尼日利亚的汇款与经济发展

U. Nwagu, A. N. Amedu
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引用次数: 0

摘要

本研究探讨了 1980 年至 2020 年间汇款对尼日利亚经济发展的影响。本研究采用了自回归分布滞后法(ARDL)。对人均国内生产总值、固定资本形成总额和通货膨胀等变量进行了单位根检验分析,其中人均国内生产总值、固定资本形成总额和通货膨胀等变量的积分为零阶 I(0),汇率、家庭消费支出和汇款等变量的积分为一阶 I(1)。为了确认变量之间的长期关系,使用了协整约束检验。结果证实了变量之间的长期关系。此外,研究不存在序列相关性和稳定性。研究表明,汇款、固定资本形成总额和家庭消费支出与单位资本国内生产总值(经济发展)之间存在正相关关系,而实际汇率与单位资本国内生产总值之间存在负相关关系。根据研究结果得出的结论是,从长远来看,汇款具有积极影响并与经济发展相关联,应鼓励将汇款作为投资融资的替代手段。
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Remittance and Economic Development in Nigeria
The study examined the impact of remittances on economic development in Nigeria between 1980 and 2020. ARDL (Auto-regressive Distributed Lag) is used in this study. An analysis of the unit root test was conducted in which variables such as gross domestic product per capita, gross fixed capital formation and as well as inflation, which is integrated with order zero I(0), and variables such as exchange rate, household consumption expenditure and remittances are integrated of order one I(1). In order to confirm the long-term relationships among the variables, the Co-integration bound test was used. Long-term relationships were confirmed between the variables. In addition, the study was free of serial correlations and stable. The study revealed that a positive relationship exists between remittances, gross fixed capital formation and household consumption expenditure to gross domestic product per capital (economic development) and a negative relationship between real exchange rate and gross domestic product per capital. Based on the findings of the study, it was concluded that remittances have a positive impact and are linked to economic development in the long run, and that remittances should be encouraged as an alternative means of financing investment.
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发文量
15
审稿时长
5 weeks
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