团队会减轻还是加剧股市中的外推偏差?

Ricardo Barahona, Stefano Cassella, Kristy A. E. Jansen
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引用次数: 0

摘要

我们研究了团队如何影响收益外推,这是一种信念形成中的偏差,在个人层面普遍存在,对行为资产定价模型至关重要。通过对美国股票基金经理的抽样调查和受试者内部设计,我们发现团队会将其成员的外推偏差减少 75%。这种减弱并不是因为学习,也不是因为个人管理基金和团队管理基金在报酬、工作量或投资目标上的差异。相反,我们提供的支持性证据表明,团队成员进行更深入的认知反思可以解释偏差减少的原因。
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Do Teams Alleviate or Exacerbate the Extrapolation Bias in the Stock Market?
We investigate how teams impact return extrapolation, a bias in belief formation which is pervasive at the individual level and crucial to behavioral asset-pricing models. Using a sample of US equity money managers and a within-subject design, we find that teams attenuate their own members’ extrapolation bias by 75%. This reduction is not due to learning or differences in compensation, workload, or investment objectives between solo-managed and team-managed funds. Rather, we provide supportive evidence that team members engaging in deeper cognitive reflection can explain the bias reduction.
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