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Role of the private sector within Latvia’s strategic defence documents: Dimensions of psychological resilience and strategic communication 私营部门在拉脱维亚国防战略文件中的作用:心理复原力和战略沟通的各个层面
Pub Date : 2024-05-18 DOI: 10.35467/sdq/186719
Lita Juberte Krūmiņa
The comprehensive defence framework introduced in 2019 in Latvia has the potential to accelerate the implementation of national defence priorities, thus strengthening Latvia as one of NATO’s external border states. In a time of geopolitical turbulence and increasing hybrid threats, a whole-of-society approach is required and work in ever-new directions. As dimensions of psychological resilience and strategic communication are becoming an important part of the defence studies debate, the study focuses on the role of the private sector within Latvia’s strategic defence documents and aims to investigate where these dimensions are situated and how they have evolved in the strategic landscape. To study the role and evolution of the private sector within Latvia’s strategic defence documents, quantitative content analysis and qualitative text analysis were used for in-depth analysis of the documents. The study finds that the role of the private sector in the strategic defence documents has generally increased over the years and there has not been a significant change regarding private sector involvement in dimensions of psychological resilience and strategic communication. The long-term pattern indicates that dimensions of psychological resilience and strategic communication appear rare in strategic documents, suggesting that the private sector is not seen as a significant actor in achieving defence goals. Meanwhile, in more practical dimensions,an upward trend towards strengthening ties and sharing responsibilities is identified. The study therefore opens up a discussion regarding the need for a more institutionalised framework for psychological and strategic communication dimensions in order to achieve the strategic goals of comprehensive defence.
拉脱维亚 2019 年推出的综合防务框架有可能加快国防优先事项的实施,从而加强拉脱维亚作为北约外部边界国家之一的地位。在地缘政治动荡和混合威胁日益加剧的时代,需要采取全社会的方法,并朝着新的方向努力。由于心理复原力和战略沟通正在成为国防研究辩论的重要组成部分,本研究侧重于私营部门在拉脱维亚战略防御文件中的作用,旨在调查这些方面在战略格局中的位置和演变情况。为了研究私营部门在拉脱维亚战略防御文件中的作用和演变,本研究采用了定量内容分析和定性文本分析来对文件进行深入分析。研究发现,多年来,私营部门在国防战略文件中的作用总体上有所增强,但私营部门在心理复原力和战略沟通方面的参与并没有发生重大变化。长期模式表明,战略文件中很少出现心理复原力和战略沟通方面的内容,这表明私营部门并未被视为实现国防目标的重要参与者。与此同时,在更实际的方面,发现了加强联系和分担责任的上升趋势。因此,本研究开启了一场讨论,探讨是否需要一个更加制度化的心理和战略沟通框架,以实现全面防卫的战略目标。
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引用次数: 0
Anti-terrorist cooperation as part of Poland’s geopolitical shift. “Operation Bridge” and the rise of a strategic partnership with the United States 反恐合作是波兰地缘政治转变的一部分。"桥梁行动 "以及与美国战略伙伴关系的崛起
Pub Date : 2024-05-09 DOI: 10.35467/sdq/186332
Tomasz Piotr Kozłowski
This paper discusses Poland’s involvement in “Operation Bridge,” which aimed to transport Jewish citizens from the SovietUnion to Israel between 1989 and 1992. The study is based on recently declassified documents from the former intelligence andcounterintelligence services, the Foreign Ministry, and the Prime Minister’s Office, supplemented by accounts of policymakers, secretservice officers, and militia involved in protecting Soviet Jews during transit operations. The author argues that this operation was notjust a humanitarian effort but also had significant geopolitical implications. The newly elected non-communist government underTadeusz Mazowiecki saw this as a critical move to establish stronger ties with the United States and Israel. The author also highlightshow the cooperation between Poland and the United States in intelligence sharing, counterterrorism, and security operations paved theway for Poland’s strategic partnership with the United States and its eventual entry into NATO. The paper contributes significantlyto our understanding of the role played by Poland in the post-Cold War era and sheds new light on the development of US–Polishrelations.
