尼日利亚的农业融资、粮食生产和减贫:来自 ARDL 模型的证据(注释 1)

Yinka Sabuur Hammed, Sikiru A. Adedokun, Solomon T. Ademosu
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摘要

由于粮食价格持续上涨,尼日利亚对充足粮食生产的需求日益成为决策者和政府机构必须实现的目标。尽管如此,粮食生产仍需要充足的资金,进而在降低贫困水平方面发挥重要作用。因此,本研究调查了特定农业融资对粮食生产和降低贫困水平的影响程度。本研究采用了 1981 年至 2021 年的二手数据,并采用了自回归分布滞后(ARDL)方法。选择自回归分布滞后法是为了捕捉短期和长期的影响。研究结果强调了以下几点:特定农业融资在促进该国粮食生产方面发挥了重要作用。除此以外,还发现粮食生产对降低贫困水平也有很大影响。这种影响在短期和长期都得到了保证。不过,虽然可用耕地对农业融资有重大影响,但从长远来看,这种影响并不持久。因此,本研究产生的政策影响使得有必要制定一项政策,加强对农民的信贷服务和其他支持,以确保粮食过剩。
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Agricultural Financing, Food Production and Poverty Reduction in Nigeria: Evidence from ARDL Model (Note 1)
The need for adequate food production in Nigeria is increasingly becoming a must-achieved objective for policy makers and government agencies owing to continuous rise of food prices. Notwithstanding this, food production requires adequate financing and by extension, plays some important role in reducing poverty level. Hence, this study investigates the extent to which specific agricultural financing will impact food production and reduce poverty level. The study employs secondary data which spans 1981 to 2021 and adopts Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) for the methodology. The choice of ARDL is to capture the impact for short- and long-run period. The findings from the study highlight the following: specific agricultural financing is found to be highly instrumental in promoting food production in the country. Aside this, food production is equally found to have much impact in reducing poverty level. This impact is assured in both short- and long-run periods. However, while available arable land significantly influences agricultural finance, it is much found to be sustained and long lived in the long run. Thus, the policy implication arising from this study gives necessity to a policy that will enhance credit facilities to the farmers and other supports that will ensure food surplus.
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