从全球冰川建模到流域水文学:利用 WaSiM-OGGM 耦合方案缩小差距

IF 2.6 Q2 WATER RESOURCES Frontiers in Water Pub Date : 2023-12-20 DOI:10.3389/frwa.2023.1296344
M. Pesci, Philipp Schulte Overberg, Thomas Bosshard, Kristian Förster
{"title":"从全球冰川建模到流域水文学:利用 WaSiM-OGGM 耦合方案缩小差距","authors":"M. Pesci, Philipp Schulte Overberg, Thomas Bosshard, Kristian Förster","doi":"10.3389/frwa.2023.1296344","DOIUrl":null,"url":null,"abstract":"Coupled glacio-hydrological models have recently become a valuable method for predicting the hydrological response of catchments in mountainous regions under a changing climate. While hydrological models focus mostly on processes of the non-glacierized part of the catchment with a relatively simple glacier representation, the latest generation of standalone (global) glacier models tend to describe glacier processes more accurately by using new global datasets and explicitly modeling ice-flow dynamics. Yet, to the authors' knowledge, existing catchment-scale coupled glacio-hydrological models either do not include these most recent advances in glacier modeling or are simply not available to other users. By making use of the capabilities of the free, distributed, physically-based Water Flow and Balance Simulation Model (WaSiM) and the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM), a coupling scheme is developed to bridge the gap between global glacier representation and local catchment hydrology. The WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme is used to further assess the impacts under future climates on the glaciological and hydrological processes in the Gepatschalm catchment (Austria), by considering a combination of three climate projections under the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5. Additionally, the results are compared to the original WaSiM model with the integrated Volume-Area (VA) scaling approach for modeling glaciers. Although both models (WaSiM with VA scaling and WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme) perform very similar during the historical simulations (1971–2010), large discrepancies arise when looking into the future (2011–2100). In terms of runoff, the VA scaling model suggests a reduction of the mean monthly peak between 10–19%, whereas a reduction of 26–41% is computed by the coupling scheme. Similarly, results suggest that glaciers will continuously retreat until 2100. By the end of the century, between 20–43% of the 2010 glacier area will remain according to the VA scaling model, but only 1–23% is expected to remain with the coupling scheme. The results from the WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme raises awareness of including more sophisticated glacier evolution models when performing hydrological simulations at the catchment scale in the future. As the WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme is released as open-source software, it is accessible to any interested modeler with limited or even no glacier knowledge.","PeriodicalId":33801,"journal":{"name":"Frontiers in Water","volume":null,"pages":null},"PeriodicalIF":2.6000,"publicationDate":"2023-12-20","publicationTypes":"Journal Article","fieldsOfStudy":null,"isOpenAccess":false,"openAccessPdf":"","citationCount":"0","resultStr":"{\"title\":\"From global glacier modeling to catchment hydrology: bridging the gap with the WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme\",\"authors\":\"M. Pesci, Philipp Schulte Overberg, Thomas Bosshard, Kristian Förster\",\"doi\":\"10.3389/frwa.2023.1296344\",\"DOIUrl\":null,\"url\":null,\"abstract\":\"Coupled glacio-hydrological models have recently become a valuable method for predicting the hydrological response of catchments in mountainous regions under a changing climate. While hydrological models focus mostly on processes of the non-glacierized part of the catchment with a relatively simple glacier representation, the latest generation of standalone (global) glacier models tend to describe glacier processes more accurately