本文讨论了波兰参与 "桥梁行动 "的情况,该行动旨在 1989 年至 1992 年间将犹太公民从苏联运送到以色列。研究以最近解密的前情报和反间谍部门、外交部和总理办公室的文件为基础,辅以决策者、特工人员和在转运行动中参与保护苏联犹太人的民兵的叙述。作者认为,这次行动不仅是一次人道主义行动,还具有重大的地缘政治影响。在塔德乌什-马佐维耶茨基领导下新当选的非共产主义政府将此视为与美国和以色列建立更紧密联系的关键举措。作者还强调了波兰与美国在情报共享、反恐和安全行动方面的合作如何为波兰与美国的战略伙伴关系以及波兰最终加入北约铺平了道路。这篇论文极大地促进了我们对波兰在后冷战时代所扮演角色的理解,并为美波关系的发展提供了新的视角。
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引用次数: 0
The role of military morale as an essential dimension of combat power 军队士气是战斗力的重要组成部分
Pub Date : 2024-03-12 DOI: 10.35467/sdq/174832
Mioara Șerban
This paper focuses on the principles and values that guide human behaviour as well as judgements about what is considered ethical. The objectives of this analysis are threefold: (1) to explore the role of morale as an essential dimension of combat power, (2) to identify perceptions and representations related to the importance of military morale in managing stress during wartime or on a field mission, and (3) to identify possible ways to improve the resilience of military personnel deployed on the battlefield within the organisational culture. This study adopts a mixed-methods approach, including qualitative methodologies to examine the role and impact of psychological training and self-confidence in military settings along with quantitative methodologies that include specific questions regarding demographics and military experiences. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with thirty-two military personnel with direct experience in missions, conflict zones, or theatres of operations. Soldiers’ perceptions, formed by their states of necessity and subjective character, contribute to satisfaction, shaping the scope of motivation, and confirming that soldiers’ morale directly influences their actions on the battlefield. Accomplishing a mission requires not only the precise definition of objectives and the provision of the necessary tools but also an appeal to factors that stimulate, raise awareness, and activate personnel. The findings reveal measures that can be taken to manage stress in combat, including subjective ones, deriving from the military’s confidence and conviction in the legitimacy of the cause and the justice of the war, group integration, personal beliefs and hopes as well as objective ones, such as external mass influences, the media or the states involved, which affect the security of the military. The results of the study emphasise the importance of the initial training of the military at individual and group levels, or under leadership of superiors, together with the solidarity of the North Atlantic Treaty Organization and European Union member states in supporting the families of the military and improving their situation from various perspectives: economic, material, orale, civil protection, and child protection.
本文的重点是指导人类行为的原则和价值观,以及对什么是道德的判断。本分析的目的有三:(1) 探讨士气作为战斗力重要维度的作用,(2) 确定在战时或执行外勤任务时,与管理压力方面的士气重要性相关的看法和表述,(3) 确定在组织文化中提高部署在战场上的军事人员应变能力的可能方法。本研究采用了一种混合方法,包括定性方法和定量方法,前者用于研究心理训练和自信在军事环境中的作用和影响,后者包括有关人口统计学和军事经验的具体问题。我们对 32 名有直接执行任务、冲突地区或战场经验的军人进行了半结构化访谈。士兵的感知由他们的必要状态和主观性格形成,有助于提高满意度,塑造动机的范围,并证实士兵的士气直接影响他们在战场上的行动。要完成一项任务,不仅需要准确界定目标和提供必要的工具,还需要诉诸各种因素来刺激、提高认识和激活人员。研究结果揭示了可以采取的控制作战压力的措施,其中包括主观因素,来自军人对事业合法性和战争正义性的信心和信念、团体融合、个人信仰和希望,以及客观因素,如影响军人安全的外部大众影响、媒体或相关国家。研究结果强调了在个人和团体层面或在上级领导下对军人进行初步培训的重要性,以及北大西洋公约组织和欧洲联盟成员国团结一致支持军人家属并从经济、物质、精神、民事保护和儿童保护等多方面改善其状况的重要性。
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引用次数: 0
Gender diversity management in NATO for sustainable security and peace 北约的性别多样性管理促进可持续安全与和平
Pub Date : 2024-03-10 DOI: 10.35467/sdq/183658
Kamila Trochowska-Sviderok, Yvonne Rose Masakowski, M. McFate, Anne Holohan
The article focuses on the need for a paradigm shift in diversity management for sustainable peace and security. We discuss the bidirectional influence of security and defence organisations and society; the intersectionality of issues related to social justice, health, race, and ethnicity; sexual abuse and exploitation; and cultural factors that influence the functioning of LGBTQ+ personnel and the gender/technology nexus in the context of North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO). During the application of the Sustainable Security Paradigm to gender diversity management, we found that ecofeminism and the ideas of post-colonial theory should inform the transformational shift of contemporary security and defence organisational cultures. This approach was used by the multinational NATO Science & Technology Organization Exploratory Team ET-197 Gender, Peace and Sustainable Security (2022-23) and its successor, the NATO HFM-368 Research Task Group (2023-26). Our research efforts were triangulated by an analysis of doctrinal textual, audiovisual and art sources that relate to gender diversity and its management. Given the complexity of future warfare, there is a strategic imperative to develop an inclusive defence strategy that reconfigures the traditional white male-focused military paradigm. It is evident that the root cause of gender inequality cannot be solved solely by doctrine and training solutions—rather a transformational organisational culture shift is pivotal and critical to the future global security. This is the first article that addresses the issues of gender diversity management for sustainable security and peace in an interdisciplinary and holistic manner. Our approach is relevant to any organisation with internal gender and intersectional diversity and systemic discrimination.
