邦加-伯利通群岛省人口增长莱斯利模型的修正

B. D. A. Prayanti, Maxrizal Maxrizal, Fahri Setiawan
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引用次数: 0

摘要

莱斯利模型是代数在求解人口增长模型中的应用之一。人口的出生率和存活率是莱斯利矩阵的组成部分。该模型的优点是只需要女性总人口的数据。本研究旨在通过为矩阵元素(尤其是出生率和存活率)添加修正值来修改经典的莱斯利模型。修正值由每个人口年龄组的出生率和存活率的最小欧氏距离得出。使用欧氏距离是因为其计算简单。根据修改后的结果,从莱斯利矩阵中得到的佩伦值为 0.9。如果常数值为零,那么修改后的莱斯利模型将与经典的莱斯利模型相同。
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Modification of the Leslie Model on Population Growth in the Bangka Belitung Islands Province
The Leslie model is one of the applications of Algebra in solving a population growth model. The birth rate and survival rate of a population are constituents of the Leslie Matrix. The advantage of this model is that it only requires data on the total female population. This study aims to modify the classic Leslie Model by adding correction values to matrix elements, especially birth rates and survival rates. The correction value is obtained from the minimum Euclidean distance for each birth rate and survival rate for each population age group. The Euclidean distance is used because it requires simple calculations. Based on the modified results, the Perron value obtained from the Leslie matrix is 0.9. If the constant value is zero, then the modification of the Leslie model will be the same as the classic Leslie model.
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