在全面防御框架内衡量中东欧和黑海国家的经济复原力

Maria Constantinescu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本文的主要研究目标是从全面防御的角度确定影响经济复原力的关键因素。这包括在综合防御框架内,制定一个综合经济复原力指数(Ericda),概述中东欧和黑海地区国家的相对经济复原力。本文采用定性研究方法,重点分析与经济复原力相关的专业文献。此外,还采用定量方法,从综合防御方法(Ericda)的角度制定经济复原力指数。这包括使用中欧、东欧和黑海地区国家选定的复原力指标数据来生成排名。研究结果显示,经济复原力指数与物流和基础设施、经济复杂性、外贸脆弱性和依赖性、经济稳定和发展、治理有效性、军事和人力资本等各种因素之间存在很强的正相关性。此外,还观察到复原力指数与其他因素呈负相关。研究结果表明,要确保有效的全面防御,针对个别支柱的孤立措施是不够的。经济复原力需要一种协作方法,超越财政部的权限,让更广泛的利益相关者参与进来。
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Measuring economic resilience for the CEE and Black Sea countries in the framework of comprehensive defense
The main research objective of this paper is to identify key factors influencing economic resilience from the perspective of comprehensive defence. This involves developing a composite economic resilience index (Ericda) that outlines the relative economic resilience of countries in Central and Eastern Europe and the Black Sea regions, within the comprehensive defence framework. The paper employs qualitative research methods, focusing on an analysis of specialist literature pertaining to economic resilience. Quantitative methods are also used for developing the Economic Resilience Index from the Comprehensive Approach to Defence (Ericda) perspective. This includes using data on selected resilience indicators in Central and the Eastern European and Black Sea region countries to generate rankings. The results of the study reveal strong positive correlations between the economic resilience index and various factors, such as logistics and infrastructure, economic complexity, foreign trade vulnerabilities and dependence, economic stability and development, governance effectiveness, military, and human capital. Additionally, a negative correlation was observed with the resilience index. The research findings suggest that to ensure effective comprehensive defence, isolated measures targeting individual pillars are inadequate. Economic resilience requires a collaborative approach, extending beyond the purview of the finance ministry and involving a broader range of stakeholders.
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34
审稿时长
9 weeks
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