文章重点论述了为实现可持续和平与安全而转变多样性管理模式的必要性。我们讨论了安全和国防组织与社会的双向影响;社会正义、健康、种族和民族相关问题的交叉性;性虐待和性剥削;影响 LGBTQ+ 人员运作的文化因素以及北大西洋公约组织(NATO)背景下的性别/技术关系。在将可持续安全范式应用于性别多样性管理的过程中,我们发现生态女性主义和后殖民理论的思想应为当代安全和国防组织文化的转型提供信息。北约科技组织多国探索小组 ET-197 性别、和平与可持续安全(2022-23 年)及其后继者北约 HFM-368 研究工作组(2023-26 年)都采用了这种方法。我们的研究工作通过分析与性别多样性及其管理有关的理论文本、音像和艺术资料进行了三角分析。鉴于未来战争的复杂性,制定一项包容性国防战略,重构传统的以白人男性为中心的军事范式在战略上势在必行。显然,性别不平等的根源不能仅靠理论和培训来解决--相反,组织文化的转变对未来的全球安全至关重要。这是第一篇以跨学科和全面的方式探讨可持续安全与和平的性别多样性管理问题的文章。我们的方法适用于任何存在内部性别和交叉多样性以及系统性歧视的组织。
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引用次数: 0
SCADvanceXP—an intelligent Polish system for threat detection and monitoring of industrial networks SCADvanceXP - 用于工业网络威胁检测和监控的波兰智能系统
Pub Date : 2024-03-03 DOI: 10.35467/sdq/177655
Mateusz Twardawa, Marek Smolik, F. Rakowski, Jakub Kwiatkowski, Norbert Meyer
SCADvanceXP is an industrial network intrusion detection system that scans and monitors data exchange between engineeringstations, field divides, controllers, supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA), and other elements of the operational technology network in detail. SCADvanceXP has the potential to detect advanced attacks on industrial infrastructures with the use of rulebased, signature-based, and behavioural detection methods, which are supported by sophisticated machine and deep learning models. As a system developed in Poland, it addresses the needs of industry in that region of Europe. The goal of this work was to assess SCADvanceXP’s potential to detect common industrial threats. In order to check SCADvanceXP’s potential, an effort was undertaken to evaluate its functionality on major industrial threats. For that purpose, twelve malware strains interfering with industrial systems were described. Later, the SCADvanceXP functionality was overlapped on malware behavioural and detection markers, pointing out exact mechanisms in SCADvanceXP that would detect analysed threats. The results show that SCADvanceXP is able to detect a wide range of attacks on industrial networks. SCADvanceXP’s rich functionality is able to provide a high standard of security. However, if a threat is affecting systems not directly connected with industrial networks, SCADvanceXP will not be able to detect it. SCADvanceXP only monitors industrial systems; hence, corporate networks must be protected by a different solution to provide the required level of security. Nonetheless, SCADvanceXP is dedicated to operating within industrial networks and does not have access to regular IT networks. It can be concluded that SCADvanceXP is a specialist tool providing desired security for industrial networks.
