出口与经济增长之间的关系:西非国家的证据

Evans Kulu
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摘要

出口带动增长假说(ELGH)认为,出口是经济增长的主要驱动力。本研究检验了这一假设,并进一步分析了西非国家出口的决定因素。研究使用了 2008 年至 2018 年的年度面板数据。系统 GMM 和 OLS 估计结果验证了西非的 ELGH。结果还显示,外国直接投资、就业、汇款、土地面积和基础设施是出口的重要促进因素,而人口、实际有效汇率和国际贸易税则不利于该地区的出口表现。研究建议放宽税收,特别是国际贸易税,以鼓励生产企业为出口部门提供原料,为企业提供有利的环境,同时吸引外国投资者。JEL Codes:F14, F21, O55
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Relationship Between Export and Economic Growth: Evidence from West African Countries
The export-led growth hypothesis (ELGH) postulates that export is a major driver of economic growth. This study tests this hypothesis and further analyses the determinants of exports in the case of West African countries. An annual panel data spanning from 2008 to 2018 was used. Findings from the system GMM and OLS estimations validate the ELGH in West Africa. The results also reveal that foreign direct investment, employment, remittances, land area and infrastructure are significant boosters of export while population, real effective exchange rate and taxes on international trade are detrimental to export performance in the region. The study recommends the relaxation of taxes especially on international trade to encourage businesses that produce to feed the export sectors, provide an enabling environment for businesses and also attract foreign investors. JEL Codes: F14, F21, O55
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