2020-2022 年期间在印度尼西亚证券交易所上市的电信次级行业最佳投资组合选择中的单一指数模型和马科维茨分析

Devira Larasati, Ari Rohmana, Reza Mutiara, Maria Yovita, R. Pandin
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摘要

本研究采用定性方法,比较了马科维茨模型和单一指数模型这两种方法,并从中找出最佳结果,以构建最优投资组合。本研究的研究对象包括 2020-2022 年期间在印度尼西亚证券交易所上市的电信子行业的所有股票。本研究采用有目的抽样法选择样本。符合样本标准要求的候选公司股票共有 5 家。研究结果表明,采用单一指数模型法,有3只股票被纳入最优投资组合,分别是PT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk (TBIG)(占比50%)、PT Visi Telekomunikasi Infrastruktur Tbk (GOLD)(占比15%)和PT Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison Tbk (ISAT)(占比35%)。根据研究结果,这 3 种股票组成的最优投资组合的预期收益率为 2%,承担的风险为 18%。而在马科维茨模型中,有3只股票被认为是最佳投资组合候选股票,分别是印度尼西亚电信公司(TLKM)(占68%)、PT Visi Telekomunikasi Infrastruktur Tbk(GOLD)(占15%)和PT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk(TBIG)(占17%)。从这 3 种股票的研究结果来看,最佳投资组合的预期回报率为 1%,承担的风险为 6%。
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Analysis of the Single Index Model and Markowitz in Optimal Portfolio Selection in the Telecommunications Sub-Sector Listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the Period 2020-2022
This study, which uses qualitative methodology, compares and finds the best results from two approaches, namely the Markowitz model and the single index model to build an optimal portfolio. The population of this study consists of all stocks included in the telecommunications subsector listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange for the period 2020-2022. Purposive sampling is used in this study to select samples. There are 5 candidate company stocks that meet the requirements in the sample criteria. From the results of the research conducted, it proves that with the single index model method, 3 stocks are included in the optimal portfolio, namely PT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk (TBIG) with a proportion of 50%, PT Visi Telekomunikasi Infrastruktur Tbk (GOLD) with a proportion of 15%, and PT Indosat Ooredoo Hutchison Tbk (ISAT) with a proportion of 35%. From the research results of these 3 stocks to form an optimal portfolio, the expected return is 2% and the risk borne is 18%. While for the Markowitz model, 3 stocks were obtained as optimal portfolio candidates, namely PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Tbk (TLKM) with a proportion of 68%, PT Visi Telekomunikasi Infrastruktur Tbk (GOLD) with a proportion of 15%, and PT Tower Bersama Infrastructure Tbk (TBIG) with a proportion of 17%. From the research results of these 3 stocks to form the optimal portfolio, the expected return is 1% and the risk borne is 6%.
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