2014 年后俄罗斯主要经济活动投资的动态和结构

S. V. Kazantsev
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摘要

2014年3月发起的针对俄罗斯联邦的多方位混合战争已设计多年,因此有必要加强国家实力。对社会主要活动的固定资本进行投资在很大程度上有助于稳定国家的经济、金融、科学、技术、军事技术潜力。本文介绍的研究结果旨在回答以下问题。俄罗斯的投资是否投向了对国家经济发展贡献最大的经济活动,以及对外贸状况依赖最大的行业?对俄罗斯国家统计局收集的 2015-2022 年《俄罗斯统计年鉴》中数据的分析表明,2010 年后,俄罗斯联邦对外贸易依存度最高的经济活动的固定资本投资增长速度快于其他活动组别。这些类型经济活动的发展有助于其他类型活动的扩展,其固定资本投资增长率在 2017 年之前一直高于全俄固定资本投资增长率。原因是经济实体在适应了反俄制裁后,加快了对其他经济活动的投资增长。2021 年 47 种经济活动的固定资本投资总体结构与 2014 年的结构差别不大。
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Dynamics and Structure of Investments in the Main Types of Economic Activity in Russia After 2014
The multidirectional, hybrid warfare war against the Russian Federation, launched in March 2014 and designed for many years, makes it necessary to strengthen the country’s power. Investments in the fixed capital of the main activities of society largely contribute to giving stability to the economic, financial, scientific, technological, military-technical potential of the state. The purpose of the study, the results of which are presented in this paper, was to find an answer to the following question. Are investments directed in Russia in those economic activities that contribute most to the development of the country’s economy, as well as in industries that are most dependent on the state of affairs in foreign trade? An analysis of the data presented in the Rosstat’s collections “Russian Statistical Yearbook” for 2015–2022 showed that after 2010, investments in fixed capital of the most dependent on foreign trade economic activities in the Russian Federation grew faster than other groups of activities. The growth rates of investments in fixed capital of those types of economic activities, the development of which contributes to the expansion of other types of activities, were higher than the all-Russian ones until 2017. The reason is that economic entities, having adapted to the anti-Russian sanctions, the main damage of which, according to the author, was inflicted on the domestic economy in 2015–2016, accelerated the growth of investments in other economic activities. The overall structure of investments in fixed capital of 47 types of economic activity in 2021 differs little from the structure of 2014.
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