by using new global datasets and explicitly modeling ice-flow dynamics. Yet, to the authors' knowledge, existing catchment-scale coupled glacio-hydrological models either do not include these most recent advances in glacier modeling or are simply not available to other users. By making use of the capabilities of the free, distributed, physically-based Water Flow and Balance Simulation Model (WaSiM) and the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM), a coupling scheme is developed to bridge the gap between global glacier representation and local catchment hydrology. The WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme is used to further assess the impacts under future climates on the glaciological and hydrological processes in the Gepatschalm catchment (Austria), by considering a combination of three climate projections under the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5. Additionally, the results are compared to the original WaSiM model with the integrated Volume-Area (VA) scaling approach for modeling glaciers. Although both models (WaSiM with VA scaling and WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme) perform very similar during the historical simulations (1971–2010), large discrepancies arise when looking into the future (2011–2100). In terms of runoff, the VA scaling model suggests a reduction of the mean monthly peak between 10–19%, whereas a reduction of 26–41% is computed by the coupling scheme. Similarly, results suggest that glaciers will continuously retreat until 2100. By the end of the century, between 20–43% of the 2010 glacier area will remain according to the VA scaling model, but only 1–23% is expected to remain with the coupling scheme. The results from the WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme raises awareness of including more sophisticated glacier evolution models when performing hydrological simulations at the catchment scale in the future. As the WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme is released as open-source software, it is accessible to any interested modeler with limited or even no glacier knowledge.\",\"PeriodicalId\":33801,\"journal\":{\"name\":\"Frontiers in Water\",\"volume\":null,\"pages\":null},\"PeriodicalIF\":2.6000,\"publicationDate\":\"2023-12-20\",\"publicationTypes\":\"Journal Article\",\"fieldsOfStudy\":null,\"isOpenAccess\":false,\"openAccessPdf\":\"\",\"citationCount\":\"0\",\"resultStr\":null,\"platform\":\"Semanticscholar\",\"paperid\":null,\"PeriodicalName\":\"Frontiers in Water\",\"FirstCategoryId\":\"1085\",\"ListUrlMain\":\"https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2023.1296344\",\"RegionNum\":0,\"RegionCategory\":null,\"ArticlePicture\":[],\"TitleCN\":null,\"AbstractTextCN\":null,\"PMCID\":null,\"EPubDate\":\"\",\"PubModel\":\"\",\"JCR\":\"Q2\",\"JCRName\":\"WATER RESOURCES\",\"Score\":null,\"Total\":0}","platform":"Semanticscholar","paperid":null,"PeriodicalName":"Frontiers in Water","FirstCategoryId":"1085","ListUrlMain":"https://doi.org/10.3389/frwa.2023.1296344","RegionNum":0,"RegionCategory":null,"ArticlePicture":[],"TitleCN":null,"AbstractTextCN":null,"PMCID":null,"EPubDate":"","PubModel":"","JCR":"Q2","JCRName":"WATER RESOURCES","Score":null,"Total":0}
引用次数: 0

摘要

最近,冰川-水文耦合模型已成为预测气候变化下山区集水区水文响应的重要方法。水文模型主要关注集水区非冰川化部分的过程,对冰川的表述相对简单,而最新一代的独立(全球)冰川模型则倾向于通过使用新的全球数据集和明确的冰流动力学建模来更准确地描述冰川过程。然而,据作者所知,现有的集水尺度冰川-水文耦合模型要么没有包含这些最新的冰川建模进展,要么根本没有提供给其他用户。通过利用免费、分布式、基于物理的水流与平衡模拟模型(WaSiM)和开放式全球冰川模型(OGGM)的功能,开发了一种耦合方案,以弥合全球冰川表征与当地流域水文之间的差距。WaSiM-OGGM 耦合方案用于进一步评估未来气候对 Gepatschalm 流域(奥地利)冰川学和水文过程的影响,考虑了代表性浓度路径 (RCP) 2.6、4.5 和 8.5 下的三种气候预测组合。此外,还将结果与采用综合体积-面积(VA)比例方法进行冰川建模的原始 WaSiM 模型进行了比较。尽管这两种模型(采用 VA 比例法的 WaSiM 模型和 WaSiM-OGGM 耦合方案)在历史模拟(1971-2010 年)中的表现非常相似,但在展望未来(2011-2100 年)时却出现了巨大差异。在径流方面,VA 缩放模型显示月平均峰值减少了 10-19%,而耦合方案计算出的峰值减少了 26-41%。同样,结果表明,冰川在 2100 年前将持续后退。到本世纪末,根据 VA 比例模型,2010 年的冰川面积将保留 20-43%,但根据耦合方案,预计只保留 1-23%。WaSiM-OGGM 耦合方案的结果提高了人们的认识,即今后在流域尺度上进行水文模拟时,应纳入更复杂的冰川演变模型。由于 WaSiM-OGGM 耦合方案是作为开源软件发布的,因此任何对冰川知识了解有限甚至一无所知的建模人员都可以使用。
