利用支持向量机和粒子群优化技术对 "民望计划 "候选人进行预测

Arie Satia Dharma, Evi Rosalina Silaban, Hana Maria Siahaan
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摘要

民望计划(Program Keluarga Harapan,PKH)是一项有条件的社会援助计划,旨在向贫困弱势家庭提供扶贫援助。目前,民望计划援助对象候选人的确定工作仍在村级会议上进行,因此耗时较长,而且村级政府官员在进行评估时有可能存在主观性,这可能导致议事参与者在评估居民是否有资格成为民望计划援助对象时出现意见分歧。因此,本研究将采用优化方法,即粒子群优化法(PSO),从 39 个属性中选出最优属性。然后,选择一种分类算法,即支持向量机(SVM),为民望计划(PKH)的社会援助候选人建立一个分类模型。对民望计划(PKH)社会援助受助者候选人的分类进行了两次实验,即优化前和优化后。优化前的实验准确率为 92.44%。优化后的支持向量机准确率为 92.51%。根据实验结果,可以得出结论:粒子群优化方法可以将支持向量机算法的准确率提高 0.07%。而支持向量机是经过粒子群优化后的最佳模型,它在确定类目标时使用了 17 个最优化程度最高的属性。
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Predictions using Support Vector Machine with Particle Swarm Optimization in Candidates Recipient of Program Keluarga Harapan
Program Keluarga Harapan (PKH) is a conditional social assistance program as an effort to alleviate poverty which is allocated to poor vulnerable households. The determination of candidates for the Program Keluarga Harapan assistance recipients is still carried out in village meetings, so it takes quite a long time and there is potential for subjectivity in the assessment carried out by Village Government officials which can lead to differences of opinion between deliberation participants in assessing the eligibility of residents as PKH recipients. For this reason, this research will use an optimization method, namely Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) to select the most optimal attribute out of 39 attributes. After that, a classification algorithm, namely the Support Vector Machine (SVM), was chosen to form a classification model for Candidates for Social Assistance for the Program Keluarga Harapan (PKH). The classification of Candidates for Social Assistance Recipients of the Program Keluarga Harapan (PKH) was carried out in 2 experiments, namely before and after optimization. Experiments before optimization give an accuracy value of 92.44%. While the Support Vector Machine accuracy value after optimization gives an accuracy value of 92.51%. Based on the experimental results, it can be concluded that the Particle Swarm Optimization method can increase the accuracy of the Support Vector Machine algorithm by 0.07%. And the best model is the Support Vector Machine after optimizing Particle Swarm Optimization by using the 17 most optimized attributes in determining class targets.
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