SCADvanceXP 是一种工业网络入侵检测系统,可详细扫描和监控工程站、现场分区、控制器、监控和数据采集 (SCADA) 之间的数据交换,以及操作技术网络的其他元素。SCADvanceXP 可利用基于规则、签名和行为的检测方法,在复杂的机器和深度学习模型的支持下,检测对工业基础设施的高级攻击。作为一个在波兰开发的系统,它能满足欧洲地区的工业需求。这项工作的目标是评估 SCADvanceXP 检测常见工业威胁的潜力。为了检验 SCADvanceXP 的潜力,我们对其针对主要工业威胁的功能进行了评估。为此,描述了 12 种干扰工业系统的恶意软件。随后,将 SCADvanceXP 的功能与恶意软件的行为和检测标记重叠,指出 SCADvanceXP 中检测所分析威胁的确切机制。结果表明,SCADvanceXP 能够检测到对工业网络的各种攻击。SCADvanceXP 的丰富功能能够提供高标准的安全性。但是,如果威胁影响到与工业网络没有直接连接的系统,SCADvanceXP 将无法检测到。SCADvanceXP 只能监控工业系统;因此,企业网络必须由不同的解决方案来保护,以提供所需的安全级别。然而,SCADvanceXP 专门在工业网络内运行,无法访问常规 IT 网络。可以说,SCADvanceXP 是为工业网络提供所需的安全性的专业工具。
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引用次数: 0
Security scenarios: 3D Printed Firearms 安全场景:3D 打印枪械
Pub Date : 2024-02-19 DOI: 10.35467/sdq/181047
Samu Rautio, Mika Broms
The aim of this study was to determine possible future scenarios if 3D printed firearms were to be manufactured in society. These scenarios provide a closer examination of the factors influencing the use of this relatively new method of firearms production. We reviewed the factors in 3D printed firearms that are relevant to various security authorities. Scenario analysis enables the examination of problem-solving for this multi-dimensional, multi-layered and multi-scale phenomenon. The topic was approached from a systemic perspective based on complexity thinking. The scenario-creation method employed five forecasting techniques applicable to the Playbook for Strategic Foresight and Innovation (Carleton, 2013). A context map created the basis for factor analysis, generational arcs, white spots and expert panel. The scenarios were developed into a structural format, allowing for the description of coherent entities. Upon analysing the scenarios, it was found that the ease of manufacturing 3D printed firearms could lead to a rapid increase in their numbers, potentially resulting in decreased internal and external security. The networking of manufacturers could also enable the production of weapons for individuals who previously did not have access to firearms. On the other hand, 3D printed firearms could open up new legal uses and possibilities. The networking of manufacturers could also enable the production of weapons for individuals who previously did not have access to firearms. On the other hand, 3D-printed firearms could open up new legal uses and possibilities.
本研究的目的是确定未来社会制造 3D 打印枪支可能出现的情况。这些情景提供了对使用这种相对较新的枪支生产方法的影响因素的更深入研究。我们审查了 3D 打印枪支中与各安全部门相关的因素。通过情景分析,可以研究如何解决这种多维度、多层次和多规模的现象。本专题从基于复杂性思维的系统角度切入。情景创建方法采用了适用于《战略前瞻与创新手册》(Playbook for Strategic Foresight and Innovation)(卡尔顿,2013 年)的五种预测技术。背景地图为因素分析、代际弧线、白点和专家小组奠定了基础。情景被发展成一种结构格式,允许描述连贯的实体。在对情景进行分析后发现,制造 3D 打印枪支的便利性可能会导致枪支数量的快速增长,从而可能导致内部和外部安全的下降。制造商之间的联网也可能使以前无法获得枪支的个人生产武器成为可能。另一方面,3D 打印枪支可以开辟新的合法用途和可能性。制造商联网还可以为以前无法获得枪支的个人生产武器。另一方面,3D 打印枪支可以开辟新的合法用途和可能性。
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引用次数: 0
Book Review Frank Close (2019) Trinity: The treachery and pursuit of the most dangerous spy in history. London: Penguin Books, 500 pp., ISBN 978-0-141-98644-9’ 书评 弗兰克-克洛斯(2019)《三位一体》:历史上最危险间谍的背叛与追捕。伦敦:企鹅出版社,500 页,国际标准书号 978-0-141-98644-9'
Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.35467/sdq/183020
Ben de Jong
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引用次数: 0
Book Review Frank Close (2019) Trinity: The treachery and pursuit of the most dangerous spy in history. London: Penguin Books, 500 pp., ISBN 978-0-141-98644-9’ 书评 弗兰克-克洛斯(2019)《三位一体》:历史上最危险间谍的背叛与追捕。伦敦:企鹅出版社,500 页,国际标准书号 978-0-141-98644-9'
Pub Date : 2024-02-15 DOI: 10.35467/sdq/183020
Ben de Jong
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引用次数: 0
Aircraft vulnerability to politically motivated Radio Frequency Interference (RFI) in Eastern Europe 在东欧,飞机易受出于政治动机的射频干扰(RFI)的影响
Pub Date : 2024-02-09 DOI: 10.35467/sdq/178249
Tegg Westbrook
Countries in Europe have experienced radio frequency interference from Russian electronic warfare units, affecting navigation systems without discrimination. Interference has been identified as coming from the Russian mainland, Kaliningrad, and in the areas where it is engaged in conflicts abroad, creating serious hazards for aircraft. Previous research has identified the technical vulnerabilities to aviation from radio frequency interference, but it has yet to be contextualised in light of the ongoing geopolitical tensions. Using literature review analysis, the aim of the article is to place the jamming and spoofing threat in the context of ongoing political tensions between Russia and the region and to establish worse-case scenarios based on the former’s motives. Focusing on the threats to aircraft, it finds that the likely motivations are to (1) complement political narratives of Western aggression; (2) to deny service for intimidation, harassment, economic loss, and to portray a dominant Russian cyber influence; and (3) to use spoofing to enable hostage diplomacy via the seizure of people and assets. It argues that reporting mechanisms for aviation risks assumes geographical staticism, which does not correspond adequately to the threat. It also creates arbitrary “predictability” in otherwise unpredictable environments, which could ultimately affect vigilance and due diligence in the areas not considered problematic.