本文章由计算机程序翻译,如有差异,请以英文原文为准。
查看原文
分享 分享
微信好友 朋友圈 QQ好友 复制链接
本刊更多论文
From global glacier modeling to catchment hydrology: bridging the gap with the WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme
Coupled glacio-hydrological models have recently become a valuable method for predicting the hydrological response of catchments in mountainous regions under a changing climate. While hydrological models focus mostly on processes of the non-glacierized part of the catchment with a relatively simple glacier representation, the latest generation of standalone (global) glacier models tend to describe glacier processes more accurately by using new global datasets and explicitly modeling ice-flow dynamics. Yet, to the authors' knowledge, existing catchment-scale coupled glacio-hydrological models either do not include these most recent advances in glacier modeling or are simply not available to other users. By making use of the capabilities of the free, distributed, physically-based Water Flow and Balance Simulation Model (WaSiM) and the Open Global Glacier Model (OGGM), a coupling scheme is developed to bridge the gap between global glacier representation and local catchment hydrology. The WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme is used to further assess the impacts under future climates on the glaciological and hydrological processes in the Gepatschalm catchment (Austria), by considering a combination of three climate projections under the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 2.6, 4.5, and 8.5. Additionally, the results are compared to the original WaSiM model with the integrated Volume-Area (VA) scaling approach for modeling glaciers. Although both models (WaSiM with VA scaling and WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme) perform very similar during the historical simulations (1971–2010), large discrepancies arise when looking into the future (2011–2100). In terms of runoff, the VA scaling model suggests a reduction of the mean monthly peak between 10–19%, whereas a reduction of 26–41% is computed by the coupling scheme. Similarly, results suggest that glaciers will continuously retreat until 2100. By the end of the century, between 20–43% of the 2010 glacier area will remain according to the VA scaling model, but only 1–23% is expected to remain with the coupling scheme. The results from the WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme raises awareness of including more sophisticated glacier evolution models when performing hydrological simulations at the catchment scale in the future. As the WaSiM-OGGM coupling scheme is released as open-source software, it is accessible to any interested modeler with limited or even no glacier knowledge.
求助全文
通过发布文献求助,成功后即可免费获取论文全文。 去求助
来源期刊
Frontiers in Water
Frontiers in Water WATER RESOURCES-
CiteScore
4.00
自引率
6.90%
发文量
224
审稿时长
13 weeks
期刊最新文献
Carbon evolution and mixing effects on groundwater age calculations in fractured basalt, southwestern Idaho, U.S.A. A meta-analysis of the impacts of best management practices on nonpoint source pollutant concentration From few large to many small investments: lessons for adaptive irrigation development in an uncertain world Spatio-temporal analysis of land use and land cover changes in a wetland ecosystem of Bangladesh using a machine-learning approach Evaluating community adoption and participation in water and sanitation interventions in the Bongo District, Ghana
×
引用
GB/T 7714-2015
复制
MLA
复制
APA
复制
导出至
BibTeX EndNote RefMan NoteFirst NoteExpress
×
×
提示
您的信息不完整,为了账户安全,请先补充。
现在去补充
×
提示
您因"违规操作"
具体请查看互助需知
我知道了
×
提示
现在去查看 取消
×
提示
确定
0
微信
客服QQ
Book学术公众号 扫码关注我们
反馈
×
意见反馈
请填写您的意见或建议
请填写您的手机或邮箱
已复制链接
已复制链接
快去分享给好友吧!
我知道了
×
扫码分享
扫码分享
Book学术官方微信
Book学术文献互助
Book学术文献互助群
群 号:481959085
Book学术
文献互助 智能选刊 最新文献 互助须知 联系我们:info@booksci.cn
Book学术提供免费学术资源搜索服务,方便国内外学者检索中英文文献。致力于提供最便捷和优质的服务体验。
Copyright © 2023 Book学术 All rights reserved.
ghs 京公网安备 11010802042870号 京ICP备2023020795号-1