降水量变化和使用不同指数的水平衡评估

L. Apopei, D. Mihăilă, Liliana Gina Lazurca, Petruț-Ionel Bistricean, E. Mihăilă, Vasillică Dănuț Horodnic, Maria Elena Emandi
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摘要

本研究使用不同指数评估了罗马尼亚摩尔达维亚高原(MP)中部科特纳里及其周边地区 1961-2018 年期间的水平衡变异性。借助统计分析和遥感技术,我们发现科特纳里的 SPEI(标准化降水和蒸散指数)变异性的特点是数值严重,在显著过剩和显著不足之间交替变化。根据 SPEI,57.2% 至 61.4%的月份在水平衡方面接近正常。有 19.3%至 25.1%的月份水分过剩,17.1%至 20.8%的月份水分不足。当 SPEI 达到极端值(高于 1.5 个单位或低于-1.5 个单位)时,NDVI 和 SPEI 之间的联系变得更加紧密。水平衡表明可用水资源减少。
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Precipitation variation and water balance evaluation using different indices
The study evaluates the variability of water balance using different indices for the period 1961–2018 in Cotnari and surroundings, in the middle part of the Moldavian Plateau (MP), Romania. With the aid of statistical analysis and remote sensing, we discovered that the Cotnari's SPEI (Standardized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index) variability is characterized by severe values that alternate between significant excess and significant deficits. According to SPEI, between 57.2 and 61.4% of the months were near normal in terms of water balance. There were between 19.3 and 25.1% months with water excess and between 17.1 and 20.8% with water deficit. The links between NDVI and SPEI become stronger as SPEI reaches extreme values (above 1.5 units or below −1.5 units). The water balance indicates a decrease in available water resources.
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