had smaller absolute decreases in percent traffic congestion. For example, percent traffic congestion in ICE Q5 decreased by 7.8% (% change: −36.6%), but in Q1, it decreased by 4.2% (% change: −51.7%). NY on Pause, while protecting residents during COVID-19, may have resulted in inequitable reductions in traffic congestion. It is critical that such inequities are measured and acknowledged so that future policies to reduce traffic congestion and respond to pandemics can enhance equity.

在2019年冠状病毒大流行期间,纽约暂停纽约等居家政策大大缓解了交通拥堵。尽管纽约环境正义社区的交通负担很高,但这种减少并没有通过环境正义的视角来评估——这是我们在本分析中的目标。我们从谷歌交通地图中获得了2018-2020年每小时的人口普查区交通拥堵数据。我们将拥堵定义为人口普查区交通繁忙的街道百分比(红色或栗色)。我们使用极端集中指数(ICE)来衡量种族化的经济隔离,并使用疾病预防控制中心的环境正义指数(EJI)来衡量环境、社会和慢性疾病负担。我们将人口普查区划分为ICE和EJI的五分位数,并在中断时间序列设计中使用ICE和EJI五分位数分层的线性混合模型。在纽约暂停之前,较少边缘化和负担的人口普查区(Q5)往往有较高的交通拥堵水平;在纽约暂停期间,这一趋势发生了逆转。对于ICE和EJI来说,更边缘化和负担更重的区域(Q1-Q2与Q4-Q5)交通拥堵百分比的绝对下降幅度较小。例如,ICE Q5的交通拥堵百分比下降了7.8%(变化%:-36.6%),但在第一季度,它下降了4.2%(变化%:-51.7%)。“暂停纽约”在COVID-19期间保护居民的同时,可能导致交通拥堵的不公平减少。至关重要的是,必须衡量和承认这种不平等,以便未来减少交通拥堵和应对大流行病的政策能够增进公平。
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Geohealth
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