采用 Naive Bayes 算法预测心衰患者的安全性

Okky Putra Barus, Kevil Lauwren, Jefri Junifer Pangaribuan, Romindo
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摘要

世界卫生组织(WHO)发布的数据显示,心脏病是造成全球死亡的主要原因。仅在 2019 年,估计就有 1790 万人死于心血管疾病,占全球死亡总人数的 32%。在这些死亡病例中,85%归因于心脏病和中风。存在心力衰竭隐患的人往往坚持不健康的生活方式,而忽视了潜在的心脏疾病。为解决这一问题,该研究探索了机器学习的应用,以确定对心衰患者进行分类的最佳方法,并采用了 Naive Bayes 技术。这种算法已在医疗领域得到广泛应用,在肝炎、中风、呼吸道感染等各种疾病的分类中取得了成功。本研究中应用的 Naive Bayes 算法在准确度、精确度、灵敏度和整体分类效果方面都有显著的表现。具体来说,心衰患者的分类准确率达到 74.58%,精确度达到 97.67%,灵敏度达到 75%,AUC(ROC 曲线下面积)为 0.857,表明在 0.80 到 0.90 的范围内分类效果极佳。这些发现可作为心衰高危人群的早期预警系统。
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Implementation of the Naive Bayes Algorithm to Predict the Safety of Heart Failure Patients
Heart disease stands as a prominent contributor to global mortality, as indicated by data released by the World Health Organization (WHO). In 2019 alone, an estimated 17.9 million individuals succumbed to cardiovascular disease, accounting for 32% of all worldwide deaths. Of these fatalities, 85% were attributed to heart disease and stroke. Individuals harboring the potential for heart failure often persist in unhealthy lifestyles, regardless of their awareness of underlying heart conditions. To address this issue, the research explores the application of machine learning to identify an optimal method for classifying heart failure patients, employing the Naive Bayes technique. This algorithm has found extensive use in the health sector, demonstrating success in classifying various conditions such as hepatitis, stroke, respiratory infections, and more. The Naive Bayes algorithm, applied in this study, exhibited notable accuracy, precision, sensitivity, and overall classification efficacy. Specifically, the classification accuracy for heart failure patients reached 74.58%, the precision level was 97.67%, sensitivity achieved 75%, and the AUC (Area Under ROC Curve) stood at 0.857, indicating excellent classification within the 0.80 to 0.90 range. These findings can serve as an early warning system for individuals at risk of heart failure.
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