尼日利亚的股市一体化与企业投资:批判性分析

NEJO, Femi MIchael
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摘要

尼日利亚的企业投资水平较低,加上单一证券交易市场体系的金融基础较差,因此本研究有必要对 1986 年至 2022 年股票市场一体化对尼日利亚企业投资的影响进行批判性研究。本研究采用了增量迪基-富勒(ADF)单位根检验和自回归分布滞后(ARDL)检验。本研究使用的数据来自尼日利亚中央银行的《统计公报》(2022 年)。 ADF 检验结果显示,实际汇率、贷款利率和贸易开放度均为零阶积分(∆ = 0);而股票市场积分和企业投资均为一阶积分(∆ = 1)。ADF 结果显示,股票市场一体化多年来呈现非稳定趋势,实际汇率呈现负号,但在 5%的水平上不显著;而贷款利率和贸易开放度为负且显著。研究得出的结论是,股市一体化多年来不稳定,限制了对尼日利亚企业投资的影响;而较低的利率和贸易自由度则促进了企业投资。研究建议,为了快速缓解对经济进步至关重要的股票市场一体化,尼日利亚交易所集团 NGX 应通过鼓励不同的所有权结构来拥有各自的股票价值,从而确保市场上的每家上市公司都拥有雄厚的市值。
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Stock Market Integration and Corporate Investment in Nigeria: A Critical Analysis
Low level of corporate investment in Nigeria coupled with poor financial base of a single stock exchange market system bring the need for the study to critically examined the effect of stock market integration on corporate investment in Nigeria from 1986 to 2022. The study adopted Augmented Dickey Fuller (ADF) unit root test and Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL). The data used for this study were collected from the Central Bank of Nigeria, Statistical Bulletin (2022).  The ADF showed that the real exchange rate, lending interest rate, and trade openness were all integrated of order zero (∆ = 0); while, stock market integration and corporate investment were integrated of order one (∆ = 1). The ADF result showed that stock market integration exhibited a non-stability trend over the years, real exchange rate showed a negative sign but non-significant at 5%; while, lending interest rate and trade openness was negative and significant. The study concluded that stock market integration was volatile over the years which limited the rate of impacting corporate investment in Nigeria; while, lesser interest rate and trade liberation promote corporate investment. The study recommended that in order to fast ease stock market integration, which is crucial for economic progress, the Nigerian Exchange Group NGX should aim toward ensuring that each listed firm on the market have a strong market capitalization through encouraging different ownership structure to possess their respective stock value
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