通往胜利的道路贯穿苏格兰?后斯特金时代工党的前景

Coree Brown Swan
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摘要

苏格兰工党曾被视为英国分裂最严重的政党,但如今却显得生机勃勃,这得益于该党领袖阿纳斯-萨尔瓦尔(Anas Sarwar)的声望日益高涨、与英国工党的关系更加积极,以及最值得注意的是,该党在民意调查中取得了显著的进步。该党试图在苏格兰政治未来愿景对立的政治体制中找到一个中心点,这一策略曾使该党被挤压在更加自信的民族主义和工会主义对手之间。然而,由于近期内再次举行独立公投的可能性很小,这种中间立场可能会证明是富有成效的。工党有机会在急剧变化的政治格局中将自己定位为一个可行的选择。虽然工党的乐观并非毫无根据,但其民调结果或许更能说明其政治对手的弱点,而非工党自身的实力;而且在一个仍处于分化状态的政治体制中,苏格兰工党的政治愿景和宪法提议仍存在疑问。
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The Road to Victory Runs Through Scotland? Prospects for Labour in the Post‐Sturgeon Era
Scottish Labour, once viewed as the most divided party in the UK, appears buoyant, the result of the growing popularity of its leader, Anas Sarwar, a more positive relationship with UK Labour, and most notably, significant gains in the polls. The party has sought to find a centre ground in a political system defined by opposing visions of Scotland's political future, a strategy which has previously left it squeezed between more assertive nationalist and unionist rivals. However, with little prospect of another independence referendum in the near term, this centre ground may yet prove fruitful. The party has an opportunity to position itself as a viable alternative in a dramatically changed political landscape. While Labour's optimism is not unfounded, its polling perhaps speaks more to the weaknesses of its political rivals than the strength of the party itself; and questions persist about Scottish Labour's political vision and constitutional offering in a political system which remains bifurcated.
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