欧洲 Covid-19 之后的公共债务和经济增长:挑战与政策影响

Dimitra Mitsi
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摘要

Covid-19 大流行病对欧洲经济产生了深远影响,导致公共债务水平大幅上升。本文探讨了 Covid-19 大流行后欧洲在管理公共债务和促进经济增长方面面临的挑战和政策影响。本文提供了一个概念框架,对公共债务进行了定义和衡量,探讨了公共债务与经济增长之间的关系,并强调了公共债务在危机时期的作用。论文分析了 Covid-19 对欧洲公共债务的影响,包括财政对策、债务积累和债务水平上升的原因。它进一步讨论了高额公共债务带来的挑战,如债务可持续性、挤出私人投资、金融稳定风险和对未来财政政策的限制。 然后,研究提出了平衡公共债务和经济增长的政策影响,包括财政整顿措施、长期债务管理战略、优先考虑公共投资、实施结构改革、考虑货币政策以及促进国际合作。此外,本文还提供了部分欧洲国家的案例研究,对这些国家的方法进行了评价,评估了政策效果,并总结了主要经验和最佳做法。最后,本文总结了主要研究成果、对欧洲各国政府的政策建议以及对未来研究方向的建议。
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Public Debt and Economic Growth after Covid-19 in Europe: Challenges and Policy Implications
The Covid-19 pandemic has had a profound impact on European economies, leading to a significant increase in public debt levels. This paper examines the challenges and policy implications of managing public debt and fostering economic growth in Europe post-Covid-19. It provides a conceptual framework by defining and measuring public debt, exploring the relationship between public debt and economic growth, and highlighting the role of public debt in times of crisis. The paper analyzes the impact of Covid-19 on public debt in Europe, including the fiscal response, debt accumulation, and reasons for increased debt levels. It further discusses the challenges posed by high public debt, such as debt sustainability, crowding out private investment, financial stability risks, and constraints on future fiscal policy. The study then presents policy implications for balancing public debt and economic growth, including fiscal consolidation measures, long-term debt management strategies, prioritizing public investments, implementing structural reforms, considering monetary policy, and fostering international cooperation. Additionally, the paper provides case studies of selected European countries, evaluating their approaches, assessing policy effectiveness, and drawing key lessons and best practices. Finally, the paper concludes with a summary of key findings, policy recommendations for European governments, and suggestions for future research directions.
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