欧洲各国受到俄罗斯电子战部队的无线电频率干扰,导航系统无一幸免。已确定干扰来自俄罗斯本土、加里宁格勒以及俄罗斯参与海外冲突的地区,对飞机造成严重危害。以往的研究已经确定了无线电频率干扰对航空技术的影响,但尚未结合当前的地缘政治紧张局势进行分析。本文通过文献综述分析,旨在将干扰和欺骗威胁置于俄罗斯与该地区持续的政治紧张局势背景下,并根据前者的动机确定更坏的情况。该研究重点关注对飞机的威胁,发现其可能的动机是:(1) 补充西方侵略的政治论调;(2) 拒绝提供服务以进行恐吓、骚扰、造成经济损失,并描绘俄罗斯的主导网络影响力;(3) 利用欺骗手段通过扣押人员和资产实现人质外交。报告认为,航空风险报告机制假定了地理上的静态性,这与威胁并不完全相符。它还在原本不可预测的环境中制造了任意的 "可预测性",最终可能会影响到在不被认为有问题的领域的警惕性和尽职调查。
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引用次数: 0
Aircraft vulnerability to politically motivated Radio Frequency Interference (RFI) in Eastern Europe 在东欧,飞机易受出于政治动机的射频干扰(RFI)的影响
Pub Date : 2024-02-09 DOI: 10.35467/sdq/178249
Tegg Westbrook
Countries in Europe have experienced radio frequency interference from Russian electronic warfare units, affecting navigation systems without discrimination. Interference has been identified as coming from the Russian mainland, Kaliningrad, and in the areas where it is engaged in conflicts abroad, creating serious hazards for aircraft. Previous research has identified the technical vulnerabilities to aviation from radio frequency interference, but it has yet to be contextualised in light of the ongoing geopolitical tensions. Using literature review analysis, the aim of the article is to place the jamming and spoofing threat in the context of ongoing political tensions between Russia and the region and to establish worse-case scenarios based on the former’s motives. Focusing on the threats to aircraft, it finds that the likely motivations are to (1) complement political narratives of Western aggression; (2) to deny service for intimidation, harassment, economic loss, and to portray a dominant Russian cyber influence; and (3) to use spoofing to enable hostage diplomacy via the seizure of people and assets. It argues that reporting mechanisms for aviation risks assumes geographical staticism, which does not correspond adequately to the threat. It also creates arbitrary “predictability” in otherwise unpredictable environments, which could ultimately affect vigilance and due diligence in the areas not considered problematic.
欧洲各国受到俄罗斯电子战部队的无线电频率干扰,导航系统无一幸免。已查明干扰来自俄罗斯本土、加里宁格勒以及俄罗斯参与海外冲突的地区,对飞机造成严重危害。以往的研究已经确定了无线电频率干扰对航空技术的影响,但尚未结合当前的地缘政治紧张局势进行分析。本文通过文献综述分析,旨在将干扰和欺骗威胁置于俄罗斯与该地区持续的政治紧张局势背景下,并根据前者的动机确定更坏的情况。该研究重点关注对飞机的威胁,发现其可能的动机是:(1) 补充西方侵略的政治论调;(2) 拒绝提供服务以进行恐吓、骚扰、造成经济损失,并描绘俄罗斯的主导网络影响力;(3) 利用欺骗手段通过扣押人员和资产实现人质外交。报告认为,航空风险报告机制假定了地理上的静态性,这与威胁并不完全相符。它还在原本不可预测的环境中制造了任意的 "可预测性",最终可能会影响对未被视为有问题的领域的警惕和尽职调查。
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引用次数: 0
期刊
Security and Defence Quarterly
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