在基于测量结果的决策程序中考虑最大可接受风险的一般蒙特卡洛方法

Q3 Engineering Acta IMEKO Pub Date : 2023-11-24 DOI:10.21014/actaimeko.v12i4.1602
Alessandro Ferrero, Harsha Vardhana Jetti, Sina Ronaghi, S. Salicone
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引用次数: 0

摘要

根据标准,决策程序一般既要考虑不应超过的阈值,又要考虑与测量结果相关的测量不确定度。然而,标准中的示例所给出的一般指示是指测量值按照正态 PDF 分布的特殊情况。但对其他情况的概括却没有考虑,也不直接。在之前的一篇论文中,作者提出了一种决策程序,该程序不仅考虑了测量不确定性和阈值,还考虑了最大容许风险。所提出的程序可使决策失误的风险低于给定的最大可接受风险。特别是,在测量值分布的特定假设下,得出了闭式公式。因此,本文的目的是通过应用蒙特卡洛方法,对所提出的决策规则和设定接受和拒绝限值的方法进行概括。这样,即使与测量结果相关的分布不是先验已知的封闭形式,也能普遍应用。
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A general Monte-Carlo approach to consider a maximum admissible risk in decision-making procedures based on measurement results
According to the standards, decision-making procedures generally consider both a threshold that should not be exceeded and the measurement uncertainty that is associated to the measurement result. However, the general indications given in the Standards, in their examples, refer to the particular case when the measurand distributes according to a normal PDF. But a generalization to other cases is not considered and is not straightforward. In a previous paper, the Authors proposed a decision-making procedure which not only considers the measurement uncertainty and the threshold, but also considers a Maximum Admissible Risk. The proposed procedure leads to decisions taken with a risk of a wrong decision lower than the given Maximum Admissible Risk. In particular, closed-form formulas were derived under specific assumptions for the distributions of the measured values. Hence, the aim of this paper is to generalize the proposed decision rule and method for setting acceptance and rejection limits, by applying the Monte-Carlo method. In this way, it can be generally applied, even when the distribution associated to the measurement result is not a priori known in closed form.
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来源期刊
Acta IMEKO
Acta IMEKO Engineering-Mechanical Engineering
CiteScore
2.50
自引率
0.00%
发文量
75
期刊介绍: The main goal of this journal is the enhancement of academic activities of IMEKO and a wider dissemination of scientific output from IMEKO TC events. High-quality papers presented at IMEKO conferences, workshops or congresses are seleted by the event organizers and the authors are invited to publish an enhanced version of their paper in this journal. The journal also publishes scientific articles on measurement and instrumentation not related to an IMEKO event.
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